경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

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Liga Revelação U23 Portugal · Regular Season - 6

Penafiel U23HOME · 2.47

0 : 12026.09.16 · 종료

Santa Clara U23AWAY · 2.46

HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 4 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 16위 승점 3 · 1경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME29.8%

DRAW18.8%

AWAY51.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW38 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 38/100

AI PICK AWAY 40.3% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +15.0%

VALUE EDGE+15.0%

FAIR ODDS1.94

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 55/100 · HIGH RISK

STANDING_PPG AWAY -5.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +8.5%p

MARKET EVEN -0.1%p

SEASON_STATS AWAY -52.5%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Penafiel U23분석 지표Santa Clara U23

0.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.60

1.67 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50

0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

8.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 6.3일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

38/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지7.6 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도9.7 / 15

예측 분리도9.3 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME36.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승42.4%표본 224경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 6경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.2%현재 이동 -0.8%

OPEN → NOW2.49 → 2.47배당 업데이트 2026-09-15 23:52:19

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

29.8%

DRAW

18.8%

AWAY

51.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Penafiel U23

D · 3-3D · 1-1D · 2-2D · 2-2

Santa Clara U23

W · 1-0L · 1-2L · 2-1D · 3-3D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.51

→

CURRENT2.48

-1.42%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.27

→

CURRENT3.28

+0.09%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.46

→

CURRENT2.49

+1.05%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-15 11:02:16	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 11:12:15	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 11:22:18	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 11:32:17	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 11:42:15	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 11:52:18	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 12:02:16	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 12:12:16	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 12:22:18	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 12:32:16	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 12:42:15	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 12:52:16	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 13:02:16	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 13:12:15	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 13:22:18	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 13:32:17	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 13:42:16	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 13:52:17	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 14:02:15	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 14:12:15	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 14:22:18	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 14:32:16	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 14:42:16	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 14:52:18	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 15:02:16	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 15:12:16	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 15:22:18	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 15:32:16	2.51	3.27	2.46
2026-09-15 15:42:16	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 15:52:17	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 16:02:15	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 16:12:16	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 16:22:19	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 16:32:17	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 16:42:16	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 16:52:18	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 17:02:17	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 17:12:17	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 17:22:17	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 17:32:17	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 17:42:16	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 17:52:18	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 18:02:17	2.40	3.25	2.53
2026-09-15 18:02:18	2.48	3.31	2.50
2026-09-15 18:12:15	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 18:22:18	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 18:32:16	2.46	3.29	2.51
2026-09-15 18:42:16	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 18:52:18	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 19:02:17	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 19:12:16	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 19:22:17	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 19:32:16	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 19:42:16	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 19:52:17	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 20:02:16	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 20:12:15	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 20:22:17	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 20:32:17	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 20:42:16	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 20:52:17	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 21:02:17	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 21:12:15	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 21:22:17	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 21:32:16	2.49	3.27	2.48
2026-09-15 21:42:17	2.48	3.28	2.49
2026-09-15 21:52:20	2.48	3.28	2.49
2026-09-15 22:02:19	2.48	3.28	2.49
2026-09-15 22:12:18	2.48	3.28	2.49
2026-09-15 22:22:22	2.48	3.28	2.49
2026-09-15 22:32:18	2.48	3.28	2.49
2026-09-15 22:42:17	2.48	3.28	2.49
2026-09-15 22:52:19	2.48	3.28	2.49
2026-09-15 23:02:17	2.48	3.28	2.49
2026-09-15 23:12:22	2.48	3.28	2.49
2026-09-15 23:22:17	2.45	3.00	2.50
2026-09-15 23:22:18	2.48	3.32	2.48
2026-09-15 23:32:17	2.48	3.28	2.49
2026-09-15 23:42:17	2.48	3.28	2.49
2026-09-15 23:52:19	2.48	3.28	2.49

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.16	Penafiel U23	0 : 1	Santa Clara U23