경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Eredivisie Netherlands · Regular Season - 4

GroningenHOME · 1.51

2 : 32026.08.29 · 종료

Fortuna SittardAWAY · 5.50

HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 11 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 6위 승점 14 · 8경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.3%

DRAW18.6%

AWAY12.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH78 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 78/100

AI PICK HOME 46.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +6.6%

VALUE EDGE+6.6%

FAIR ODDS1.44

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 97/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +34.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +25.0%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +1.8%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

H2H EVEN +0.0%p

• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

Groningen분석 지표Fortuna Sittard

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58

1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.83

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

5.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

78/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지15.5 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본3.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.3 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도8.5 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.8 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME62.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승67.6%표본 108경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승45.8%현재 이동 +0.7%

OPEN → NOW1.50 → 1.51배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 23:50:36

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

69.3%

DRAW

18.6%

AWAY

12.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Groningen

L · 5-1W · 1-4W · 2-1W · 1-0D · 0-0

Fortuna Sittard

L · 0-2W · 3-1D · 2-2W · 2-1L · 3-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.55

→

CURRENT1.50

-3.08%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.48

→

CURRENT4.74

+5.67%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.07

→

CURRENT5.60

+10.45%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-28 12:22:19	1.55	4.48	5.07
2026-08-28 12:32:18	1.55	4.48	5.07
2026-08-28 12:42:17	1.55	4.48	5.07
2026-08-28 12:52:17	1.55	4.48	5.07
2026-08-28 13:02:15	1.54	4.40	5.02
2026-08-28 13:02:16	1.58	4.66	5.19
2026-08-28 13:12:17	1.54	4.39	5.06
2026-08-28 13:12:18	1.56	4.54	5.08
2026-08-28 13:22:17	1.54	4.39	5.06
2026-08-28 13:22:18	1.56	4.54	5.08
2026-08-28 13:32:15	1.55	4.48	5.07
2026-08-28 13:42:16	1.55	4.48	5.07
2026-08-28 13:52:18	1.55	4.48	5.07
2026-08-28 14:02:16	1.52	4.40	5.40
2026-08-28 14:02:17	1.55	4.49	5.04
2026-08-28 14:12:16	1.55	4.48	5.07
2026-08-28 14:22:22	1.55	4.48	5.07
2026-08-28 14:32:18	1.55	4.48	5.07
2026-08-28 14:42:17	1.55	4.48	5.07
2026-08-28 14:52:20	1.55	4.48	5.07
2026-08-28 15:02:19	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 15:12:18	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 15:22:21	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 15:32:18	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 15:42:16	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 15:52:18	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 16:02:17	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 16:12:16	1.55	4.46	5.10
2026-08-28 16:12:17	1.59	4.60	5.05
2026-08-28 16:22:19	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 16:32:16	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 16:42:16	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 16:52:20	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 17:02:17	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 17:12:16	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 17:22:19	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 17:32:18	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 17:42:16	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 17:52:19	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 18:02:16	1.53	4.43	5.13
2026-08-28 18:02:17	1.57	4.54	5.06
2026-08-28 18:12:15	1.54	4.41	5.15
2026-08-28 18:12:16	1.56	4.53	5.05
2026-08-28 18:22:19	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 18:32:17	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 18:42:16	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 18:52:20	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 19:02:16	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 19:12:19	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 19:22:21	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 19:32:18	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 19:42:17	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 19:52:20	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 20:02:20	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 20:12:16	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 20:22:19	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 20:32:16	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 20:42:18	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 20:52:20	1.55	4.49	5.09
2026-08-28 21:20:22	1.50	4.64	5.53
2026-08-28 21:30:22	1.50	4.64	5.53
2026-08-28 21:40:23	1.50	4.64	5.53
2026-08-28 21:50:22	1.51	4.45	5.38
2026-08-28 21:50:23	1.50	4.69	5.57
2026-08-28 22:00:25	1.50	4.64	5.53
2026-08-28 22:10:22	1.49	4.58	5.57
2026-08-28 22:10:23	1.52	4.73	5.46
2026-08-28 22:20:24	1.50	4.64	5.53
2026-08-28 22:30:23	1.50	4.64	5.53
2026-08-28 22:40:29	1.49	4.55	5.51
2026-08-28 22:40:30	1.53	4.83	5.57
2026-08-28 22:50:33	1.50	4.64	5.53
2026-08-28 23:00:33	1.50	4.64	5.53
2026-08-28 23:10:29	1.50	4.64	5.53
2026-08-28 23:20:28	1.51	4.30	5.20
2026-08-28 23:20:29	1.50	4.70	5.59
2026-08-28 23:30:37	1.50	4.64	5.53
2026-08-28 23:40:30	1.50	4.64	5.53
2026-08-28 23:50:35	1.50	4.48	5.41
2026-08-28 23:50:36	1.50	4.74	5.60

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.29	Groningen	2 : 3	Fortuna Sittard
2026.01.25	Groningen	1 : 2	Fortuna Sittard
2025.10.25	Fortuna Sittard	1 : 2	Groningen
2025.03.16	Groningen	1 : 0	Fortuna Sittard
2024.10.26	Fortuna Sittard	1 : 0	Groningen