LIVE 21 오늘 156경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

NPB Japan
Chiba Lotte MarinesHOME · 2.60
2 : 42026.08.27 · 종료
Fukuoka S. HawksAWAY · 1.52

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100
야구 MODEL V7.0

종목별 핵심 분석

선발투수 · Run Differential · 최근 승률 · 홈/원정 · 휴식일

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +4.3%
VALUE EDGE+4.3%
FAIR ODDS2.43
GRADEB
NPB · STARTING PITCHER MATCHUP

선발투수 비교

MATCHUP DATA30/100
Chiba Lotte Marines · HOME STARTER

Mouri, Kaito

-HP RECENT FORM
ERA-
WHIP-
K/9-
BB/9-
최근 0경기 ERA - · WHIP -
STARTER EDGE 53 : 47 대등
Fukuoka S. Hawks · AWAY STARTER

Matsumoto, Yuki

-HP RECENT FORM
ERA-
WHIP-
K/9-
BB/9-
최근 0경기 ERA - · WHIP -
Chiba Lotte Marines 선발 세부 상성 Fukuoka S. Hawks
- 최근 5경기 ERA -
- 최근 5경기 WHIP -
- 홈/원정 ERA -
- 홈/원정 WHIP -
- 상대팀 ERA -
- 상대팀 WHIP -
- 평균 이닝 -
- 휴식일 -
Chiba Lotte Marines 최근 공격 5.50 R/G 최근 10경기 · 득실 2.00
불펜 컨디션 ACTUAL - / - ERA 최근 3일 실제 구원투수 게임 스탯
Fukuoka S. Hawks 최근 공격 3.70 R/G 최근 10경기 · 득실 -0.70
시즌 기본 성적 DATA 없음
최근 5경기 DATA 없음
홈/원정 스플릿 DATA 없음
상대팀 상대전적 DATA 없음
휴식/이닝 소화 DATA 없음
구종/구속 지표 DATA 없음
상대 타선 최근 공격력 61 : 39
실제 불펜 컨디션 50 : 50
예상 라인업 타격력 DATA 없음
좌우 타선 상성 DATA 없음
구종 × 상대 타선 DATA 없음
HOME상대 타선 최근 공격력 EVEN실제 불펜 컨디션
Chiba Lotte Marines분석 지표Fukuoka S. Hawks
41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%
-0.58 Run Differential높을수록 유리 +2.75
3.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.83
37.5% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%
1.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 1.0일
BASEBALL AI V7.0

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 51/100 · HIGH RISK
상대 타선 최근 공격력 HOME 61 : 39
실제 불펜 컨디션 HOME 50 : 50
• 야구 세부 데이터 품질이 충분하지 않습니다.• 구종×타선 데이터가 일부 일반 타격 프로필 fallback을 사용합니다.
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지20.0 / 20
시장/배당14.3 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도13.8 / 15
예측 분리도7.6 / 15
데이터 신선도5.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보4.7 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME36.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승33.3%표본 15경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승33.3%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승27.8%현재 이동 +9.5%
OPEN → NOW2.38 → 2.60배당 업데이트 2026-08-27 21:32:31

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
41.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
58.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Chiba Lotte Marines
W · 6-5W · 18-4L · 3-2L · 2-0W · 5-6
Fukuoka S. Hawks
L · 6-5W · 0-4W · 4-0L · 13-3L · 4-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+100.0%+50.0%0.0%-50.0%-100.0%08/27 12:3808/27 14:5208/27 17:0208/27 19:3208/27 21:32HOME · 배당 2.52 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 12:38:38HOME · 배당 2.52 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 12:42:40HOME · 배당 2.52 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 13:03:58HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 13:12:31HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 13:13:17HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 13:22:33HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 13:32:33HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 13:42:31HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 13:52:30HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 14:02:30HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 14:12:31HOME · 배당 2.50 · 변동 -0.96% · 2026-08-27 14:22:32HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.63% · 2026-08-27 14:22:33HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 14:32:33HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 14:42:32HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 14:52:31HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 15:02:35HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 15:12:32HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 15:22:36HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 15:32:34HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 15:42:33HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 15:52:31HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 16:02:33HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 16:12:33HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 16:22:33HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 16:32:33HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 16:42:31HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -4.92% · 2026-08-27 16:52:33HOME · 배당 2.58 · 변동 +2.38% · 2026-08-27 16:52:34HOME · 배당 2.51 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-08-27 17:02:33HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 17:12:32HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 17:22:33HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 17:32:33HOME · 배당 2.44 · 변동 -3.48% · 2026-08-27 17:42:32HOME · 배당 4.33 · 변동 +71.54% · 2026-08-27 17:42:33HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 17:52:31HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 18:02:29HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 18:12:29HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 18:32:31HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 18:42:30HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 18:52:33HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 19:02:30HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 19:12:31HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 19:22:31HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 19:32:31HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 19:42:31HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 19:52:29HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 20:02:31HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 20:12:30HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 20:22:32HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 20:32:34HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 20:42:30HOME · 배당 2.59 · 변동 +2.77% · 2026-08-27 20:52:33HOME · 배당 2.57 · 변동 +1.68% · 2026-08-27 21:02:32HOME · 배당 2.60 · 변동 +3.14% · 2026-08-27 21:02:33HOME · 배당 2.71 · 변동 +7.36% · 2026-08-27 21:12:30HOME · 배당 2.71 · 변동 +7.36% · 2026-08-27 21:22:31HOME · 배당 2.56 · 변동 +1.53% · 2026-08-27 21:32:30HOME · 배당 4.33 · 변동 +71.54% · 2026-08-27 21:32:31DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 12:38:38DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 12:42:40DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 13:03:58DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 13:12:31DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 13:13:17DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 13:22:33DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 13:32:33DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 13:42:31DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 13:52:30DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 14:02:30DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 14:12:31DRAW · 배당 9.00 · 변동 -39.90% · 2026-08-27 14:22:32DRAW · 배당 16.97 · 변동 +13.30% · 2026-08-27 14:22:33DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 14:32:33DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 14:42:32DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 14:52:31DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 15:02:35DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 15:12:32DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 15:22:36DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 15:32:34DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 15:42:33DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 15:52:31DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 16:02:33DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 16:12:33DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 16:22:33DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 16:32:33DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 16:42:31DRAW · 배당 19.40 · 변동 +29.55% · 2026-08-27 16:52:33DRAW · 배당 1.70 · 변동 -88.65% · 2026-08-27 16:52:34DRAW · 배당 14.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 17:02:33DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 17:12:32DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 17:22:33DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 17:32:33DRAW · 배당 19.20 · 변동 +28.21% · 2026-08-27 17:42:32DRAW · 배당 1.70 · 변동 -88.65% · 2026-08-27 17:42:33DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 17:52:31DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 18:02:29DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 18:12:29DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 18:32:31DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 18:42:30DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 18:52:33DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 19:02:30DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 19:12:31DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 19:22:31DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 19:32:31DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 19:42:31DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 19:52:29DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 20:02:31DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 20:12:30DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 20:22:32DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 20:32:34DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 20:42:30DRAW · 배당 14.83 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-08-27 20:52:33DRAW · 배당 19.20 · 변동 +28.21% · 2026-08-27 21:02:32DRAW · 배당 1.70 · 변동 -88.65% · 2026-08-27 21:02:33DRAW · 배당 15.04 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-08-27 21:12:30DRAW · 배당 15.04 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-08-27 21:22:31DRAW · 배당 19.47 · 변동 +29.99% · 2026-08-27 21:32:30DRAW · 배당 1.77 · 변동 -88.18% · 2026-08-27 21:32:31AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 12:38:38AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 12:42:40AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-08-27 13:03:58AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 13:12:31AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 13:13:17AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 13:22:33AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 13:32:33AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 13:42:31AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 13:52:30AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 14:02:30AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 14:12:31AWAY · 배당 1.67 · 변동 -4.48% · 2026-08-27 14:22:32AWAY · 배당 1.76 · 변동 +0.77% · 2026-08-27 14:22:33AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 14:32:33AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 14:42:32AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 14:52:31AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 15:02:35AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 15:12:32AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 15:22:36AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 15:32:34AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 15:42:33AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 15:52:31AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 16:02:33AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 16:12:33AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 16:22:33AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 16:32:33AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 16:42:31AWAY · 배당 1.63 · 변동 -6.54% · 2026-08-27 16:52:33AWAY · 배당 1.84 · 변동 +5.24% · 2026-08-27 16:52:34AWAY · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-08-27 17:02:33AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 17:12:32AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 17:22:33AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 17:32:33AWAY · 배당 1.57 · 변동 -10.04% · 2026-08-27 17:42:32AWAY · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +88.75% · 2026-08-27 17:42:33AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 17:52:31AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 18:02:29AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 18:12:29AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 18:32:31AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 18:42:30AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 18:52:33AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 19:02:30AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 19:12:31AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 19:22:31AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 19:32:31AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 19:42:31AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 19:52:29AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 20:02:31AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 20:12:30AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 20:22:32AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 20:32:34AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 20:42:30AWAY · 배당 1.72 · 변동 -1.81% · 2026-08-27 20:52:33AWAY · 배당 1.64 · 변동 -6.20% · 2026-08-27 21:02:32AWAY · 배당 1.74 · 변동 -0.35% · 2026-08-27 21:02:33AWAY · 배당 1.65 · 변동 -5.39% · 2026-08-27 21:12:30AWAY · 배당 1.65 · 변동 -5.39% · 2026-08-27 21:22:31AWAY · 배당 1.52 · 변동 -12.90% · 2026-08-27 21:32:30AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +77.31% · 2026-08-27 21:32:31
HOME59 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.52
→
CURRENT4.33
+71.54%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW59 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN14.98
→
CURRENT1.77
-88.18%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY59 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.75
→
CURRENT3.10
+77.31%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-08-27 12:38:382.5214.981.75
2026-08-27 12:42:402.5214.981.75
2026-08-27 13:03:582.5214.981.75
2026-08-27 13:12:312.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 13:13:172.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 13:22:332.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 13:32:332.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 13:42:312.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 13:52:302.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 14:02:302.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 14:12:312.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 14:22:322.509.001.67
2026-08-27 14:22:332.5116.971.76
2026-08-27 14:32:332.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 14:42:322.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 14:52:312.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 15:02:352.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 15:12:322.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 15:22:362.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 15:32:342.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 15:42:332.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 15:52:312.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 16:02:332.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 16:12:332.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 16:22:332.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 16:32:332.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 16:42:312.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 16:52:332.4019.401.63
2026-08-27 16:52:342.581.701.84
2026-08-27 17:02:332.5114.981.75
2026-08-27 17:12:322.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 17:22:332.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 17:32:332.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 17:42:322.4419.201.57
2026-08-27 17:42:334.331.703.30
2026-08-27 17:52:312.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 18:02:292.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 18:12:292.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 18:32:312.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 18:42:302.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 18:52:332.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 19:02:302.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 19:12:312.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 19:22:312.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 19:32:312.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 19:42:312.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 19:52:292.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 20:02:312.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 20:12:302.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 20:22:322.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 20:32:342.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 20:42:302.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 20:52:332.5914.831.72
2026-08-27 21:02:322.5719.201.64
2026-08-27 21:02:332.601.701.74
2026-08-27 21:12:302.7115.041.65
2026-08-27 21:22:312.7115.041.65
2026-08-27 21:32:302.5619.471.52
2026-08-27 21:32:314.331.773.10

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.03Chiba Lotte Marines2 : 1Fukuoka S. Hawks
2026.10.02Chiba Lotte Marines3 : 4Fukuoka S. Hawks
2026.09.13Fukuoka S. Hawks7 : 4Chiba Lotte Marines
2026.09.12Fukuoka S. Hawks5 : 4Chiba Lotte Marines
2026.09.11Fukuoka S. Hawks11 : 1Chiba Lotte Marines
2026.08.27Chiba Lotte Marines2 : 4Fukuoka S. Hawks
2026.08.26Chiba Lotte Marines6 : 5Fukuoka S. Hawks
2023.10.16Chiba Lotte Marines4 : 3Fukuoka S. Hawks
2023.10.15Chiba Lotte Marines1 : 3Fukuoka S. Hawks
2023.10.14Chiba Lotte Marines8 : 2Fukuoka S. Hawks