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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LMP Mexico
HermosilloHOME · -
4 : 32022.12.29 · 종료
Aguilas de MexicaliAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME50.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW60 / 100
야구 MODEL V7.0

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Starting pitchers · Run differential · Recent win rate · Home/Away · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 49.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +50.9%
VALUE EDGE+50.9%
FAIR ODDS1.97
GRADEC
BASEBALL · STARTING PITCHER MATCHUP

Starting Pitcher Comparison

MATCHUP DATA0/100
Hermosillo · HOME STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM
ERA-
WHIP-
K/9-
BB/9-
Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -
STARTER EDGE 53 : 47 대등
Aguilas de Mexicali · AWAY STARTER

선발 미확인

-HP RECENT FORM
ERA-
WHIP-
K/9-
BB/9-
Last 0 matches ERA - · WHIP -
Hermosillo Pitcher Matchup Details Aguilas de Mexicali
- Last 5 ERA -
- Last 5 WHIP -
- Home / Away ERA -
- Home / Away WHIP -
- Opponent ERA -
- Opponent WHIP -
- Average innings -
- Rest days -
Hermosillo 최근 공격 3.80 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential 0.00
Bullpen Condition PROXY HIGH / HIGH 최근 일정 밀도 + 팀 실점 억제 기반
Aguilas de Mexicali 최근 공격 3.30 R/G Last 10 matches · Run differential -1.50
시즌 기본 성적 No Data
최근 5경기 No Data
홈/원정 스플릿 No Data
상대팀 상대전적 No Data
휴식/이닝 소화 No Data
구종/구속 지표 No Data
상대 타선 최근 공격력 55 : 45
실제 불펜 컨디션 55 : 45
예상 라인업 타격력 No Data
좌우 타선 상성 No Data
구종 × 상대 타선 No Data
EVEN상대 타선 최근 공격력 EVEN실제 불펜 컨디션

Baseball model confidence is limited until both starting pitchers are confirmed. Analysis refreshes after Sportradar announces them.

HermosilloAnalysis MetricsAguilas de Mexicali
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+0.58 Run DifferentialHigher is better +0.42
4.17 Average goals concededLower is better 4.17
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
BASEBALL AI V7.0

AI Win Probability Basis

RECOMMENDATION PASS 17/100 · HIGH RISK
실제 불펜 컨디션 HOME 55 : 45
상대 타선 최근 공격력 HOME 55 : 45
• 야구 세부 데이터 품질이 충분하지 않습니다.• 구종×타선 데이터가 일부 일반 타격 프로필 fallback을 사용합니다.• 일부 불펜 평가는 실제 구원투수 데이터가 아닌 PROXY입니다.• 구장 득점환경 표본이 작습니다.
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

60/100 LOW
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation0.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.3 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
50.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
49.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hermosillo
W · 11-0L · 4-0L · 8-1L · 3-2W · 4-2
Aguilas de Mexicali
L · 11-0W · 5-2L · 0-1L · 1-12W · 5-9

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.26Aguilas de Mexicali6 : 5Hermosillo
2026.10.25Aguilas de Mexicali6 : 3Hermosillo
2026.10.24Aguilas de Mexicali5 : 7Hermosillo
2026.10.16Hermosillo6 : 2Aguilas de Mexicali
2026.10.15Aguilas de Mexicali0 : 3Hermosillo
2022.12.30Hermosillo2 : 0Aguilas de Mexicali
2022.12.29Hermosillo4 : 3Aguilas de Mexicali
2022.12.28Hermosillo11 : 0Aguilas de Mexicali
2022.11.25Aguilas de Mexicali7 : 2Hermosillo
2022.11.24Aguilas de Mexicali3 : 2Hermosillo