LIVE 33 오늘 290경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

FA WSL England · Regular Season - 5
Aston Villa WHOME · 1.73
1 : 12026.10.04 · 종료
Crystal Palace WAWAY · 3.92
HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 3 · 5경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 8위 승점 6 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.1%
DRAW24.5%
AWAY30.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW20 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 20/100
AI PICK HOME 39.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +7.1%
VALUE EDGE+7.1%
FAIR ODDS3.30
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 23/100 · HIGH RISK
REST EVEN -0.1%p
MARKET HOME +29.4%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Aston Villa W분석 지표Crystal Palace W
33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%
1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.33
1.83 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.67
50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
3.8일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.8일
API Prediction 없음 Lineups 없음 Injuries 없음 Statistics 없음
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

20/100 LOW
데이터 커버리지4.0 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력0.0 / 10
과거 표본0.0 / 10
모델 일치도12.6 / 15
예측 분리도6.3 / 15
데이터 신선도7.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보1.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME52.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승56.0%표본 184경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW1.73 → 1.73배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:42:02

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
45.1%
DRAW
24.5%
AWAY
30.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Aston Villa W
W · 3-1L · 4-0W · 0-2D · 1-1L · 1-4
Crystal Palace W
W · 3-0D · 3-3W · 1-0L · 0-7D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+6.0%+3.0%0.0%-3.0%-6.0%10/03 00:1510/04 10:2210/04 12:0210/04 13:4210/04 15:42HOME · 배당 1.74 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:25HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-10-04 09:12:05HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-10-04 09:32:06HOME · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.22% · 2026-10-04 10:02:02HOME · 배당 1.74 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-04 10:02:03HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.65% · 2026-10-04 10:22:04HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-10-04 10:22:05HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.58% · 2026-10-04 10:42:03HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.58% · 2026-10-04 11:02:03HOME · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.36% · 2026-10-04 11:22:05HOME · 배당 1.74 · 변동 +0.04% · 2026-10-04 11:22:06HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.58% · 2026-10-04 11:42:02HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.58% · 2026-10-04 12:02:04HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.58% · 2026-10-04 12:22:07HOME · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.36% · 2026-10-04 12:42:07HOME · 배당 1.74 · 변동 +0.04% · 2026-10-04 12:42:08HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.58% · 2026-10-04 13:02:05HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-10-04 13:22:06HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-10-04 13:42:04HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-10-04 14:02:03HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-10-04 14:22:07HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-10-04 14:42:02HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-10-04 15:02:06HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-10-04 15:22:04HOME · 배당 1.73 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-10-04 15:42:02DRAW · 배당 3.89 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:25DRAW · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -2.07% · 2026-10-04 09:12:05DRAW · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -2.07% · 2026-10-04 09:32:06DRAW · 배당 3.87 · 변동 -0.74% · 2026-10-04 10:02:02DRAW · 배당 3.77 · 변동 -3.13% · 2026-10-04 10:02:03DRAW · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-10-04 10:22:04DRAW · 배당 3.70 · 변동 -4.89% · 2026-10-04 10:22:05DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-10-04 10:42:03DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-10-04 11:02:03DRAW · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -0.48% · 2026-10-04 11:22:05DRAW · 배당 3.77 · 변동 -3.08% · 2026-10-04 11:22:06DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-10-04 11:42:02DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-10-04 12:02:04DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-10-04 12:22:07DRAW · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -0.48% · 2026-10-04 12:42:07DRAW · 배당 3.77 · 변동 -3.08% · 2026-10-04 12:42:08DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -1.92% · 2026-10-04 13:02:05DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -2.01% · 2026-10-04 13:22:06DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -2.01% · 2026-10-04 13:42:04DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -2.01% · 2026-10-04 14:02:03DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -2.01% · 2026-10-04 14:22:07DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -2.01% · 2026-10-04 14:42:02DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -2.01% · 2026-10-04 15:02:06DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -2.01% · 2026-10-04 15:22:04DRAW · 배당 3.82 · 변동 -2.01% · 2026-10-04 15:42:02AWAY · 배당 3.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:25AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.17% · 2026-10-04 09:12:05AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.17% · 2026-10-04 09:32:06AWAY · 배당 3.97 · 변동 +1.21% · 2026-10-04 10:02:02AWAY · 배당 3.80 · 변동 -3.08% · 2026-10-04 10:02:03AWAY · 배당 3.95 · 변동 +0.59% · 2026-10-04 10:22:04AWAY · 배당 3.75 · 변동 -4.54% · 2026-10-04 10:22:05AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-10-04 10:42:03AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-10-04 11:02:03AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 +1.27% · 2026-10-04 11:22:05AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -3.03% · 2026-10-04 11:22:06AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-10-04 11:42:02AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-10-04 12:02:04AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-10-04 12:22:07AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 +1.27% · 2026-10-04 12:42:07AWAY · 배당 3.81 · 변동 -3.03% · 2026-10-04 12:42:08AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-10-04 13:02:05AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-10-04 13:22:06AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-10-04 13:42:04AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-10-04 14:02:03AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-10-04 14:22:07AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-10-04 14:42:02AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-10-04 15:02:06AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-10-04 15:22:04AWAY · 배당 3.88 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-10-04 15:42:02
HOME25 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.74
→
CURRENT1.73
-0.45%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW25 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.89
→
CURRENT3.82
-2.01%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY25 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.93
→
CURRENT3.88
-1.23%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 00:15:251.743.893.93
2026-10-04 09:12:051.733.813.88
2026-10-04 09:32:061.733.813.88
2026-10-04 10:02:021.723.873.97
2026-10-04 10:02:031.743.773.80
2026-10-04 10:22:041.733.883.95
2026-10-04 10:22:051.733.703.75
2026-10-04 10:42:031.733.823.88
2026-10-04 11:02:031.733.823.88
2026-10-04 11:22:051.723.883.98
2026-10-04 11:22:061.743.773.81
2026-10-04 11:42:021.733.823.88
2026-10-04 12:02:041.733.823.88
2026-10-04 12:22:071.733.823.88
2026-10-04 12:42:071.723.883.98
2026-10-04 12:42:081.743.773.81
2026-10-04 13:02:051.733.823.88
2026-10-04 13:22:061.733.823.88
2026-10-04 13:42:041.733.823.88
2026-10-04 14:02:031.733.823.88
2026-10-04 14:22:071.733.823.88
2026-10-04 14:42:021.733.823.88
2026-10-04 15:02:061.733.823.88
2026-10-04 15:22:041.733.823.88
2026-10-04 15:42:021.733.823.88

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.04Aston Villa W1 : 1Crystal Palace W