경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Liga de Ascenso
Costa-Rica · Regular Season - 8

AD CarmelitaHOME · 2.15
6 : 02026.09.19 · 종료
CS UruguayAWAY · 2.98

HOME · 현재 순위
10위
승점 6
· 7경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
9위
승점 7
· 7경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME30.3%
DRAW23.7%
AWAY46.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW55 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME41.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승48.4%표본 223경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승45.3%현재 이동 +2.1%
OPEN → NOW2.10 → 2.15배당 업데이트 2026-09-18 23:42:41
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
AD CarmelitaD · 1-1L · 1-2L · 1-2W · 0-1D · 1-1
CS UruguayL · 0-1W · 0-1W · 1-0L · 3-1L · 2-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME74 SNAPSHOTS
+2.00%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW74 SNAPSHOTS
-2.28%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY74 SNAPSHOTS
-1.08%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-18 01:22:30 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 01:42:32 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 02:02:31 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 02:22:32 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 02:42:31 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 03:02:32 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 03:22:30 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 03:42:31 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 04:02:31 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 04:22:30 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 04:42:31 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 05:02:32 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 05:22:31 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 05:42:33 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 06:02:31 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 06:22:30 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 06:42:32 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 07:02:31 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 07:22:31 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 07:42:31 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 08:02:32 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 08:22:31 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 08:42:32 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 09:02:32 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 09:22:32 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 09:42:32 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 10:02:33 | 2.08 | 3.25 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 10:22:31 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 10:42:31 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 11:02:30 | 2.07 | 3.37 | 2.99 |
| 2026-09-18 11:02:31 | 2.07 | 3.22 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-18 11:22:30 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 11:42:30 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 12:02:33 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 12:22:33 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 12:42:30 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 13:02:28 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 13:22:28 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 13:42:27 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 14:02:30 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 14:22:31 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 14:42:30 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 15:02:32 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 15:22:31 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 15:42:29 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 16:02:29 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 16:22:33 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 16:42:29 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 17:02:34 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 17:22:32 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 17:42:28 | 2.09 | 3.30 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-18 17:42:29 | 2.06 | 3.29 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-18 18:02:31 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 18:22:32 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 18:42:29 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 19:02:34 | 2.08 | 3.29 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-18 19:02:35 | 2.06 | 3.29 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-18 19:22:36 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 19:42:32 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 20:02:34 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 20:22:33 | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| 2026-09-18 20:22:34 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-18 20:42:52 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 21:02:32 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 21:22:33 | 2.07 | 3.29 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 21:42:31 | 2.10 | 3.19 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-18 21:42:32 | 2.17 | 3.15 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-18 22:02:35 | 2.13 | 3.18 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 22:22:36 | 2.13 | 3.18 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 22:42:52 | 2.10 | 3.19 | 2.94 |
| 2026-09-18 22:42:53 | 2.17 | 3.15 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-18 23:02:40 | 2.13 | 3.18 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 23:22:34 | 2.13 | 3.18 | 2.95 |
| 2026-09-18 23:42:41 | 2.13 | 3.18 | 2.95 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.19 | AD Carmelita | 6 : 0 | CS Uruguay |
| 2026.08.03 | CS Uruguay | 2 : 2 | AD Carmelita |