경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

FAW Championship Wales · North - 5

PenrhyncochHOME · 3.60

2 : 22026.08.29 · 종료

Denbigh TownAWAY · 1.70

HOME · 현재 순위 15위 승점 1 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 10위 승점 4 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.3%

DRAW16.3%

AWAY17.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +41.4%

VALUE EDGE+41.4%

FAIR ODDS1.51

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +15.3%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +19.4%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -6.8%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +12.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Penrhyncoch분석 지표Denbigh Town

16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

0.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.67

2.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.00

33.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

6.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도6.1 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME25.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승30.0%표본 40경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승48.6%현재 이동 -5.8%

OPEN → NOW3.82 → 3.60배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 20:52:43

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

66.3%

DRAW

16.3%

AWAY

17.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Penrhyncoch

L · 2-0L · 5-0L · 1-3W · 3-0W · 4-1

Denbigh Town

L · 2-3L · 2-1L · 1-2W · 2-4L · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.00

→

CURRENT3.57

-10.67%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.10

→

CURRENT4.03

-1.76%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.70

→

CURRENT1.74

+2.35%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-28 10:02:36	4.00	4.10	1.70
2026-08-28 10:12:33	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 10:22:41	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 10:32:38	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 10:42:33	3.88	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 10:42:34	3.95	4.05	1.70
2026-08-28 10:52:40	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 11:02:35	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 11:12:32	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 11:22:39	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 11:32:35	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 11:42:34	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 11:52:40	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 12:02:36	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 12:12:36	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 12:22:40	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 12:32:36	3.85	4.06	1.66
2026-08-28 12:32:37	3.94	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 12:42:35	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 12:52:38	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 13:02:33	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 13:12:38	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 13:22:38	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 13:32:33	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 13:32:34	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 13:42:35	3.90	4.02	1.67
2026-08-28 13:42:36	3.90	4.09	1.67
2026-08-28 13:52:40	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 14:02:35	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 14:12:34	3.90	3.75	1.67
2026-08-28 14:12:35	3.90	4.07	1.67
2026-08-28 14:22:47	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 14:22:48	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 14:32:36	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 14:32:37	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 14:42:35	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 14:42:36	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 14:52:40	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 14:52:41	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 15:02:38	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 15:02:39	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 15:12:37	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 15:22:43	3.83	4.02	1.66
2026-08-28 15:22:44	3.91	4.06	1.67
2026-08-28 15:32:37	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 15:32:38	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 15:42:35	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 15:52:41	3.89	4.08	1.66
2026-08-28 15:52:42	3.92	4.00	1.69
2026-08-28 16:02:37	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 16:12:35	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 16:22:42	3.90	4.05	1.67
2026-08-28 16:32:36	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 16:42:35	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 16:52:43	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 17:02:36	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 17:12:35	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 17:22:41	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 17:32:37	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 17:42:36	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 17:52:40	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 18:02:37	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 18:12:35	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 18:22:41	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 18:32:37	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 18:42:36	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 18:52:42	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 19:02:37	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 19:12:41	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 19:22:44	3.91	4.05	1.66
2026-08-28 19:32:37	3.57	4.03	1.74
2026-08-28 19:42:37	3.57	4.03	1.74
2026-08-28 19:52:41	3.52	4.02	1.75
2026-08-28 19:52:42	4.00	4.10	1.70
2026-08-28 20:02:41	3.57	4.03	1.74
2026-08-28 20:12:36	3.57	4.03	1.74
2026-08-28 20:22:40	3.57	4.03	1.74
2026-08-28 20:32:36	3.57	4.03	1.74
2026-08-28 20:42:40	3.57	4.03	1.74
2026-08-28 20:52:43	3.57	4.03	1.74

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.29	Penrhyncoch	2 : 2	Denbigh Town
2026.04.03	Denbigh Town	1 : 0	Penrhyncoch
2025.08.25	Penrhyncoch	1 : 1	Denbigh Town