경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

League Cup England · Round of 64

ChelseaHOME · 1.15

2 : 02026.08.28 · 종료

LutonAWAY · 17.00

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME13.5%

DRAW8.4%

AWAY78.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH81 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 87/100

AI PICK AWAY 51.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +72.5%

VALUE EDGE+72.5%

FAIR ODDS1.28

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -35.8%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -44.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -15.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -11.6%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Chelsea분석 지표Luton

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

2.58 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.17

1.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.42

62.5% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

3.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.3일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

81/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지17.4 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도3.0 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME83.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승75.0%표본 12경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승44.7%현재 이동 +1.8%

OPEN → NOW1.13 → 1.15배당 업데이트 2026-08-27 23:52:15

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

13.5%

DRAW

8.4%

AWAY

78.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Chelsea

W · 2-3W · 3-1D · 3-3W · 3-0L · 0-1

Luton

D · 2-2W · 3-4W · 0-3L · 0-1W · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.13

→

CURRENT1.15

+1.64%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN8.44

→

CURRENT8.18

-3.12%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN17.70

→

CURRENT16.23

-8.32%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-27 12:42:24	1.13	8.44	17.70
2026-08-27 12:52:12	1.13	8.44	17.70
2026-08-27 13:02:13	1.13	8.44	17.70
2026-08-27 13:03:41	1.13	8.44	17.70
2026-08-27 13:12:13	1.13	8.44	17.70
2026-08-27 13:13:01	1.13	8.44	17.70
2026-08-27 13:22:14	1.13	8.44	17.70
2026-08-27 13:32:15	1.12	8.28	17.57
2026-08-27 13:32:16	1.15	8.80	18.00
2026-08-27 13:42:13	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 13:52:13	1.13	8.24	17.40
2026-08-27 13:52:14	1.14	8.85	18.00
2026-08-27 14:02:13	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 14:12:14	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 14:22:12	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 14:32:13	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 14:42:12	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 14:52:12	1.14	7.92	17.40
2026-08-27 14:52:13	1.13	8.67	17.63
2026-08-27 15:02:13	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 15:12:13	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 15:22:15	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 15:32:14	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 15:42:14	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 15:52:13	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 16:02:13	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 16:12:12	1.14	7.57	16.50
2026-08-27 16:12:13	1.13	8.62	17.85
2026-08-27 16:22:14	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 16:32:14	1.13	8.38	17.54
2026-08-27 16:42:12	1.14	7.80	16.90
2026-08-27 16:42:13	1.14	8.46	16.72
2026-08-27 16:52:14	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 17:02:14	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 17:12:13	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 17:22:14	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 17:32:15	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 17:42:14	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 17:52:14	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 18:02:13	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 18:12:13	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 18:22:15	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 18:32:15	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 18:42:14	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 18:52:15	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 19:02:15	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 19:12:14	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 19:22:15	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 19:32:15	1.14	8.20	16.79
2026-08-27 19:42:14	1.14	8.34	17.20
2026-08-27 19:52:14	1.14	8.34	17.20
2026-08-27 20:02:14	1.14	8.34	17.20
2026-08-27 20:12:14	1.14	8.34	17.20
2026-08-27 20:22:14	1.14	8.34	17.20
2026-08-27 20:32:15	1.13	8.21	17.01
2026-08-27 20:32:16	1.15	8.64	17.63
2026-08-27 20:42:14	1.14	8.32	17.42
2026-08-27 20:42:15	1.15	8.50	16.00
2026-08-27 20:52:15	1.14	8.34	17.20
2026-08-27 21:02:16	1.14	8.34	17.20
2026-08-27 21:12:13	1.14	7.98	16.85
2026-08-27 21:12:14	1.14	8.57	17.42
2026-08-27 21:22:14	1.14	7.53	16.17
2026-08-27 21:22:15	1.14	8.59	17.51
2026-08-27 21:32:14	1.13	8.29	17.45
2026-08-27 21:32:15	1.14	8.43	16.80
2026-08-27 21:42:16	1.14	8.34	17.20
2026-08-27 21:52:16	1.14	8.34	17.20
2026-08-27 22:02:14	1.14	8.34	17.20
2026-08-27 22:12:14	1.14	8.34	17.20
2026-08-27 22:22:16	1.14	8.34	17.20
2026-08-27 22:32:15	1.14	8.34	17.20
2026-08-27 22:42:14	1.15	8.18	16.23
2026-08-27 22:52:14	1.15	8.18	16.23
2026-08-27 23:02:15	1.15	8.18	16.23
2026-08-27 23:12:15	1.15	8.18	16.23
2026-08-27 23:22:16	1.15	8.18	16.23
2026-08-27 23:32:14	1.15	8.18	16.23
2026-08-27 23:42:15	1.15	8.18	16.23
2026-08-27 23:52:15	1.15	8.18	16.23

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.28	Chelsea	2 : 0	Luton