경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

FAW Championship Wales · South - 5

llanelli AFCHOME · 3.52

2 : 22026.08.29 · 종료

Carmarthen TownAWAY · 1.78

HOME · 현재 순위 15위 승점 1 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 9 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME3.5%

DRAW5.5%

AWAY91.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 69.6% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +40.0%

VALUE EDGE+40.0%

FAIR ODDS1.10

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -61.7%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -58.3%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -18.2%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -22.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

llanelli AFC분석 지표Carmarthen Town

0.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

0.58 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.25

3.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.25

0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

6.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도7.9 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME25.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승20.2%표본 99경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 4경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승34.2%현재 이동 -21.8%

OPEN → NOW4.50 → 3.52배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 20:52:44

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

3.5%

DRAW

5.5%

AWAY

91.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

llanelli AFC

L · 4-2L · 3-0D · 1-1L · 1-4L · 8-0

Carmarthen Town

L · 2-4W · 3-1W · 1-2W · 4-3L · 2-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.56

→

CURRENT3.51

-1.53%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.94

→

CURRENT3.87

-1.78%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.75

→

CURRENT1.78

+1.46%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-28 09:42:34	3.56	3.94	1.75
2026-08-28 09:52:41	3.56	3.94	1.75
2026-08-28 10:02:36	3.56	3.94	1.75
2026-08-28 10:12:33	3.58	3.90	1.73
2026-08-28 10:12:34	3.54	4.00	1.78
2026-08-28 10:22:42	3.56	3.94	1.75
2026-08-28 10:32:39	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 10:42:34	3.40	3.60	1.75
2026-08-28 10:42:35	3.58	3.97	1.76
2026-08-28 10:52:41	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 11:02:36	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 11:12:33	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 11:22:40	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 11:32:36	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 11:42:35	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 11:52:41	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 12:02:37	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 12:12:37	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 12:22:41	3.51	3.85	1.73
2026-08-28 12:22:42	3.58	3.97	1.77
2026-08-28 12:32:37	3.40	3.60	1.75
2026-08-28 12:32:38	3.58	3.97	1.76
2026-08-28 12:42:36	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 12:52:39	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 13:02:34	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 13:12:39	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 13:22:39	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 13:32:34	3.55	3.90	1.75
2026-08-28 13:32:35	3.58	4.05	1.80
2026-08-28 13:42:36	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 13:52:41	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 14:02:36	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 14:12:36	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 14:22:48	3.51	3.85	1.73
2026-08-28 14:22:49	3.58	3.97	1.77
2026-08-28 14:32:37	3.55	3.91	1.75
2026-08-28 14:32:38	3.60	4.10	1.79
2026-08-28 14:42:36	3.58	3.88	1.74
2026-08-28 14:42:37	3.52	4.03	1.79
2026-08-28 14:52:41	3.57	3.88	1.74
2026-08-28 14:52:42	3.54	3.99	1.79
2026-08-28 15:02:39	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 15:12:38	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 15:22:45	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 15:32:38	3.55	3.91	1.75
2026-08-28 15:32:39	3.60	4.10	1.79
2026-08-28 15:42:35	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 15:52:42	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 16:02:37	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 16:12:36	3.56	3.93	1.76
2026-08-28 16:22:42	3.58	3.88	1.74
2026-08-28 16:22:43	3.52	4.03	1.79
2026-08-28 16:32:36	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 16:42:36	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 16:52:44	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 17:02:37	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 17:12:35	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 17:22:41	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 17:32:38	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 17:42:37	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 17:52:41	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 18:02:37	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 18:12:36	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 18:22:41	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 18:32:37	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 18:42:36	3.55	3.79	1.75
2026-08-28 18:42:37	3.49	3.92	1.79
2026-08-28 18:52:43	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 19:02:37	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 19:12:42	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 19:22:44	3.51	3.88	1.78
2026-08-28 19:32:38	3.51	3.87	1.78
2026-08-28 19:42:37	3.51	3.87	1.78
2026-08-28 19:52:42	3.51	3.87	1.78
2026-08-28 20:02:42	3.51	3.87	1.78
2026-08-28 20:12:36	3.51	3.87	1.78
2026-08-28 20:22:40	3.51	3.87	1.78
2026-08-28 20:32:36	3.51	3.87	1.78
2026-08-28 20:42:40	3.51	3.87	1.78
2026-08-28 20:52:44	3.51	3.87	1.78

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.29	llanelli AFC	2 : 2	Carmarthen Town