경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Wales · Regular Season - 5

PenybontHOME · 1.60

1 : 12026.08.29 · 종료

Flint Town UnitedAWAY · 4.60

HOME · 현재 순위 6위 승점 11 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 13위 승점 1 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.4%

DRAW35.2%

AWAY27.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 32.2% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +11.6%

VALUE EDGE+11.6%

FAIR ODDS2.84

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 67/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM EVEN -1.8%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -11.1%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +22.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -3.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Penybont분석 지표Flint Town United

75.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

2.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.92

0.83 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.00

83.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.6 / 15

예측 분리도0.9 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME56.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승63.9%표본 122경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.3%현재 이동 -3.9%

OPEN → NOW1.67 → 1.60배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 20:52:39

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

37.4%

DRAW

35.2%

AWAY

27.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Penybont

W · 2-1W · 0-3W · 1-2D · 0-0L · 3-0

Flint Town United

L · 0-1L · 1-0L · 2-3L · 3-2W · 3-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.59

→

CURRENT1.59

+0.15%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.82

→

CURRENT3.83

+0.20%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.60

→

CURRENT4.61

+0.22%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-28 10:22:38	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 10:32:34	1.59	3.81	4.57
2026-08-28 10:32:35	1.59	3.85	4.65
2026-08-28 10:42:31	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 10:52:36	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 11:02:32	1.58	3.79	4.58
2026-08-28 11:02:33	1.62	4.00	4.70
2026-08-28 11:12:29	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 11:22:36	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 11:32:32	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 11:42:31	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 11:52:37	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 12:02:32	1.60	3.87	4.61
2026-08-28 12:02:33	1.58	3.80	4.60
2026-08-28 12:12:33	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 12:22:36	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 12:32:33	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 12:42:32	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 12:52:34	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 13:02:30	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 13:12:34	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 13:22:34	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 13:32:30	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 13:42:31	1.60	3.87	4.61
2026-08-28 13:42:32	1.58	3.80	4.60
2026-08-28 13:52:36	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 14:02:31	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 14:12:31	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 14:22:41	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 14:32:32	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 14:42:32	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 14:52:36	1.58	3.79	4.58
2026-08-28 14:52:37	1.62	3.93	4.67
2026-08-28 15:02:34	1.59	3.81	4.57
2026-08-28 15:02:35	1.59	3.84	4.62
2026-08-28 15:12:33	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 15:12:34	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 15:22:39	1.59	3.81	4.57
2026-08-28 15:22:40	1.59	3.84	4.62
2026-08-28 15:32:34	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 15:32:35	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 15:42:31	1.59	3.82	4.60
2026-08-28 15:42:32	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 15:52:37	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 16:02:33	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 16:12:32	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 16:22:38	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 16:32:33	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 16:42:32	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 16:52:39	1.59	3.81	4.57
2026-08-28 16:52:40	1.59	3.86	4.67
2026-08-28 17:02:33	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 17:12:31	1.58	3.80	4.56
2026-08-28 17:12:32	1.61	3.91	4.72
2026-08-28 17:22:37	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 17:32:34	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 17:42:32	1.61	3.88	4.54
2026-08-28 17:42:33	1.58	3.82	4.63
2026-08-28 17:52:36	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 18:02:33	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 18:12:32	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 18:22:37	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 18:32:33	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 18:42:33	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 18:52:38	1.58	3.80	4.56
2026-08-28 18:52:39	1.61	3.91	4.72
2026-08-28 19:02:33	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 19:12:37	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 19:22:40	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 19:32:33	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 19:42:33	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 19:52:37	1.58	3.78	4.52
2026-08-28 19:52:38	1.60	3.89	4.72
2026-08-28 20:02:38	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 20:12:32	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 20:22:36	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 20:32:32	1.58	3.80	4.59
2026-08-28 20:32:33	1.62	4.00	4.70
2026-08-28 20:42:36	1.59	3.83	4.61
2026-08-28 20:52:39	1.59	3.83	4.61

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.29	Penybont	1 : 1	Flint Town United
2025.11.01	Flint Town United	3 : 4	Penybont
2025.09.13	Penybont	5 : 0	Flint Town United
2024.11.09	Penybont	3 : 1	Flint Town United
2024.09.28	Flint Town United	0 : 1	Penybont