경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

National League Cup England · Group Stage

GatesheadHOME · 1.93

1 : 32026.09.09 · 종료

Derby County U21AWAY · 3.14

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.8%

DRAW24.1%

AWAY26.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 67/100

AI PICK HOME 39.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +2.8%

VALUE EDGE+2.8%

FAIR ODDS2.01

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 63/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +3.3%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +8.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -25.4%p

MARKET HOME +18.1%p

SEASON_STATS HOME +7.5%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Gateshead분석 지표Derby County U21

0.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

0.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58

2.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.83

0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

3.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.3일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

67/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지13.5 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도11.8 / 15

예측 분리도10.1 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME47.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승51.9%표본 129경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승40.1%현재 이동 -16.8%

OPEN → NOW2.32 → 1.93배당 업데이트 2026-09-08 23:52:27

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

49.8%

DRAW

24.1%

AWAY

26.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Gateshead

D · 1-1L · 2-1L · 0-1L · 3-0D · 1-1

Derby County U21

D · 4-4W · 1-3L · 6-2L · 1-4L · 0-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.98

→

CURRENT1.92

-3.12%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.83

→

CURRENT3.77

-1.57%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.95

→

CURRENT3.10

+5.08%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-08 10:32:23	1.98	3.83	2.95
2026-09-08 10:42:19	2.00	3.75	2.93
2026-09-08 10:52:23	2.00	3.75	2.93
2026-09-08 11:02:20	2.00	3.75	2.93
2026-09-08 11:12:19	2.00	3.75	2.93
2026-09-08 12:02:22	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 12:12:20	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 12:22:24	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 12:32:21	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 12:42:20	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 12:52:23	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 13:02:24	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 13:12:21	1.95	3.50	3.00
2026-09-08 13:12:22	1.94	3.78	3.05
2026-09-08 13:22:24	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 13:32:23	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 13:42:21	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 13:52:23	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 14:02:21	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 14:12:21	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 14:22:24	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 14:32:23	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 14:42:22	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 14:52:24	1.94	3.75	3.04
2026-09-08 15:02:22	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 15:12:21	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 15:22:25	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 15:32:23	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 15:42:22	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 15:52:23	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 16:02:21	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 16:12:20	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 16:22:25	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 16:32:23	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 16:42:22	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 16:52:24	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 17:02:22	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 17:12:21	1.95	3.50	3.00
2026-09-08 17:12:22	1.92	3.79	3.10
2026-09-08 17:22:26	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 17:32:23	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 17:42:21	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 17:52:26	1.92	3.76	3.09
2026-09-08 18:02:22	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 18:12:22	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 18:22:25	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 18:32:25	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 18:42:23	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 18:52:26	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 19:02:25	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 19:12:24	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 19:22:28	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 19:32:25	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 19:42:23	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 19:52:25	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 20:02:23	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 20:12:22	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 20:22:27	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 20:32:25	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 20:42:23	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 20:52:27	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 21:02:25	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 21:12:23	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 21:22:27	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 21:32:24	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 21:42:24	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 21:52:25	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 22:02:24	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 22:12:22	1.95	3.50	3.00
2026-09-08 22:12:23	1.91	3.79	3.11
2026-09-08 22:22:30	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 22:32:25	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 22:42:29	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 22:52:30	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 23:02:28	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 23:12:24	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 23:22:30	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 23:32:25	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 23:42:22	1.92	3.77	3.10
2026-09-08 23:52:27	1.92	3.77	3.10

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.09	Gateshead	1 : 3	Derby County U21