경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
UEFA Europa League
World · Play-offs

FC ThunHOME · 2.71
2 : 22026.08.28 · 종료
Lech PoznanAWAY · 2.30

HOME · 현재 순위
-
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
-
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME8.3%
DRAW9.1%
AWAY82.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW51 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME34.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승26.8%표본 157경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.1%현재 이동 -2.0%
OPEN → NOW2.76 → 2.71배당 업데이트 2026-08-27 23:52:25
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
FC ThunL · 7-0W · 0-6L · 3-2L · 4-2W · 3-0
Lech PoznanW · 7-0W · 0-5W · 3-0W · 1-0W · 1-2
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
-2.94%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
+0.64%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
+2.83%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-08-27 12:52:21 | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 13:02:24 | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 13:03:49 | 2.73 | 3.78 | 2.21 |
| 2026-08-27 13:03:50 | 2.77 | 3.82 | 2.26 |
| 2026-08-27 13:12:22 | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 13:13:11 | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 13:22:24 | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 13:32:25 | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 13:42:22 | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 13:52:23 | 2.75 | 3.80 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 14:02:22 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 14:12:23 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 14:22:22 | 2.59 | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| 2026-08-27 14:22:23 | 2.74 | 3.88 | 2.25 |
| 2026-08-27 14:32:22 | 2.59 | 3.80 | 2.20 |
| 2026-08-27 14:32:23 | 2.74 | 3.88 | 2.25 |
| 2026-08-27 14:42:22 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 14:52:21 | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| 2026-08-27 14:52:22 | 2.72 | 3.89 | 2.25 |
| 2026-08-27 15:02:23 | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.15 |
| 2026-08-27 15:02:24 | 2.72 | 3.89 | 2.25 |
| 2026-08-27 15:12:22 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 15:22:26 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 15:32:23 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 15:42:23 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 15:52:22 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 16:02:23 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 16:12:22 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 16:22:23 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 16:32:24 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 16:42:22 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 16:52:24 | 2.71 | 3.87 | 2.24 |
| 2026-08-27 17:02:23 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 17:12:22 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 17:22:23 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 17:32:24 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 17:42:23 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 17:52:24 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 18:02:22 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 18:12:22 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 18:22:25 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 18:32:25 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 18:42:23 | 2.68 | 3.85 | 2.25 |
| 2026-08-27 18:42:24 | 2.71 | 3.85 | 2.37 |
| 2026-08-27 18:52:26 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 19:02:24 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 19:12:24 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 19:22:25 | 2.68 | 3.84 | 2.27 |
| 2026-08-27 19:22:26 | 2.75 | 3.95 | 2.38 |
| 2026-08-27 19:32:24 | 2.68 | 3.85 | 2.22 |
| 2026-08-27 19:32:25 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.34 |
| 2026-08-27 19:42:24 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 19:52:23 | 2.69 | 3.85 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 20:02:25 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 20:12:24 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 20:22:25 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 20:32:27 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 20:42:24 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 20:52:27 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 21:02:26 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 21:12:24 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 21:22:25 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 21:32:25 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 21:42:26 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 21:52:27 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 22:02:25 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 22:12:23 | 2.65 | 3.84 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 22:12:24 | 2.74 | 3.90 | 2.38 |
| 2026-08-27 22:22:27 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 22:32:25 | 2.65 | 3.89 | 2.25 |
| 2026-08-27 22:32:26 | 2.69 | 3.79 | 2.35 |
| 2026-08-27 22:42:24 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 22:52:24 | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 23:12:26 | 2.66 | 3.81 | 2.29 |
| 2026-08-27 23:12:27 | 2.74 | 3.90 | 2.38 |
| 2026-08-27 23:22:27 | 2.66 | 3.81 | 2.28 |
| 2026-08-27 23:22:28 | 2.70 | 3.87 | 2.37 |
| 2026-08-27 23:32:24 | 2.67 | 3.83 | 2.30 |
| 2026-08-27 23:42:26 | 2.67 | 3.83 | 2.30 |
| 2026-08-27 23:52:25 | 2.67 | 3.83 | 2.30 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.08.28 | FC Thun | 2 : 2 | Lech Poznan |
| 2026.08.21 | Lech Poznan | 7 : 0 | FC Thun |