경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Ligue 1 France · Regular Season - 2

LilleHOME · 4.80

2 : 22026.08.29 · 종료

Paris Saint GermainAWAY · 1.71

HOME · 현재 순위 1위 승점 4 · 2경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 6위 승점 2 · 2경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME28.9%

DRAW26.3%

AWAY44.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 92/100

AI PICK AWAY 37.1% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +9.0%

VALUE EDGE+9.0%

FAIR ODDS3.46

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 69/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +3.2%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -8.3%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +4.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +1.8%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE

Lille분석 지표Paris Saint Germain

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

2.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.75

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

80.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 42.9%

5.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

84/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.4 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본5.5 / 10

모델 일치도10.2 / 15

예측 분리도6.9 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME19.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승6.9%표본 29경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승41.1%현재 이동 +5.5%

OPEN → NOW4.55 → 4.80배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 23:50:39

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

28.9%

DRAW

26.3%

AWAY

44.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Lille

W · 0-2D · 1-1D · 2-2W · 3-6L · 2-1

Paris Saint Germain

D · 2-2L · 1-0W · 2-1D · 1-1L · 3-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.54

→

CURRENT4.81

+6.07%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.88

→

CURRENT3.91

+0.83%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.73

→

CURRENT1.70

-1.82%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-28 12:02:19	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 12:12:19	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 12:22:21	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 12:32:20	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 12:42:18	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 12:52:19	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 13:02:17	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 13:12:19	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 13:22:19	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 13:32:17	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 13:42:18	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 13:52:20	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 14:02:18	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 14:12:18	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 14:22:25	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 14:32:20	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 14:42:18	4.54	3.88	1.73
2026-08-28 14:52:21	4.47	3.82	1.72
2026-08-28 14:52:22	4.68	4.02	1.77
2026-08-28 15:02:20	4.55	3.80	1.71
2026-08-28 15:02:21	4.64	3.91	1.72
2026-08-28 15:12:20	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 15:22:23	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 15:32:20	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 15:42:18	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 15:52:20	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 16:02:19	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 16:12:18	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 16:22:21	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 16:32:18	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 16:42:17	4.64	3.89	1.70
2026-08-28 16:42:18	4.63	3.90	1.74
2026-08-28 16:52:22	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 17:02:19	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 17:12:18	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 17:22:20	4.58	3.87	1.71
2026-08-28 17:22:21	4.80	3.98	1.73
2026-08-28 17:32:20	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 17:42:18	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 17:52:20	4.58	3.87	1.71
2026-08-28 17:52:21	4.80	3.98	1.73
2026-08-28 18:02:18	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 18:12:18	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 18:22:20	4.58	3.87	1.71
2026-08-28 18:22:21	4.80	3.98	1.73
2026-08-28 18:32:19	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 18:42:18	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 18:52:22	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 19:02:18	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 19:12:21	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 19:22:23	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 19:32:20	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 19:42:19	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 19:52:22	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 20:02:21	4.58	3.87	1.71
2026-08-28 20:02:22	4.80	3.98	1.73
2026-08-28 20:12:18	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 20:22:20	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 20:32:18	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 20:42:20	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 20:52:22	4.63	3.90	1.72
2026-08-28 21:20:25	4.81	3.91	1.70
2026-08-28 21:30:25	4.81	3.91	1.70
2026-08-28 21:40:25	4.82	3.90	1.70
2026-08-28 21:40:26	4.70	4.00	1.73
2026-08-28 21:50:25	4.81	3.91	1.70
2026-08-28 22:00:27	4.81	3.91	1.70
2026-08-28 22:10:25	4.81	3.91	1.70
2026-08-28 22:20:27	4.81	3.91	1.70
2026-08-28 22:30:26	4.81	3.91	1.70
2026-08-28 22:40:32	4.81	3.91	1.70
2026-08-28 22:50:35	4.81	3.88	1.70
2026-08-28 22:50:36	4.82	4.02	1.73
2026-08-28 23:00:36	4.81	3.91	1.70
2026-08-28 23:10:32	4.82	3.90	1.70
2026-08-28 23:10:33	4.70	4.00	1.73
2026-08-28 23:20:32	4.81	3.91	1.70
2026-08-28 23:30:40	4.81	3.91	1.70
2026-08-28 23:40:34	4.81	3.91	1.70
2026-08-28 23:50:39	4.81	3.91	1.70

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.29	Lille	2 : 2	Paris Saint Germain
2026.01.17	Paris Saint Germain	3 : 0	Lille
2025.10.06	Lille	1 : 1	Paris Saint Germain
2025.03.02	Paris Saint Germain	4 : 1	Lille
2024.09.02	Lille	1 : 3	Paris Saint Germain