경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

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Liga Revelação U23 Portugal · Regular Season - 4

Penafiel U23HOME · 2.33

1 : 12026.09.02 · 종료

Leixões U23AWAY · 2.73

HOME · 현재 순위 11위 승점 2 · 2경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 8위 승점 3 · 2경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME13.5%

DRAW18.0%

AWAY68.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW37 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 37/100

AI PICK AWAY 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +35.5%

VALUE EDGE+35.5%

FAIR ODDS1.46

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 98/100 · HIGH RISK

STANDING_PPG AWAY -2.9%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +34.4%p

MARKET HOME +5.8%p

SEASON_STATS AWAY -22.5%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Penafiel U23분석 지표Leixões U23

0.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 22.2%

1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.78

1.67 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.56

0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

14.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

37/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지7.4 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도6.4 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME38.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승37.6%표본 258경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.1%현재 이동 -2.3%

OPEN → NOW2.38 → 2.33배당 업데이트 2026-09-01 23:52:25

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

13.5%

DRAW

18.0%

AWAY

68.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Penafiel U23

D · 2-2D · 2-2

Leixões U23

L · 1-2W · 0-3D · 1-1D · 2-2W · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.50

→

CURRENT2.53

+0.96%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.20

→

CURRENT3.18

-0.84%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.53

→

CURRENT2.63

+3.79%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-01 12:02:18	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 12:12:17	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 12:22:18	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 12:32:18	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 13:32:17	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 13:42:17	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 13:52:19	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 14:02:19	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 14:12:18	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 14:22:19	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 14:32:19	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 14:42:18	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 14:52:20	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 15:02:18	2.49	3.19	2.50
2026-09-01 15:02:19	2.52	3.22	2.56
2026-09-01 15:12:19	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 15:22:20	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 15:32:18	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 15:42:19	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 15:52:20	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 16:02:19	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 16:12:18	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 16:22:20	2.50	3.20	2.53
2026-09-01 16:32:19	2.49	3.17	2.51
2026-09-01 16:32:20	2.51	3.16	2.53
2026-09-01 16:42:19	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 16:52:19	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 17:02:19	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 17:12:19	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 17:22:20	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 17:32:17	2.50	3.15	2.50
2026-09-01 17:32:18	2.50	3.17	2.52
2026-09-01 17:42:17	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 17:52:21	2.49	3.15	2.51
2026-09-01 17:52:22	2.52	3.17	2.52
2026-09-01 18:02:18	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 18:12:17	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 18:22:19	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 18:32:17	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 18:42:17	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 18:52:19	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 19:02:18	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 19:12:16	2.49	3.18	2.50
2026-09-01 19:12:17	2.52	3.15	2.53
2026-09-01 19:22:18	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 19:32:17	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 19:42:18	2.51	3.19	2.52
2026-09-01 19:42:19	2.50	3.11	2.52
2026-09-01 19:52:19	2.50	3.15	2.50
2026-09-01 19:52:20	2.50	3.17	2.52
2026-09-01 20:02:18	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 20:12:18	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 20:22:19	2.50	3.15	2.50
2026-09-01 20:22:20	2.50	3.17	2.52
2026-09-01 20:32:19	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 20:42:19	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 20:52:20	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 21:02:19	2.49	3.16	2.50
2026-09-01 21:02:20	2.54	3.17	2.56
2026-09-01 21:12:19	2.50	3.19	2.51
2026-09-01 21:12:20	2.51	3.13	2.53
2026-09-01 21:22:21	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 21:32:19	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 21:42:20	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 21:52:23	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 22:02:20	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 22:12:22	2.50	3.16	2.52
2026-09-01 22:22:20	2.50	3.19	2.51
2026-09-01 22:22:21	2.51	3.13	2.53
2026-09-01 22:32:20	2.31	3.18	2.78
2026-09-01 22:42:19	2.31	3.18	2.78
2026-09-01 22:52:21	2.31	3.18	2.78
2026-09-01 23:02:22	2.31	3.18	2.78
2026-09-01 23:12:18	2.31	3.18	2.78
2026-09-01 23:22:22	2.31	3.18	2.78
2026-09-01 23:32:20	2.26	3.18	2.80
2026-09-01 23:32:21	2.34	3.18	2.77
2026-09-01 23:42:20	2.31	3.18	2.78
2026-09-01 23:52:24	2.27	3.18	2.81
2026-09-01 23:52:25	2.53	3.18	2.63

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.02	Penafiel U23	1 : 1	Leixões U23