경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Eerste Divisie Netherlands · Regular Season - 4

Jong AZHOME · 1.78

1 : 22026.08.29 · 종료

MVVAWAY · 3.82

HOME · 현재 순위 19위 승점 0 · 0경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 8위 승점 0 · 0경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME75.0%

DRAW16.2%

AWAY8.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW44 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 44/100

AI PICK HOME 52.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +22.9%

VALUE EDGE+22.9%

FAIR ODDS1.33

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 98/100 · HIGH RISK

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +14.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +18.9%p

MARKET HOME +27.8%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

Jong AZ분석 지표MVV

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

2.92 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00

1.67 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.25

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

44/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지8.8 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본4.5 / 10

모델 일치도10.7 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도8.5 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.8 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME52.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승50.8%표본 238경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승44.6%현재 이동 +1.7%

OPEN → NOW1.75 → 1.78배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 23:50:34

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

75.0%

DRAW

16.2%

AWAY

8.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Jong AZ

L · 3-1W · 2-5L · 0-1W · 1-7W · 1-4

MVV

L · 6-0W · 1-0W · 2-3W · 2-1D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.76

→

CURRENT1.77

+0.70%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.00

→

CURRENT3.99

-0.15%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.87

→

CURRENT3.84

-0.70%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-28 12:52:16	1.76	4.00	3.87
2026-08-28 13:02:15	1.76	4.00	3.87
2026-08-28 13:12:17	1.76	4.00	3.87
2026-08-28 13:22:17	1.76	4.00	3.87
2026-08-28 13:32:14	1.76	4.00	3.87
2026-08-28 13:42:15	1.76	4.06	3.82
2026-08-28 13:42:16	1.76	3.95	3.91
2026-08-28 13:52:17	1.76	4.00	3.83
2026-08-28 13:52:18	1.77	4.00	4.05
2026-08-28 14:02:16	1.76	4.00	3.87
2026-08-28 14:12:15	1.76	4.00	3.87
2026-08-28 14:22:21	1.76	4.00	3.87
2026-08-28 14:32:17	1.76	4.00	3.87
2026-08-28 14:42:16	1.76	4.00	3.87
2026-08-28 14:52:19	1.76	4.00	3.87
2026-08-28 15:02:18	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 15:12:17	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 15:22:20	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 15:32:18	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 15:42:15	1.76	4.01	3.78
2026-08-28 15:42:16	1.80	3.90	3.98
2026-08-28 15:52:17	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 16:02:16	1.77	4.20	3.80
2026-08-28 16:02:17	1.77	3.97	3.83
2026-08-28 16:12:16	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 16:22:18	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 16:32:16	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 16:42:15	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 16:52:19	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 17:02:16	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 17:12:16	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 17:22:18	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 17:32:17	1.76	4.05	3.77
2026-08-28 17:32:18	1.78	3.91	3.90
2026-08-28 17:42:15	1.77	4.02	3.84
2026-08-28 17:42:16	1.78	3.93	3.82
2026-08-28 17:52:18	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 18:02:16	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 18:12:15	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 18:22:18	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 18:32:16	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 18:42:16	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 18:52:19	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 19:02:15	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 19:12:18	1.77	4.02	3.84
2026-08-28 19:12:19	1.78	3.93	3.82
2026-08-28 19:22:20	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 19:32:17	1.79	4.05	3.70
2026-08-28 19:32:18	1.77	3.97	3.85
2026-08-28 19:42:16	1.77	3.98	3.82
2026-08-28 19:42:17	1.82	4.00	4.00
2026-08-28 19:52:19	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 20:02:19	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 20:12:16	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 20:22:18	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 20:32:15	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 20:42:18	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 20:52:19	1.77	3.98	3.83
2026-08-28 21:20:21	1.77	3.99	3.84
2026-08-28 21:30:21	1.77	4.04	3.77
2026-08-28 21:30:22	1.78	3.95	3.90
2026-08-28 21:40:22	1.77	3.99	3.84
2026-08-28 21:50:21	1.79	4.05	3.70
2026-08-28 21:50:22	1.77	3.98	3.86
2026-08-28 22:00:24	1.77	3.99	3.84
2026-08-28 22:10:21	1.77	4.02	3.84
2026-08-28 22:10:22	1.78	3.95	3.84
2026-08-28 22:20:23	1.77	3.99	3.84
2026-08-28 22:30:22	1.77	3.99	3.84
2026-08-28 22:40:28	1.77	4.02	3.84
2026-08-28 22:40:29	1.78	3.95	3.84
2026-08-28 22:50:32	1.77	3.99	3.84
2026-08-28 23:00:32	1.77	3.99	3.84
2026-08-28 23:10:27	1.79	4.00	3.80
2026-08-28 23:10:28	1.77	3.99	3.85
2026-08-28 23:20:27	1.77	3.99	3.84
2026-08-28 23:30:35	1.77	3.99	3.83
2026-08-28 23:30:36	1.82	4.00	4.00
2026-08-28 23:40:29	1.77	3.99	3.84
2026-08-28 23:50:34	1.77	3.99	3.84

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.29	Jong AZ	1 : 2	MVV