경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Liga 3
Portugal · Regular Season - 4

VarzimHOME · 2.50
0 : 12026.09.06 · 종료
ParedesAWAY · 2.91

HOME · 현재 순위
1위
승점 9
· 3경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
2위
승점 6
· 3경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.1%
DRAW24.3%
AWAY46.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW40 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME36.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승39.0%표본 59경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.0%현재 이동 +0.4%
OPEN → NOW2.49 → 2.50배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:22:14
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
VarzimW · 5-1W · 1-4W · 2-1W · 0-1W · 0-1
ParedesW · 1-3L · 1-2W · 0-1W · 3-1W · 4-2
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME44 SNAPSHOTS
+1.35%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW44 SNAPSHOTS
-3.55%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY44 SNAPSHOTS
+2.52%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-05 00:32:15 | 2.48 | 2.82 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-05 01:02:12 | 2.48 | 2.82 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-05 01:32:12 | 2.48 | 2.82 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-05 02:02:11 | 2.48 | 2.82 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-05 02:32:12 | 2.48 | 2.82 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-05 03:02:14 | 2.48 | 2.82 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-05 05:12:25 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 05:52:26 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 06:32:27 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 07:12:25 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 07:52:28 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 08:32:24 | 2.40 | 2.80 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-05 08:32:25 | 2.49 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 09:12:26 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 09:52:26 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 10:32:26 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 11:13:09 | 2.38 | 2.90 | 2.83 |
| 2026-09-05 11:13:10 | 2.53 | 2.73 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-05 11:52:54 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 12:32:58 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 13:13:36 | 2.46 | 2.82 | 2.91 |
| 2026-09-05 13:13:37 | 2.51 | 2.73 | 2.97 |
| 2026-09-05 13:53:13 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 14:32:52 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 15:13:25 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 15:53:06 | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.92 |
| 2026-09-05 16:33:32 | 2.41 | 2.84 | 2.85 |
| 2026-09-05 16:33:33 | 2.55 | 2.73 | 3.02 |
| 2026-09-05 16:42:08 | 2.49 | 2.79 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-05 17:22:08 | 2.50 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-05 17:22:09 | 2.49 | 2.79 | 2.93 |
| 2026-09-05 18:02:03 | 2.49 | 2.79 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-05 18:42:10 | 2.49 | 2.81 | 2.89 |
| 2026-09-05 18:42:11 | 2.51 | 2.72 | 2.98 |
| 2026-09-05 19:22:07 | 2.45 | 2.84 | 2.82 |
| 2026-09-05 19:22:08 | 2.56 | 2.72 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-05 20:02:08 | 2.49 | 2.79 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-05 20:42:07 | 2.49 | 2.79 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-05 21:22:09 | 2.49 | 2.79 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-05 22:02:09 | 2.50 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| 2026-09-05 22:02:10 | 2.49 | 2.79 | 2.93 |
| 2026-09-05 22:42:10 | 2.49 | 2.79 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-05 23:22:13 | 2.49 | 2.81 | 2.89 |
| 2026-09-05 23:22:14 | 2.51 | 2.72 | 2.98 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.06 | Varzim | 0 : 1 | Paredes |