경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

FAW Championship Wales · South - 5

Baglan DragonsHOME · 5.00

3 : 12026.08.29 · 종료

Caerau (Ely)AWAY · 1.53

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 7 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 11위 승점 4 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME5.3%

DRAW9.8%

AWAY84.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 56.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +25.4%

VALUE EDGE+25.4%

FAIR ODDS1.18

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -24.1%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -22.2%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +6.8%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -20.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Baglan Dragons분석 지표Caerau (Ely)

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

0.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.17

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.92

16.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.5 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME18.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승8.8%표본 68경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승31.5%현재 이동 +19.0%

OPEN → NOW4.20 → 5.00배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 20:52:44

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

5.3%

DRAW

9.8%

AWAY

84.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Baglan Dragons

W · 0-1W · 0-1L · 0-3D · 0-0D · 1-1

Caerau (Ely)

L · 1-5W · 2-4D · 1-1L · 4-3D · 4-4

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.22

→

CURRENT4.87

+15.44%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.98

→

CURRENT4.03

+1.42%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.63

→

CURRENT1.53

-6.10%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-28 07:32:34	4.22	3.98	1.63
2026-08-28 07:42:34	4.22	3.98	1.63
2026-08-28 07:52:39	4.22	3.98	1.63
2026-08-28 08:02:36	4.22	3.98	1.63
2026-08-28 08:12:34	4.22	3.98	1.63
2026-08-28 08:22:39	4.22	3.98	1.63
2026-08-28 08:32:34	4.22	3.98	1.63
2026-08-28 08:42:34	4.22	3.98	1.63
2026-08-28 08:52:39	4.22	3.98	1.63
2026-08-28 09:02:37	4.22	3.98	1.63
2026-08-28 09:12:34	4.22	3.98	1.63
2026-08-28 09:22:41	4.22	3.98	1.63
2026-08-28 09:32:34	4.12	3.97	1.62
2026-08-28 09:32:35	4.26	3.98	1.64
2026-08-28 10:32:39	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 10:42:34	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 10:52:41	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 11:02:36	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 11:12:33	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 11:22:40	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 11:32:36	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 11:42:35	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 11:52:41	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 12:02:37	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 12:12:37	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 12:22:41	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 12:32:37	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 12:42:36	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 12:52:39	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 13:02:34	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 13:12:39	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 13:22:39	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 13:32:34	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 13:42:36	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 13:52:41	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 14:02:36	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 14:12:36	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 14:22:48	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 14:32:37	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 14:42:36	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 14:52:41	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 15:02:39	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 15:12:38	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 15:22:45	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 15:32:38	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 15:42:35	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 15:52:42	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 16:02:37	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 16:12:36	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 16:22:42	4.79	4.03	1.55
2026-08-28 16:32:36	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 16:42:35	4.84	4.01	1.52
2026-08-28 16:42:36	4.91	4.06	1.55
2026-08-28 16:52:44	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 17:02:36	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 17:12:35	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 17:22:41	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 17:32:38	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 17:42:36	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 17:52:41	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 18:02:37	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 18:12:35	4.91	4.02	1.52
2026-08-28 18:12:36	4.80	4.07	1.56
2026-08-28 18:22:41	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 18:32:37	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 18:42:36	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 18:52:43	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 19:02:37	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 19:12:41	4.91	4.02	1.52
2026-08-28 19:12:42	4.80	4.07	1.56
2026-08-28 19:22:44	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 19:32:38	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 19:42:37	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 19:52:42	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 20:02:42	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 20:12:36	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 20:22:40	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 20:32:36	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 20:42:40	4.87	4.03	1.53
2026-08-28 20:52:44	4.87	4.03	1.53

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.29	Baglan Dragons	3 : 1	Caerau (Ely)
2026.03.14	Baglan Dragons	0 : 5	Caerau (Ely)
2025.09.18	Caerau (Ely)	2 : 1	Baglan Dragons
2025.08.23	Caerau (Ely)	1 : 0	Baglan Dragons