경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

I Liga Poland · Regular Season - 6

Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiHOME · 2.56

2 : 22026.08.29 · 종료

NiecieczaAWAY · 2.38

HOME · 현재 순위 1위 승점 11 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 11위 승점 6 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME11.8%

DRAW14.1%

AWAY74.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 94/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +35.7%

VALUE EDGE+35.7%

FAIR ODDS1.35

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -31.9%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -44.4%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +16.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -19.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki분석 지표Nieciecza

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.92

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.33

75.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

6.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

77/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지18.8 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도5.0 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME35.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승37.7%표본 239경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 4경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.1%현재 이동 -1.5%

OPEN → NOW2.60 → 2.56배당 업데이트 2026-08-28 23:50:45

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

11.8%

DRAW

14.1%

AWAY

74.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

D · 2-2D · 1-1W · 0-1W · 1-0W · 0-3

Nieciecza

L · 1-3L · 2-1L · 1-2W · 1-2D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.58

→

CURRENT2.57

-0.39%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.44

→

CURRENT3.49

+1.63%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.37

→

CURRENT2.37

-0.10%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-28 12:22:24	2.58	3.44	2.37
2026-08-28 12:32:23	2.58	3.44	2.37
2026-08-28 12:42:21	2.58	3.44	2.37
2026-08-28 12:52:22	2.58	3.44	2.37
2026-08-28 13:02:20	2.58	3.44	2.37
2026-08-28 13:12:22	2.60	3.40	2.37
2026-08-28 13:12:23	2.58	3.44	2.37
2026-08-28 13:22:22	2.57	3.40	2.35
2026-08-28 13:22:23	2.59	3.45	2.38
2026-08-28 13:32:19	2.57	3.42	2.36
2026-08-28 13:32:20	2.62	3.48	2.40
2026-08-28 13:42:21	2.58	3.44	2.37
2026-08-28 13:52:24	2.58	3.44	2.37
2026-08-28 14:02:21	2.58	3.44	2.37
2026-08-28 14:12:20	2.56	3.36	2.37
2026-08-28 14:12:21	2.60	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 14:22:29	2.58	3.44	2.37
2026-08-28 14:32:22	2.57	3.43	2.36
2026-08-28 14:32:23	2.65	3.45	2.43
2026-08-28 14:42:21	2.57	3.43	2.36
2026-08-28 14:42:22	2.65	3.45	2.43
2026-08-28 14:52:25	2.58	3.44	2.37
2026-08-28 15:02:23	2.55	3.46	2.33
2026-08-28 15:02:24	2.59	3.47	2.39
2026-08-28 15:12:23	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 15:22:27	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 15:32:23	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 15:42:21	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 15:52:24	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 16:02:22	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 16:12:21	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 16:22:25	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 16:32:21	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 16:42:20	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 16:52:26	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 17:02:21	2.56	3.47	2.36
2026-08-28 17:02:22	2.62	3.48	2.40
2026-08-28 17:12:21	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 17:22:24	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 17:32:22	2.60	3.50	2.35
2026-08-28 17:32:23	2.57	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 17:42:21	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 17:52:24	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 18:02:22	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 18:12:21	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 18:22:24	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 18:32:21	2.55	3.50	2.33
2026-08-28 18:32:22	2.58	3.46	2.38
2026-08-28 18:42:21	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 18:52:26	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 19:02:21	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 19:12:24	2.57	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 19:12:25	2.65	3.50	2.44
2026-08-28 19:22:27	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 19:32:22	2.60	3.50	2.35
2026-08-28 19:32:23	2.57	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 19:42:22	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 19:52:25	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 20:02:24	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 20:12:21	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 20:22:24	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 20:32:21	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 20:42:23	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 20:52:26	2.58	3.47	2.37
2026-08-28 21:20:29	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 21:30:29	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 21:40:29	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 21:50:29	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 22:00:31	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 22:10:29	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 22:20:32	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 22:30:29	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 22:40:36	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 22:50:41	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 23:00:42	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 23:10:38	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 23:20:38	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 23:30:46	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 23:40:40	2.57	3.49	2.37
2026-08-28 23:50:45	2.57	3.49	2.37

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.29	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	2 : 2	Nieciecza