경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

FAW Championship Wales · North - 5

Newtown AFCHOME · 1.35

4 : 02026.08.29 · 종료

LlanuwchllynAWAY · 6.25

HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 10 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 13위 승점 4 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.9%

DRAW20.1%

AWAY20.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW41 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 41/100

AI PICK HOME 44.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +5.3%

VALUE EDGE+5.3%

FAIR ODDS5.00

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 55/100 · HIGH RISK

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +20.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +35.0%p

MARKET HOME +53.3%p

SEASON_STATS HOME +100.0%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Newtown AFC분석 지표Llanuwchllyn

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 44.4%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.89

1.08 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.22

33.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

6.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

41/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지8.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도12.7 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME67.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승81.6%표본 38경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.6%현재 이동 -6.9%

OPEN → NOW1.45 → 1.35배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 20:52:43

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

59.9%

DRAW

20.1%

AWAY

20.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Newtown AFC

D · 1-1W · 5-0W · 0-3W · 2-3L · 1-2

Llanuwchllyn

L · 5-0W · 2-1L · 5-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.44

→

CURRENT1.34

-7.22%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.42

→

CURRENT5.20

+17.55%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.45

→

CURRENT6.18

+13.43%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-28 09:32:34	1.44	4.42	5.45
2026-08-28 09:42:33	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 09:52:40	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 10:02:35	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 10:12:33	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 10:22:41	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 10:32:38	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 10:42:33	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 10:52:40	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 11:02:35	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 11:12:32	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 11:22:39	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 11:32:35	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 11:42:34	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 11:52:40	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 12:02:36	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 12:12:36	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 12:22:40	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 12:32:36	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 12:42:35	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 12:52:37	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 13:02:33	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 13:12:38	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 13:22:38	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 13:32:33	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 13:42:35	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 13:52:39	1.33	5.13	6.19
2026-08-28 13:52:40	1.37	5.04	5.99
2026-08-28 14:02:35	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 14:12:34	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 14:22:47	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 14:32:36	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 14:42:35	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 14:52:40	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 15:02:38	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 15:12:37	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 15:22:43	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 15:32:37	1.35	5.08	6.09
2026-08-28 15:42:34	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 15:52:41	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 16:02:36	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 16:12:35	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 16:22:41	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 16:32:35	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 16:42:34	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 16:52:43	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 17:02:35	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 17:12:34	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 17:22:40	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 17:32:36	1.33	4.75	6.50
2026-08-28 17:32:37	1.34	5.26	6.14
2026-08-28 17:42:35	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 17:52:39	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 18:02:36	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 18:12:34	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 18:22:40	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 18:32:36	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 18:42:35	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 18:52:41	1.30	5.07	6.75
2026-08-28 18:52:42	1.36	5.28	5.84
2026-08-28 19:02:36	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 19:12:40	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 19:22:43	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 19:32:36	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 19:32:37	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 19:42:36	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 19:42:37	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 19:52:41	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 20:02:40	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 20:02:41	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 20:12:35	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 20:12:36	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 20:22:39	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 20:22:40	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 20:32:35	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 20:32:36	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 20:42:39	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 20:42:40	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 20:52:42	1.34	5.20	6.18
2026-08-28 20:52:43	1.34	5.20	6.18

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.29	Newtown AFC	4 : 0	Llanuwchllyn