경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Serie C - Girone B Italy · Girone B - 5

LivornoHOME · 1.69

3 : 22026.09.17 · 종료

VadoAWAY · 4.70

HOME · 현재 순위 7위 승점 7 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 14위 승점 4 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.6%

DRAW13.8%

AWAY7.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 94/100

AI PICK HOME 51.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +24.6%

VALUE EDGE+24.6%

FAIR ODDS1.27

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +70.3%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +64.4%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +8.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +5.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Livorno분석 지표Vado

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.67

0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.42

62.5% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

4.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.3일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.8 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.8 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME54.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승62.9%표본 89경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.0%현재 이동 -3.7%

OPEN → NOW1.75 → 1.69배당 업데이트 2026-09-16 23:52:19

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

78.6%

DRAW

13.8%

AWAY

7.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Livorno

L · 2-0W · 1-0D · 0-0D · 0-0W · 2-1

Vado

L · 0-1L · 3-1L · 3-0D · 0-0W · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.76

→

CURRENT1.68

-4.33%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.21

→

CURRENT3.37

+4.78%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.52

→

CURRENT4.71

+4.18%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-16 02:22:10	1.76	3.21	4.52
2026-09-16 02:22:13	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 02:32:09	1.76	3.21	4.52
2026-09-16 02:32:12	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 02:42:10	1.76	3.21	4.52
2026-09-16 02:42:13	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 02:52:14	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 03:12:12	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 03:32:13	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 03:52:13	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 04:12:13	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 04:32:14	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 04:52:14	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 05:12:13	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 05:32:14	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 05:52:14	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 06:12:14	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 06:12:15	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 06:32:14	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 06:32:15	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 06:52:16	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 07:12:14	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 07:12:15	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 07:32:16	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 07:32:17	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 07:52:15	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 07:52:16	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 08:12:13	1.74	3.15	4.33
2026-09-16 08:12:14	1.79	3.23	4.47
2026-09-16 08:32:14	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 08:52:15	1.77	3.20	4.42
2026-09-16 09:12:14	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 09:32:15	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 09:52:17	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 10:12:15	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 10:32:14	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 10:52:15	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 11:12:15	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 11:32:13	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 11:52:14	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 12:12:15	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 12:32:14	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 12:52:16	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 13:12:14	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 13:32:15	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 13:52:15	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 14:12:15	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 14:32:16	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 14:52:16	1.77	3.20	4.39
2026-09-16 15:12:15	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 15:32:20	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 15:52:15	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 16:12:16	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 16:32:18	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 16:52:16	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 17:12:16	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 17:32:16	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 17:52:19	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 18:12:15	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 18:32:17	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 18:52:15	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 19:12:13	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 19:32:15	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 19:52:15	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 20:12:14	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 20:32:17	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 20:52:14	1.78	3.22	4.34
2026-09-16 21:12:14	1.68	3.35	4.69
2026-09-16 21:12:15	1.70	3.42	4.76
2026-09-16 21:32:16	1.68	3.37	4.71
2026-09-16 21:32:17	1.68	3.37	4.71
2026-09-16 21:52:18	1.68	3.37	4.71
2026-09-16 21:52:19	1.68	3.37	4.71
2026-09-16 22:12:25	1.68	3.37	4.71
2026-09-16 22:12:29	1.68	3.37	4.71
2026-09-16 22:32:19	1.68	3.37	4.71
2026-09-16 22:52:21	1.68	3.37	4.71
2026-09-16 23:12:19	1.68	3.37	4.71
2026-09-16 23:32:20	1.68	3.37	4.71
2026-09-16 23:52:19	1.68	3.37	4.71

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.17	Livorno	3 : 2	Vado