경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

FAW Championship Wales · North - 5

PorthmadogHOME · 2.10

1 : 32026.08.29 · 종료

CaerswsAWAY · 2.75

HOME · 현재 순위 6위 승점 10 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 7 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.5%

DRAW21.2%

AWAY27.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW40 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 40/100

AI PICK HOME 40.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +8.8%

VALUE EDGE+8.8%

FAIR ODDS1.94

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 52/100 · HIGH RISK

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +3.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -31.1%p

MARKET HOME +10.1%p

SEASON_STATS HOME +6.9%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Porthmadog분석 지표Caersws

70.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.70 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.42

0.80 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.67

75.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

40/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지8.0 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도12.9 / 15

예측 분리도10.4 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME42.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승44.4%표본 142경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승39.7%현재 이동 +8.8%

OPEN → NOW1.93 → 2.10배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 20:52:44

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

51.5%

DRAW

21.2%

AWAY

27.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Porthmadog

W · 2-3D · 1-1W · 1-0W · 1-3

Caersws

L · 4-2W · 1-0D · 2-2W · 6-0W · 3-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.91

→

CURRENT2.12

+11.24%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.79

→

CURRENT3.80

+0.15%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.21

→

CURRENT2.90

-9.58%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-28 07:32:34	1.91	3.79	3.21
2026-08-28 07:42:34	1.91	3.79	3.21
2026-08-28 07:52:39	1.91	3.79	3.21
2026-08-28 08:02:36	1.91	3.79	3.21
2026-08-28 08:12:34	1.91	3.79	3.21
2026-08-28 08:22:38	1.91	3.79	3.21
2026-08-28 08:32:34	1.91	3.79	3.21
2026-08-28 08:42:33	1.91	3.79	3.21
2026-08-28 08:52:39	1.91	3.79	3.21
2026-08-28 09:02:36	1.91	3.79	3.21
2026-08-28 09:12:34	1.91	3.79	3.21
2026-08-28 09:22:41	1.91	3.79	3.21
2026-08-28 09:32:34	1.91	3.79	3.21
2026-08-28 10:32:38	2.10	3.72	2.73
2026-08-28 10:32:39	2.11	3.70	2.86
2026-08-28 10:42:34	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 10:52:40	2.10	3.60	2.70
2026-08-28 10:52:41	2.11	3.73	2.78
2026-08-28 11:02:36	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 11:12:33	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 11:22:40	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 11:32:36	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 11:42:35	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 11:52:41	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 12:02:37	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 12:12:37	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 12:22:41	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 12:32:37	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 12:42:36	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 12:52:38	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 13:02:34	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 13:12:38	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 13:22:38	2.10	3.72	2.73
2026-08-28 13:22:39	2.11	3.70	2.86
2026-08-28 13:32:34	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 13:42:36	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 13:52:40	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 14:02:35	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 14:12:35	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 14:22:48	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 14:32:37	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 14:42:36	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 14:52:41	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 15:02:39	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 15:12:37	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 15:22:44	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 15:32:38	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 15:42:35	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 15:52:42	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 16:02:37	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 16:12:35	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 16:22:42	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 16:32:36	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 16:42:35	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 16:52:43	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 17:02:36	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 17:12:35	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 17:22:41	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 17:32:37	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 17:42:36	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 17:52:40	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 18:02:37	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 18:12:35	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 18:22:41	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 18:32:37	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 18:42:36	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 18:52:42	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 19:02:37	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 19:12:41	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 19:22:44	2.10	3.72	2.77
2026-08-28 19:32:37	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 19:42:37	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 19:52:42	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 20:02:41	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 20:12:36	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 20:22:40	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 20:32:36	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 20:42:40	2.10	3.71	2.77
2026-08-28 20:52:43	2.10	3.70	2.76
2026-08-28 20:52:44	2.12	3.80	2.90

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.29	Porthmadog	1 : 3	Caersws