경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Division 2 - Södra Svealand Sweden · Södra Svealand - 19

FarstaHOME · 1.68

4 : 12026.08.29 · 종료

Nacka IliriaAWAY · 3.87

HOME · 현재 순위 1위 승점 49 · 25경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 11위 승점 27 · 25경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME87.7%

DRAW7.6%

AWAY4.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH81 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 81/100

AI PICK HOME 62.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +34.0%

VALUE EDGE+34.0%

FAIR ODDS1.14

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +52.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +65.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +19.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -5.6%p

MARKET HOME +30.4%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

Farsta분석 지표Nacka Iliria

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.50

0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.42

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

5.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.3일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

81/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지16.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본4.5 / 10

모델 일치도8.9 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도8.5 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME53.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승62.1%표본 116경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승42.0%현재 이동 +4.0%

OPEN → NOW1.61 → 1.68배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 23:50:13

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

87.7%

DRAW

7.6%

AWAY

4.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Farsta

W · 0-2W · 3-0D · 2-2D · 1-1W · 1-4

Nacka Iliria

W · 0-1W · 1-0W · 0-4D · 1-1L · 4-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.74

→

CURRENT1.69

-3.05%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.02

→

CURRENT3.98

-0.99%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.61

→

CURRENT3.86

+7.11%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-28 11:52:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 12:02:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 12:12:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 12:22:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 12:32:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 12:42:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 12:52:06	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 13:02:06	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 13:12:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 13:22:06	1.77	4.02	3.41
2026-08-28 13:22:07	1.73	4.02	3.71
2026-08-28 13:32:06	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 13:42:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 13:52:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 14:02:06	1.78	3.96	3.44
2026-08-28 14:02:07	1.62	4.20	4.20
2026-08-28 14:12:06	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 14:22:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 14:32:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 14:42:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 14:52:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 15:02:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 15:12:06	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 15:22:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 15:32:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 15:42:06	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 15:52:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 16:02:06	1.77	3.94	3.46
2026-08-28 16:02:07	1.69	4.17	3.90
2026-08-28 16:12:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 16:22:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 16:32:06	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 16:42:06	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 16:52:07	1.75	4.05	3.50
2026-08-28 16:52:08	1.74	4.01	3.64
2026-08-28 17:02:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 17:12:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 17:22:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 17:32:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 17:42:06	1.76	3.98	3.52
2026-08-28 17:42:07	1.62	4.30	4.30
2026-08-28 17:52:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 18:02:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 18:12:06	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 18:22:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 18:32:06	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 18:42:06	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 18:52:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 19:02:06	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 19:12:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 19:22:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 19:32:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 19:42:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 19:52:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 20:02:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 20:12:06	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 20:22:07	1.77	3.94	3.46
2026-08-28 20:22:08	1.69	4.17	3.90
2026-08-28 20:32:07	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 20:42:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 20:52:08	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 21:20:09	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 21:30:09	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 21:40:10	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 21:50:09	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 22:00:10	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 22:10:09	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 22:20:09	1.70	4.10	3.80
2026-08-28 22:20:10	1.75	4.01	3.58
2026-08-28 22:30:09	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 22:40:10	1.77	4.02	3.41
2026-08-28 22:40:11	1.73	4.02	3.71
2026-08-28 22:50:14	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 23:00:17	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 23:10:11	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 23:20:11	1.77	4.02	3.41
2026-08-28 23:20:12	1.73	4.02	3.71
2026-08-28 23:30:13	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 23:40:12	1.74	4.02	3.61
2026-08-28 23:50:13	1.69	3.98	3.86

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.29	Farsta	4 : 1	Nacka Iliria
2026.04.11	Nacka Iliria	3 : 2	Farsta