경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Premier League Wales · Regular Season - 5

HolywellHOME · 7.60

3 : 52026.08.29 · 종료

Caernarfon TownAWAY · 1.28

HOME · 현재 순위 16위 승점 0 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 5위 승점 12 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.9%

DRAW22.4%

AWAY27.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH80 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 38.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +38.0%

VALUE EDGE+38.0%

FAIR ODDS2.00

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -11.7%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +5.6%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -32.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +15.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Holywell분석 지표Caernarfon Town

0.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

0.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.67

3.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00

0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

80/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도6.1 / 15

예측 분리도9.5 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME11.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승0.0%표본 9경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승50.3%현재 이동 -7.9%

OPEN → NOW8.25 → 7.60배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 18:42:32

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

49.9%

DRAW

22.4%

AWAY

27.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Holywell

L · 1-3L · 3-1L · 1-3L · 6-1D · 1-1

Caernarfon Town

W · 0-2W · 3-0L · 1-2W · 1-2L · 5-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN7.66

→

CURRENT7.61

-0.62%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.25

→

CURRENT5.25

+0.04%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.27

→

CURRENT1.27

-0.29%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-28 07:52:35	7.66	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 08:02:32	7.75	5.08	1.28
2026-08-28 08:02:33	7.63	5.31	1.27
2026-08-28 08:12:31	7.66	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 08:22:35	7.66	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 08:32:31	7.66	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 08:42:30	7.66	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 08:52:35	7.66	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 09:02:33	7.66	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 09:12:30	7.66	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 09:22:37	7.66	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 09:32:31	7.66	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 09:42:29	7.66	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 09:52:36	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 10:02:32	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 10:12:29	7.66	5.13	1.29
2026-08-28 10:12:30	7.40	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 10:22:37	7.78	5.18	1.27
2026-08-28 10:22:38	7.23	5.24	1.28
2026-08-28 10:32:34	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 10:42:30	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 10:52:36	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 11:02:32	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 11:12:29	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 11:22:35	7.58	5.08	1.29
2026-08-28 11:22:36	7.45	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 11:32:32	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 11:42:31	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 11:52:36	7.52	5.13	1.27
2026-08-28 11:52:37	7.33	5.50	1.30
2026-08-28 12:02:32	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 12:12:32	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 12:22:36	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 12:32:33	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 12:42:31	7.48	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 12:52:33	7.39	5.11	1.27
2026-08-28 12:52:34	7.55	5.44	1.29
2026-08-28 13:02:30	7.44	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 13:12:34	7.44	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 13:22:34	7.44	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 13:32:30	7.44	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 13:42:31	7.44	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 13:52:35	7.69	5.18	1.28
2026-08-28 13:52:36	7.23	5.24	1.28
2026-08-28 14:02:31	7.44	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 14:12:31	7.44	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 14:22:40	7.41	5.16	1.28
2026-08-28 14:22:41	7.80	5.80	1.30
2026-08-28 14:32:32	7.44	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 14:42:31	7.52	5.07	1.27
2026-08-28 14:42:32	7.35	5.38	1.29
2026-08-28 14:52:36	7.44	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 15:02:34	7.44	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 15:12:33	7.44	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 15:22:39	7.44	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 15:32:33	7.75	5.25	1.28
2026-08-28 15:32:34	7.42	5.21	1.28
2026-08-28 15:42:30	7.44	5.13	1.27
2026-08-28 15:42:31	7.45	5.65	1.30
2026-08-28 15:52:36	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 16:02:32	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 16:12:31	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 16:22:37	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 16:32:31	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 16:42:31	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 16:52:38	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 17:02:32	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 17:12:30	7.88	5.13	1.29
2026-08-28 17:12:31	7.56	5.28	1.27
2026-08-28 17:22:36	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 17:32:32	7.73	5.21	1.26
2026-08-28 17:32:33	7.23	5.40	1.30
2026-08-28 17:42:31	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 17:52:35	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 18:02:32	7.79	5.21	1.26
2026-08-28 18:02:33	7.34	5.32	1.29
2026-08-28 18:12:31	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 18:22:36	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 18:32:32	7.61	5.25	1.27
2026-08-28 18:42:32	7.61	5.25	1.27

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.29	Holywell	3 : 5	Caernarfon Town