경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
La Liga
Spain · Regular Season - 3

AlavesHOME · 3.10
1 : 02026.08.29 · 종료
VillarrealAWAY · 2.27

HOME · 현재 순위
5위
승점 4
· 2경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
11위
승점 2
· 2경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME41.6%
DRAW23.5%
AWAY34.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME30.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승29.6%표본 81경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.4%현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW3.10 → 3.10배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 20:52:35
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
AlavesD · 1-1W · 3-0D · 1-1W · 3-0W · 0-1
VillarrealD · 2-2D · 2-2W · 1-2W · 1-0L · 3-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
-0.65%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
-1.24%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
-2.03%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-08-28 09:52:34 | 3.13 | 3.53 | 2.31 |
| 2026-08-28 10:02:30 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 10:12:27 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 10:22:34 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 10:32:32 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 10:42:27 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 10:52:33 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 11:02:30 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 11:12:26 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 11:22:32 | 3.08 | 3.46 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-28 11:22:33 | 3.13 | 3.53 | 2.31 |
| 2026-08-28 11:32:29 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.23 |
| 2026-08-28 11:32:30 | 3.08 | 3.46 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-28 11:42:28 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 11:52:33 | 3.11 | 3.51 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-28 11:52:34 | 3.06 | 3.43 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-28 12:02:30 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 12:12:30 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 12:22:33 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 12:32:30 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.25 |
| 2026-08-28 12:32:31 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.32 |
| 2026-08-28 12:42:28 | 3.08 | 3.49 | 2.25 |
| 2026-08-28 12:42:29 | 3.10 | 3.48 | 2.27 |
| 2026-08-28 12:52:30 | 3.00 | 3.45 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-28 12:52:31 | 3.11 | 3.49 | 2.27 |
| 2026-08-28 13:02:27 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 13:12:31 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 13:22:31 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 13:32:27 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 13:42:28 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.23 |
| 2026-08-28 13:42:29 | 3.09 | 3.47 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-28 13:52:32 | 3.03 | 3.47 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-28 13:52:33 | 3.11 | 3.48 | 2.27 |
| 2026-08-28 14:02:28 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 14:12:28 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 14:22:37 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 14:32:30 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 14:42:29 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 14:52:33 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 15:02:31 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-28 15:02:32 | 3.08 | 3.46 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-28 15:12:30 | 3.09 | 3.48 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 15:22:36 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 15:32:31 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 15:42:28 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 15:52:32 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 16:02:30 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 16:12:28 | 3.00 | 3.50 | 2.22 |
| 2026-08-28 16:12:29 | 3.11 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 16:22:34 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 16:32:28 | 3.09 | 3.47 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-28 16:32:29 | 3.13 | 3.53 | 2.31 |
| 2026-08-28 16:42:28 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 16:52:35 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 17:02:29 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 17:12:28 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 17:22:33 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 17:32:30 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 17:42:28 | 3.11 | 3.48 | 2.25 |
| 2026-08-28 17:42:29 | 3.10 | 3.50 | 2.30 |
| 2026-08-28 17:52:32 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 18:02:30 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 18:12:28 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 18:22:33 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 18:32:29 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 18:42:29 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 18:52:35 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 19:02:30 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 19:12:33 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 19:22:35 | 3.09 | 3.47 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-28 19:22:36 | 3.13 | 3.53 | 2.31 |
| 2026-08-28 19:32:30 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 19:42:30 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 19:52:34 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 20:02:33 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 20:12:29 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 20:22:32 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 20:32:29 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 20:42:32 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-28 20:52:35 | 3.10 | 3.49 | 2.26 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.08.29 | Alaves | 1 : 0 | Villarreal |
| 2026.03.14 | Alaves | 1 : 1 | Villarreal |
| 2026.01.11 | Villarreal | 3 : 1 | Alaves |
| 2025.03.09 | Alaves | 1 : 0 | Villarreal |
| 2024.11.10 | Villarreal | 3 : 0 | Alaves |