LIVE 33 오늘 290경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Serie C - Girone A Italy · Girone A - 8
Folgore CarateseHOME · 2.10
1 : 22026.10.04 · 종료
Desenzano CalvinaAWAY · 3.39
HOME · 현재 순위 17위 승점 6 · 8경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 10위 승점 10 · 8경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME24.1%
DRAW32.2%
AWAY43.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 74/100
AI PICK AWAY 36.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +16.9%
VALUE EDGE+16.9%
FAIR ODDS2.29
GRADEA
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 79/100 · MEDIUM RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -19.8%p
HOME_AWAY AWAY -16.7%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -1.3%p
REST EVEN +0.6%p
MARKET HOME +16.4%p
• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Folgore Caratese분석 지표Desenzano Calvina
16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%
1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.50
1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.75
25.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 28.6%
7.3일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.1일
API Prediction 없음 Lineups 없음 Injuries 없음 Statistics 없음
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

74/100 MEDIUM
데이터 커버리지14.9 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본4.5 / 10
모델 일치도8.4 / 15
예측 분리도4.9 / 15
데이터 신선도7.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보1.8 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME43.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승38.5%표본 122경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 5경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.5%현재 이동 -2.1%
OPEN → NOW2.15 → 2.10배당 업데이트 2026-10-03 15:12:04

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
24.1%
DRAW
32.2%
AWAY
43.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Folgore Caratese
W · 1-2D · 1-1D · 0-0L · 2-3L · 1-0
Desenzano Calvina
D · 0-0D · 0-0L · 1-3W · 1-2L · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+4.0%+2.0%0.0%-2.0%-4.0%10/03 00:1210/03 03:3210/03 06:0210/03 12:4210/03 15:12HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:12:17HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:52:22HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:22:30HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:52:22HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 02:22:19HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 02:52:22HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -0.12% · 2026-10-03 03:02:03HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:22:21HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -0.12% · 2026-10-03 03:32:02HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:52:22HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -0.12% · 2026-10-03 04:02:02HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -0.12% · 2026-10-03 04:32:03HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -0.12% · 2026-10-03 05:02:02HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -0.12% · 2026-10-03 05:32:02HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 05:32:04HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 06:02:05HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 09:12:05HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 09:42:04HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 10:12:04HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 10:42:04HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 11:12:04HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 11:42:04HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 12:12:04HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 12:42:04HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 13:12:04HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 13:12:05HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 13:42:05HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 13:42:06HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 14:12:05HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 14:42:05HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-10-03 15:12:04DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:12:17DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:52:22DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:22:30DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:52:22DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 02:22:19DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 02:52:22DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:02:03DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:22:21DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:32:02DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:52:22DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 04:02:02DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 04:32:03DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 05:02:02DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 05:32:02DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.83% · 2026-10-03 05:32:04DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.83% · 2026-10-03 06:02:05DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 09:12:05DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 09:42:04DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 10:12:04DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 10:42:04DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 11:12:04DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 11:42:04DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 12:12:04DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 12:42:04DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 13:12:04DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 13:12:05DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 13:42:05DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 13:42:06DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 14:12:05DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 14:42:05DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-10-03 15:12:04AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:12:17AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:52:22AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:22:30AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:52:22AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 02:22:19AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 02:52:22AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:02:03AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:22:21AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:32:02AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:52:22AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 04:02:02AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 04:32:03AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 05:02:02AWAY · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 05:32:02AWAY · 배당 3.41 · 변동 +1.87% · 2026-10-03 05:32:04AWAY · 배당 3.41 · 변동 +1.87% · 2026-10-03 06:02:05AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 09:12:05AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 09:42:04AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 10:12:04AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 10:42:04AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 11:12:04AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 11:42:04AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 12:12:04AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 12:42:04AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 13:12:04AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 13:12:05AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 13:42:05AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 13:42:06AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 14:12:05AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 14:42:05AWAY · 배당 3.39 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-10-03 15:12:04
HOME31 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.15
→
CURRENT2.11
-2.03%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW31 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.03
→
CURRENT3.04
+0.41%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY31 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.34
→
CURRENT3.39
+1.50%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 00:12:172.153.033.34
2026-10-03 00:52:222.153.033.34
2026-10-03 01:22:302.153.033.34
2026-10-03 01:52:222.153.033.34
2026-10-03 02:22:192.153.033.34
2026-10-03 02:52:222.153.033.34
2026-10-03 03:02:032.153.033.34
2026-10-03 03:22:212.153.033.34
2026-10-03 03:32:022.153.033.34
2026-10-03 03:52:222.153.033.34
2026-10-03 04:02:022.153.033.34
2026-10-03 04:32:032.153.033.34
2026-10-03 05:02:022.153.033.34
2026-10-03 05:32:022.153.033.34
2026-10-03 05:32:042.113.053.41
2026-10-03 06:02:052.113.053.41
2026-10-03 09:12:052.113.043.39
2026-10-03 09:42:042.113.043.39
2026-10-03 10:12:042.113.043.39
2026-10-03 10:42:042.113.043.39
2026-10-03 11:12:042.113.043.39
2026-10-03 11:42:042.113.043.39
2026-10-03 12:12:042.113.043.39
2026-10-03 12:42:042.113.043.39
2026-10-03 13:12:042.113.043.39
2026-10-03 13:12:052.113.043.39
2026-10-03 13:42:052.113.043.39
2026-10-03 13:42:062.113.043.39
2026-10-03 14:12:052.113.043.39
2026-10-03 14:42:052.113.043.39
2026-10-03 15:12:042.113.043.39

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.04Folgore Caratese1 : 2Desenzano Calvina