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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LMP Mexico · Quarter-finals
Aguilas de MexicaliHOME · -
5 : 62023.01.07 · 종료
Yaquis de ObregonAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW60 / 100
야구 MODEL V7.0

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Starting pitchers · Run differential · Recent win rate · Home/Away · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 49.2% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +51.5%
VALUE EDGE+51.5%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEC
BASEBALL · STARTING PITCHER MATCHUP

Starting Pitcher Comparison

MATCHUP DATA0/100
Aguilas de Mexicali · HOME STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM
ERA-
WHIP-
K/9-
BB/9-
Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -
STARTER EDGE 46 : 54 대등
Yaquis de Obregon · AWAY STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM
ERA-
WHIP-
K/9-
BB/9-
Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -
Aguilas de Mexicali Pitcher Matchup Details Yaquis de Obregon
- Last 5 ERA -
- Last 5 WHIP -
- Home / Away ERA -
- Home / Away WHIP -
- Opponent ERA -
- Opponent WHIP -
- Average innings -
- Rest days -
Aguilas de Mexicali 최근 공격 2.80 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential -2.30
Bullpen Condition PROXY MEDIUM / MEDIUM 최근 일정 밀도 + 팀 실점 억제 기반
Yaquis de Obregon 최근 공격 3.30 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential -0.50
시즌 기본 성적 No Data
최근 5경기 No Data
홈/원정 스플릿 No Data
상대팀 상대전적 No Data
휴식/이닝 소화 No Data
구종/구속 지표 No Data
상대 타선 최근 공격력 39 : 61
실제 불펜 컨디션 44 : 56
예상 라인업 타격력 No Data
좌우 타선 상성 No Data
구종 × 상대 타선 No Data
AWAY상대 타선 최근 공격력 EVEN실제 불펜 컨디션

Baseball model confidence is limited until both starting pitchers are confirmed. Analysis refreshes after Sportradar announces them.

Aguilas de MexicaliAnalysis MetricsYaquis de Obregon
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+0.42 Run DifferentialHigher is better +1.25
4.17 Average goals concededLower is better 4.75
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
BASEBALL AI V7.0

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 19/100 · HIGH RISK
상대 타선 최근 공격력 AWAY 39 : 61
실제 불펜 컨디션 AWAY 44 : 56
• 야구 세부 데이터 품질이 충분하지 않습니다.• 구종×타선 데이터가 일부 일반 타격 프로필 fallback을 사용합니다.• 일부 불펜 평가는 실제 구원투수 데이터가 아닌 PROXY입니다.• 구장 득점환경 표본이 작습니다.
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

60/100 LOW
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation1.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.3 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
48.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
51.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aguilas de Mexicali
W · 2-0W · 10-6L · 4-3L · 9-4L · 2-0
Yaquis de Obregon
L · 2-0L · 10-6W · 4-3W · 9-4W · 3-2

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.19Aguilas de Mexicali5 : 0Yaquis de Obregon
2026.10.18Aguilas de Mexicali1 : 0Yaquis de Obregon
2026.10.17Aguilas de Mexicali9 : 8Yaquis de Obregon
2023.01.10Yaquis de Obregon5 : 2Aguilas de Mexicali
2023.01.09Yaquis de Obregon2 : 4Aguilas de Mexicali
2023.01.07Aguilas de Mexicali5 : 6Yaquis de Obregon
2023.01.06Aguilas de Mexicali2 : 0Yaquis de Obregon
2023.01.05Aguilas de Mexicali10 : 6Yaquis de Obregon
2023.01.03Yaquis de Obregon4 : 3Aguilas de Mexicali
2023.01.02Yaquis de Obregon9 : 4Aguilas de Mexicali