경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Ligue 3 France · Regular Season - 4

CaenHOME · 2.20

0 : 12026.08.28 · 종료

BastiaAWAY · 2.90

HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 6 · 3경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 12위 승점 3 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.7%

DRAW14.0%

AWAY14.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH78 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 78/100

AI PICK HOME 52.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +30.6%

VALUE EDGE+30.6%

FAIR ODDS1.39

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +29.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +27.8%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +9.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.0%p

• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Caen분석 지표Bastia

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

2.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.92

1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

75.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

78/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지15.6 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도8.8 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME41.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승44.4%표본 257경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승20.0%표본 5경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.4%현재 이동 +0.0%

OPEN → NOW2.20 → 2.20배당 업데이트 2026-08-27 23:52:06

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

71.7%

DRAW

14.0%

AWAY

14.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Caen

W · 1-0L · 4-3W · 4-0D · 1-1W · 4-1

Bastia

L · 2-3W · 0-1L · 0-2D · 1-1L · 5-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.21

→

CURRENT2.20

-0.45%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.17

→

CURRENT3.31

+4.47%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.98

→

CURRENT2.91

-2.20%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-27 13:02:05	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 13:03:33	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 13:12:05	2.17	3.14	2.97
2026-08-27 13:12:06	2.25	3.19	2.98
2026-08-27 13:12:54	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 13:22:06	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 13:32:06	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 13:42:05	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 13:52:05	2.17	3.10	2.97
2026-08-27 13:52:06	2.23	3.19	2.98
2026-08-27 14:02:05	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 14:12:06	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 14:22:05	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 14:32:05	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 14:42:05	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 14:52:05	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 15:02:05	2.17	3.10	2.98
2026-08-27 15:02:06	2.24	3.21	2.97
2026-08-27 15:12:05	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 15:22:06	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 15:32:05	2.17	3.14	2.97
2026-08-27 15:32:06	2.25	3.19	2.98
2026-08-27 15:42:05	2.19	3.15	2.96
2026-08-27 15:42:06	2.28	3.22	3.02
2026-08-27 15:52:05	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 16:02:05	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 16:12:05	2.21	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 16:22:05	2.17	3.20	3.00
2026-08-27 16:22:06	2.26	3.35	3.05
2026-08-27 16:32:05	2.14	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 16:32:06	2.20	3.23	3.01
2026-08-27 16:42:05	2.18	3.21	3.00
2026-08-27 16:52:05	2.18	3.21	3.00
2026-08-27 17:02:05	2.18	3.21	3.00
2026-08-27 17:12:05	2.18	3.21	3.00
2026-08-27 17:22:06	2.18	3.21	3.00
2026-08-27 17:32:06	2.16	3.23	3.00
2026-08-27 17:32:07	2.21	3.18	3.00
2026-08-27 17:42:06	2.18	3.21	3.00
2026-08-27 17:52:06	2.18	3.21	3.00
2026-08-27 18:02:05	2.17	3.20	3.00
2026-08-27 18:02:06	2.26	3.35	3.05
2026-08-27 18:12:05	2.14	3.17	2.98
2026-08-27 18:12:06	2.20	3.23	3.01
2026-08-27 18:22:05	2.18	3.21	3.00
2026-08-27 18:32:06	2.18	3.21	3.00
2026-08-27 18:42:06	2.18	3.21	3.00
2026-08-27 18:52:06	2.18	3.21	3.00
2026-08-27 19:02:05	2.18	3.21	3.00
2026-08-27 19:12:05	2.18	3.21	3.00
2026-08-27 19:22:06	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 19:32:06	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 19:42:05	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 19:52:05	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 20:02:05	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 20:12:06	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 20:22:06	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 20:32:05	2.19	3.26	2.87
2026-08-27 20:32:06	2.27	3.28	2.90
2026-08-27 20:42:05	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 20:52:05	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 21:02:05	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 21:12:05	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 21:22:05	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 21:32:07	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 21:42:07	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 21:52:06	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 22:02:05	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 22:12:05	2.23	3.27	2.89
2026-08-27 22:22:06	2.17	3.30	2.89
2026-08-27 22:22:07	2.23	3.32	2.93
2026-08-27 22:32:06	2.20	3.31	2.91
2026-08-27 22:42:06	2.20	3.31	2.91
2026-08-27 22:52:05	2.20	3.31	2.91
2026-08-27 23:02:06	2.20	3.31	2.91
2026-08-27 23:12:06	2.20	3.31	2.91
2026-08-27 23:22:06	2.20	3.31	2.91
2026-08-27 23:32:05	2.20	3.31	2.91
2026-08-27 23:42:06	2.20	3.31	2.91
2026-08-27 23:52:06	2.20	3.31	2.91

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.28	Caen	0 : 1	Bastia