LIVE 65 오늘 152경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 Spain · Group 3 - 3
SámanoHOME · 2.37
4 : 12026.09.21 · 종료
GuarnizoAWAY · 2.67
HOME · 현재 순위 9위 승점 4 · 3경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 17위 승점 0 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME18.6%
DRAW21.9%
AWAY59.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW39 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 39/100
AI PICK AWAY 45.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +25.8%
VALUE EDGE+25.8%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 80/100 · HIGH RISK
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
STANDING_PPG HOME +11.4%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
REST AWAY -5.0%p
MARKET HOME +4.2%p
SEASON_STATS HOME +55.0%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE
Sámano분석 지표Guarnizo
16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%
1.08 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25
2.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25
20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

39/100 LOW
데이터 커버리지7.7 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력0.0 / 10
과거 표본2.5 / 10
모델 일치도9.2 / 15
예측 분리도15.0 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME37.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승43.0%표본 207경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승36.4%현재 이동 +13.4%
OPEN → NOW2.09 → 2.37배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 20:33:23

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
18.6%
DRAW
21.9%
AWAY
59.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Sámano
L · 2-1D · 2-2L · 0-5L · 4-1L · 0-3
Guarnizo
L · 0-1L · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+18.0%+9.0%0.0%-9.0%-18.0%09/20 03:0309/20 06:0309/20 10:1209/20 13:3209/20 20:33HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:03:43HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:33:48HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-20 04:03:39HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +1.28% · 2026-09-20 04:03:40HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 04:32:38HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 05:02:48HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 05:32:46HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-20 06:03:15HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 +1.28% · 2026-09-20 06:03:16HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 06:33:12HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 07:03:51HOME · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -1.60% · 2026-09-20 07:34:06HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-09-20 07:34:07HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 08:12:43HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 08:52:32HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 09:32:59HOME · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 10:12:23HOME · 배당 2.36 · 변동 +13.44% · 2026-09-20 10:52:41HOME · 배당 2.36 · 변동 +13.44% · 2026-09-20 11:32:55HOME · 배당 2.36 · 변동 +13.44% · 2026-09-20 12:12:23HOME · 배당 2.38 · 변동 +14.24% · 2026-09-20 12:52:49HOME · 배당 2.36 · 변동 +13.28% · 2026-09-20 12:52:50HOME · 배당 2.36 · 변동 +13.40% · 2026-09-20 13:32:55HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +13.52% · 2026-09-20 13:32:56HOME · 배당 2.36 · 변동 +13.44% · 2026-09-20 14:12:25HOME · 배당 2.36 · 변동 +13.38% · 2026-09-20 14:52:50HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +13.76% · 2026-09-20 14:52:51HOME · 배당 2.36 · 변동 +13.40% · 2026-09-20 18:34:44HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +14.72% · 2026-09-20 18:34:45HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +13.84% · 2026-09-20 19:13:37HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +13.84% · 2026-09-20 19:53:40HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +13.84% · 2026-09-20 20:33:23DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:03:43DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:33:48DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 +0.31% · 2026-09-20 04:03:39DRAW · 배당 3.24 · 변동 -0.61% · 2026-09-20 04:03:40DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 04:32:38DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 05:02:48DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 05:32:46DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 +0.31% · 2026-09-20 06:03:15DRAW · 배당 3.24 · 변동 -0.61% · 2026-09-20 06:03:16DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 06:33:12DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 07:03:51DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +1.23% · 2026-09-20 07:34:06DRAW · 배당 3.24 · 변동 -0.61% · 2026-09-20 07:34:07DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 08:12:43DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 08:52:32DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 09:32:59DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 10:12:23DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -2.91% · 2026-09-20 10:52:41DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -2.91% · 2026-09-20 11:32:55DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -2.91% · 2026-09-20 12:12:23DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -7.98% · 2026-09-20 12:52:49DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -1.90% · 2026-09-20 12:52:50DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -3.07% · 2026-09-20 13:32:55DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-09-20 13:32:56DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -2.91% · 2026-09-20 14:12:25DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -3.13% · 2026-09-20 14:52:50DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -1.84% · 2026-09-20 14:52:51DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 -3.07% · 2026-09-20 18:34:44DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 -2.61% · 2026-09-20 18:34:45DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -2.91% · 2026-09-20 19:13:37DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -2.91% · 2026-09-20 19:53:40DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -2.91% · 2026-09-20 20:33:23AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:03:43AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 03:33:48AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.22% · 2026-09-20 04:03:39AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.44% · 2026-09-20 04:03:40AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 04:32:38AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 05:02:48AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 05:32:46AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.22% · 2026-09-20 06:03:15AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.44% · 2026-09-20 06:03:16AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 06:33:12AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 07:03:51AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +1.75% · 2026-09-20 07:34:06AWAY · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -0.88% · 2026-09-20 07:34:07AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 08:12:43AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 08:52:32AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 09:32:59AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-20 10:12:23AWAY · 배당 2.70 · 변동 -11.54% · 2026-09-20 10:52:41AWAY · 배당 2.70 · 변동 -11.54% · 2026-09-20 11:32:55AWAY · 배당 2.70 · 변동 -11.54% · 2026-09-20 12:12:23AWAY · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -8.10% · 2026-09-20 12:52:49AWAY · 배당 2.67 · 변동 -12.23% · 2026-09-20 12:52:50AWAY · 배당 2.69 · 변동 -11.79% · 2026-09-20 13:32:55AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -11.05% · 2026-09-20 13:32:56AWAY · 배당 2.70 · 변동 -11.54% · 2026-09-20 14:12:25AWAY · 배당 2.67 · 변동 -12.23% · 2026-09-20 14:52:50AWAY · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -8.10% · 2026-09-20 14:52:51AWAY · 배당 2.69 · 변동 -11.79% · 2026-09-20 18:34:44AWAY · 배당 2.69 · 변동 -11.87% · 2026-09-20 18:34:45AWAY · 배당 2.69 · 변동 -11.82% · 2026-09-20 19:13:37AWAY · 배당 2.69 · 변동 -11.82% · 2026-09-20 19:53:40AWAY · 배당 2.69 · 변동 -11.82% · 2026-09-20 20:33:23
HOME32 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.08
→
CURRENT2.37
+13.84%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW32 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.26
→
CURRENT3.17
-2.91%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY32 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.05
→
CURRENT2.69
-11.82%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-20 03:03:432.083.263.05
2026-09-20 03:33:482.083.263.05
2026-09-20 04:03:392.073.273.04
2026-09-20 04:03:402.113.243.06
2026-09-20 04:32:382.083.263.05
2026-09-20 05:02:482.083.263.05
2026-09-20 05:32:462.083.263.05
2026-09-20 06:03:152.073.273.04
2026-09-20 06:03:162.113.243.06
2026-09-20 06:33:122.083.263.05
2026-09-20 07:03:512.083.263.05
2026-09-20 07:34:062.053.303.10
2026-09-20 07:34:072.103.243.02
2026-09-20 08:12:432.083.263.05
2026-09-20 08:52:322.083.263.05
2026-09-20 09:32:592.083.263.05
2026-09-20 10:12:232.083.263.05
2026-09-20 10:52:412.363.172.70
2026-09-20 11:32:552.363.172.70
2026-09-20 12:12:232.363.172.70
2026-09-20 12:52:492.383.002.80
2026-09-20 12:52:502.363.202.67
2026-09-20 13:32:552.363.162.69
2026-09-20 13:32:562.373.182.71
2026-09-20 14:12:252.363.172.70
2026-09-20 14:52:502.363.162.67
2026-09-20 14:52:512.373.202.80
2026-09-20 18:34:442.363.162.69
2026-09-20 18:34:452.393.182.69
2026-09-20 19:13:372.373.172.69
2026-09-20 19:53:402.373.172.69
2026-09-20 20:33:232.373.172.69

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.21Sámano4 : 1Guarnizo