경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Liga 3
Portugal · Regular Season - 5
Pacos FerreiraHOME · 2.00
1 : 12026.09.14 · 종료
São João VerAWAY · 3.33
HOME · 현재 순위
10위
승점 1
· 4경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
9위
승점 2
· 4경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME23.7%
DRAW46.8%
AWAY29.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME45.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승51.4%표본 243경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승32.0%현재 이동 +17.4%
OPEN → NOW1.70 → 2.00배당 업데이트 2026-09-13 23:32:26
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Pacos FerreiraD · 2-2L · 0-1L · 1-4L · 0-1L · 2-1
São João VerD · 0-0D · 0-0L · 1-0L · 1-3D · 1-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME67 SNAPSHOTS
+22.34%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW67 SNAPSHOTS
-2.79%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY67 SNAPSHOTS
-26.20%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-12 12:16:02 | 1.69 | 3.45 | 4.40 |
| 2026-09-12 12:16:03 | 1.71 | 3.49 | 4.45 |
| 2026-09-13 00:24:09 | 1.81 | 3.32 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-13 00:53:07 | 1.81 | 3.32 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-13 01:24:18 | 1.81 | 3.32 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-13 01:53:35 | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| 2026-09-13 01:53:36 | 1.81 | 3.36 | 3.98 |
| 2026-09-13 02:24:04 | 1.81 | 3.32 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-13 02:53:22 | 1.80 | 3.31 | 4.04 |
| 2026-09-13 02:53:23 | 1.84 | 3.35 | 3.92 |
| 2026-09-13 03:32:06 | 1.85 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| 2026-09-13 03:32:07 | 1.82 | 3.36 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-13 04:02:03 | 1.82 | 3.32 | 3.98 |
| 2026-09-13 04:32:05 | 1.82 | 3.32 | 3.98 |
| 2026-09-13 05:02:07 | 1.81 | 3.32 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-13 05:02:08 | 1.87 | 3.35 | 3.90 |
| 2026-09-13 05:32:07 | 1.82 | 3.32 | 3.98 |
| 2026-09-13 06:02:04 | 1.82 | 3.32 | 3.98 |
| 2026-09-13 06:32:10 | 1.97 | 3.21 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-13 06:32:11 | 2.03 | 3.26 | 3.44 |
| 2026-09-13 07:02:02 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-13 07:32:08 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-13 08:02:05 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-13 08:32:08 | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-13 08:32:09 | 1.99 | 3.25 | 3.44 |
| 2026-09-13 09:02:05 | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-13 09:02:06 | 1.99 | 3.25 | 3.44 |
| 2026-09-13 09:32:11 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-13 09:32:12 | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-13 10:02:07 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-13 10:02:08 | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-13 10:32:05 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-13 11:02:05 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-13 11:32:05 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-13 12:02:04 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-13 12:32:12 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-13 12:32:13 | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-13 13:02:06 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-13 13:32:07 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-13 14:02:06 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-13 14:32:08 | 1.98 | 3.23 | 3.44 |
| 2026-09-13 14:32:09 | 2.02 | 3.23 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-13 15:02:06 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-13 15:32:14 | 2.01 | 3.21 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-13 16:12:20 | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-13 16:12:21 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-13 16:52:26 | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-13 16:52:27 | 2.04 | 3.26 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-13 17:32:30 | 2.02 | 3.24 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-13 17:32:31 | 1.99 | 3.17 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-13 18:12:24 | 2.01 | 3.22 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-13 18:12:25 | 2.00 | 3.22 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-13 18:52:34 | 2.00 | 3.21 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-13 18:52:35 | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-13 19:32:25 | 2.03 | 3.20 | 3.28 |
| 2026-09-13 19:32:26 | 1.99 | 3.23 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-13 20:12:12 | 2.01 | 3.22 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-13 20:52:28 | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-13 20:52:29 | 2.04 | 3.27 | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-13 21:32:21 | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-13 21:32:22 | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-13 22:02:14 | 2.00 | 3.23 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-13 22:32:27 | 2.02 | 3.20 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-13 22:32:28 | 1.99 | 3.25 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-13 23:02:18 | 2.00 | 3.23 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-13 23:32:25 | 1.99 | 3.22 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-13 23:32:26 | 2.07 | 3.35 | 3.25 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.14 | Pacos Ferreira | 1 : 1 | São João Ver |