경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Premier League
England · Regular Season - 2

Crystal PalaceHOME · 5.00
1 : 42026.08.29 · 종료
Manchester CityAWAY · 1.67

HOME · 현재 순위
17위
승점 0
· 1경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
7위
승점 3
· 1경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME6.8%
DRAW12.9%
AWAY80.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME19.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승16.7%표본 30경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승49.0%현재 이동 -3.8%
OPEN → NOW5.20 → 5.00배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 23:50:44
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Crystal PalaceL · 2-0L · 3-0W · 1-2W · 3-1D · 0-0
Manchester CityW · 2-1L · 3-0W · 3-1W · 1-3D · 1-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
+0.82%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
-1.10%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
+0.31%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-08-28 12:02:22 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 12:12:22 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 12:22:24 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 12:32:22 | 4.82 | 3.98 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 12:32:23 | 4.86 | 4.08 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 12:42:21 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 12:52:22 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 13:02:19 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 13:12:22 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 13:22:22 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 13:32:19 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 13:42:20 | 4.83 | 4.05 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 13:42:21 | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-28 13:52:23 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 14:02:20 | 4.86 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 14:02:21 | 4.84 | 4.08 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 14:12:20 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 14:22:28 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 14:32:22 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 14:42:21 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 14:52:24 | 4.85 | 4.06 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 15:02:23 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 15:12:22 | 4.93 | 3.95 | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-28 15:12:23 | 4.94 | 4.09 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 15:22:27 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 15:32:23 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 15:42:20 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 15:52:23 | 4.87 | 4.02 | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-28 15:52:24 | 5.06 | 4.15 | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-28 16:02:22 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 16:12:20 | 4.93 | 3.95 | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-28 16:12:21 | 4.94 | 4.09 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 16:22:24 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 16:32:21 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 16:42:20 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 16:52:25 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 17:02:21 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 17:12:20 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 17:22:23 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 17:32:22 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 17:42:21 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 17:52:23 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 18:02:21 | 4.93 | 4.05 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 18:02:22 | 5.00 | 4.20 | 1.66 |
| 2026-08-28 18:12:20 | 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 18:12:21 | 4.96 | 4.08 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 18:22:23 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 18:32:21 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 18:42:20 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 18:52:25 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 19:02:21 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 19:12:24 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 19:22:26 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 19:32:22 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 19:42:21 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 19:52:25 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 20:02:24 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 20:12:21 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 20:22:23 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 20:32:21 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 20:42:23 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 20:52:25 | 4.93 | 4.06 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 21:20:28 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 21:30:28 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 21:40:29 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 21:50:28 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 22:00:30 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 22:10:28 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 22:10:29 | 4.85 | 4.10 | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-28 22:20:31 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 22:30:29 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 22:40:35 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 22:50:40 | 4.91 | 4.01 | 1.67 |
| 2026-08-28 22:50:41 | 4.87 | 4.02 | 1.69 |
| 2026-08-28 23:00:41 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 23:10:37 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 23:20:37 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 23:30:45 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 23:40:39 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
| 2026-08-28 23:50:44 | 4.89 | 4.01 | 1.68 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.08.29 | Crystal Palace | 1 : 4 | Manchester City |
| 2026.05.14 | Manchester City | 3 : 0 | Crystal Palace |
| 2025.12.14 | Crystal Palace | 0 : 3 | Manchester City |
| 2025.04.12 | Manchester City | 5 : 2 | Crystal Palace |
| 2024.12.08 | Crystal Palace | 2 : 2 | Manchester City |