경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

League Cup England · Round of 32

MillwallHOME · 6.05

0 : 12026.09.09 · 종료

NewcastleAWAY · 1.48

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.6%

DRAW20.9%

AWAY17.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 92/100

AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +46.0%

VALUE EDGE+46.0%

FAIR ODDS1.62

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +17.2%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +19.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +12.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN -0.5%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Millwall분석 지표Newcastle

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.58 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.92

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

3.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.3일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.4 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도5.8 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME15.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승19.5%표본 41경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승36.4%현재 이동 +12.3%

OPEN → NOW5.39 → 6.05배당 업데이트 2026-09-08 23:52:35

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

61.6%

DRAW

20.9%

AWAY

17.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Millwall

W · 4-0L · 0-3W · 0-1W · 3-0W · 0-2

Newcastle

D · 2-2W · 0-2W · 3-2D · 2-2D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.51

→

CURRENT6.03

+9.52%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.22

→

CURRENT4.43

+5.03%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.55

→

CURRENT1.47

-5.39%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-08 13:12:27	5.51	4.22	1.55
2026-09-08 13:22:29	5.51	4.22	1.55
2026-09-08 13:32:28	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 13:42:26	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 13:52:29	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 14:02:26	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 14:12:26	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 14:22:29	5.50	4.20	1.54
2026-09-08 14:22:30	5.60	4.35	1.54
2026-09-08 14:32:28	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 14:42:27	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 14:52:30	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 15:02:27	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 15:12:26	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 15:22:31	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 15:32:28	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 15:42:27	5.46	4.18	1.54
2026-09-08 15:42:28	5.62	4.34	1.54
2026-09-08 15:52:28	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 16:02:26	5.50	4.20	1.54
2026-09-08 16:02:27	5.55	4.28	1.54
2026-09-08 16:12:25	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 16:22:31	5.54	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 16:32:28	5.55	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 16:42:27	5.53	4.25	1.54
2026-09-08 16:42:28	5.80	4.50	1.54
2026-09-08 16:52:31	5.55	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 17:02:27	5.54	4.23	1.54
2026-09-08 17:02:28	5.58	4.34	1.54
2026-09-08 17:12:27	5.55	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 17:22:32	5.55	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 17:32:29	5.55	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 17:42:27	5.55	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 17:52:32	5.55	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 18:02:27	5.55	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 18:12:27	5.55	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 18:22:31	5.55	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 18:32:29	5.37	4.13	1.54
2026-09-08 18:32:30	5.61	4.31	1.54
2026-09-08 18:42:28	5.55	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 18:52:32	5.55	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 19:02:30	5.49	4.20	1.55
2026-09-08 19:02:31	5.58	4.30	1.54
2026-09-08 19:12:28	5.60	4.20	1.54
2026-09-08 19:12:29	5.55	4.28	1.54
2026-09-08 19:22:34	5.55	4.27	1.54
2026-09-08 19:32:32	5.75	4.36	1.52
2026-09-08 19:42:29	5.75	4.36	1.52
2026-09-08 19:52:33	5.75	4.36	1.52
2026-09-08 20:02:29	5.75	4.36	1.52
2026-09-08 20:12:28	5.74	4.36	1.51
2026-09-08 20:12:29	5.78	4.38	1.52
2026-09-08 20:22:35	5.75	4.36	1.52
2026-09-08 20:32:32	5.75	4.36	1.52
2026-09-08 20:42:29	5.75	4.35	1.51
2026-09-08 20:42:30	5.80	4.50	1.54
2026-09-08 20:52:34	5.60	4.20	1.54
2026-09-08 20:52:35	5.76	4.38	1.51
2026-09-08 21:02:32	5.75	4.36	1.52
2026-09-08 21:12:29	5.75	4.36	1.52
2026-09-08 21:22:34	5.75	4.36	1.52
2026-09-08 21:32:31	5.75	4.36	1.52
2026-09-08 21:42:31	5.75	4.36	1.52
2026-09-08 21:52:32	5.75	4.35	1.51
2026-09-08 21:52:33	5.80	4.50	1.54
2026-09-08 22:02:31	5.75	4.36	1.52
2026-09-08 22:12:29	5.67	4.30	1.50
2026-09-08 22:12:30	5.94	4.50	1.54
2026-09-08 22:22:39	5.75	4.35	1.51
2026-09-08 22:22:40	5.80	4.50	1.54
2026-09-08 22:32:40	6.03	4.43	1.47
2026-09-08 22:42:39	6.03	4.43	1.47
2026-09-08 22:52:38	6.03	4.43	1.47
2026-09-08 23:02:36	6.03	4.43	1.47
2026-09-08 23:12:32	6.03	4.43	1.47
2026-09-08 23:22:37	5.55	4.10	1.47
2026-09-08 23:22:38	6.11	4.49	1.47
2026-09-08 23:32:32	6.03	4.43	1.47
2026-09-08 23:42:29	6.03	4.43	1.47
2026-09-08 23:52:35	6.03	4.43	1.47

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.09	Millwall	0 : 1	Newcastle