경기 상세 분석 종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Liga 3
Portugal · Regular Season - 4
Guimaraes B HOME · 1.78
0 : 0 2026.09.06 · 종료
Trofense AWAY · 4.20
HOME · 현재 순위
7위
승점 5
· 5경기
LEAGUE STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
8위
승점 4
· 5경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME 77.8%
DRAW 14.2%
AWAY 8.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW 24 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME 50.9% 현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승 51.5% 표본 134경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승 0.0% 표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승 45.0% 현재 이동 +1.7%
OPEN → NOW 1.75 → 1.78 배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:22:14
확률 구성 배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력 현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Guimaraes B D · 1-1 W · 2-0 L · 3-1 W · 2-3
Trofense L · 5-1 W · 1-0 L · 2-0 L · 0-1 D · 1-1
배당 변화 히스토리 OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOME DRAW AWAY
+6.0% +3.0% 0.0% -3.0% -6.0% 09/05 00:32 09/05 07:52 09/05 13:53 09/05 17:22 09/05 23:22 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 00:32:15 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 01:02:12 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 01:32:12 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 02:02:11 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 02:32:12 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 03:02:14 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.83% · 2026-09-05 05:12:25 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.83% · 2026-09-05 05:52:26 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.83% · 2026-09-05 06:32:27 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.83% · 2026-09-05 07:12:25 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.71% · 2026-09-05 07:52:28 HOME · 배당 1.79 · 변동 +2.00% · 2026-09-05 07:52:29 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.83% · 2026-09-05 08:32:25 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.83% · 2026-09-05 09:12:26 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.83% · 2026-09-05 09:52:26 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.83% · 2026-09-05 10:32:26 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-05 11:13:10 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-05 11:52:54 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-05 12:32:58 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-05 13:13:37 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-05 13:53:13 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 14:32:52 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.14% · 2026-09-05 14:32:53 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-05 15:13:25 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 -0.19% · 2026-09-05 15:53:06 HOME · 배당 1.76 · 변동 +0.57% · 2026-09-05 15:53:07 HOME · 배당 1.75 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-05 16:33:33 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.57% · 2026-09-05 16:42:08 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.71% · 2026-09-05 16:42:09 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 17:22:09 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 18:02:03 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 18:42:11 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 19:22:08 HOME · 배당 1.77 · 변동 +1.14% · 2026-09-05 20:02:08 HOME · 배당 1.79 · 변동 +2.29% · 2026-09-05 20:02:09 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 20:42:07 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 21:22:09 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 22:02:10 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 22:42:10 HOME · 배당 1.78 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-05 23:22:14 DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 00:32:15 DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 01:02:12 DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 01:32:12 DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 02:02:11 DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 02:32:12 DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 03:02:14 DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -2.28% · 2026-09-05 05:12:25 DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -2.28% · 2026-09-05 05:52:26 DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -2.28% · 2026-09-05 06:32:27 DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -2.28% · 2026-09-05 07:12:25 DRAW · 배당 3.21 · 변동 -3.79% · 2026-09-05 07:52:28 DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 07:52:29 DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -2.28% · 2026-09-05 08:32:25 DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -2.28% · 2026-09-05 09:12:26 DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -2.28% · 2026-09-05 09:52:26 DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -2.28% · 2026-09-05 10:32:26 DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.20% · 2026-09-05 11:13:10 DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.20% · 2026-09-05 11:52:54 DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.20% · 2026-09-05 12:32:58 DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.20% · 2026-09-05 13:13:37 DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.20% · 2026-09-05 13:53:13 DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -4.19% · 2026-09-05 14:32:52 DRAW · 배당 3.33 · 변동 -0.45% · 2026-09-05 14:32:53 DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.20% · 2026-09-05 15:13:25 DRAW · 배당 3.26 · 변동 -2.40% · 2026-09-05 15:53:06 DRAW · 배당 3.36 · 변동 +0.60% · 2026-09-05 15:53:07 DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.20% · 2026-09-05 16:33:33 DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -0.97% · 2026-09-05 16:42:08 DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.20% · 2026-09-05 16:42:09 DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-05 17:22:09 DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-05 18:02:03 DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-05 18:42:11 DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-05 19:22:08 DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 -2.20% · 2026-09-05 20:02:08 DRAW · 배당 3.37 · 변동 +0.75% · 2026-09-05 20:02:09 DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-05 20:42:07 DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-05 21:22:09 DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-05 22:02:10 DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-05 22:42:10 DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-05 23:22:14 AWAY · 배당 4.30 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 00:32:15 AWAY · 배당 4.30 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 01:02:12 AWAY · 배당 4.30 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 01:32:12 AWAY · 배당 4.30 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 02:02:11 AWAY · 배당 4.30 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 02:32:12 AWAY · 배당 4.30 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-05 03:02:14 AWAY · 배당 4.22 · 변동 -1.98% · 2026-09-05 05:12:25 AWAY · 배당 4.22 · 변동 -1.98% · 2026-09-05 05:52:26 AWAY · 배당 4.22 · 변동 -1.98% · 2026-09-05 06:32:27 AWAY · 배당 4.22 · 변동 -1.98% · 2026-09-05 07:12:25 AWAY · 배당 4.13 · 변동 -3.95% · 2026-09-05 07:52:28 AWAY · 배당 4.35 · 변동 +0.97% · 2026-09-05 07:52:29 AWAY · 배당 4.22 · 변동 -1.98% · 2026-09-05 08:32:25 AWAY · 배당 4.22 · 변동 -1.98% · 2026-09-05 09:12:26 AWAY · 배당 4.22 · 변동 -1.98% · 2026-09-05 09:52:26 AWAY · 배당 4.22 · 변동 -1.98% · 2026-09-05 10:32:26 AWAY · 배당 4.34 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-05 11:13:10 AWAY · 배당 4.34 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-05 11:52:54 AWAY · 배당 4.34 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-05 12:32:58 AWAY · 배당 4.34 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-05 13:13:37 AWAY · 배당 4.34 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-05 13:53:13 AWAY · 배당 4.40 · 변동 +2.25% · 2026-09-05 14:32:52 AWAY · 배당 4.33 · 변동 +0.50% · 2026-09-05 14:32:53 AWAY · 배당 4.34 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-05 15:13:25 AWAY · 배당 4.27 · 변동 -0.85% · 2026-09-05 15:53:06 AWAY · 배당 4.45 · 변동 +3.41% · 2026-09-05 15:53:07 AWAY · 배당 4.34 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-05 16:33:33 AWAY · 배당 4.17 · 변동 -3.16% · 2026-09-05 16:42:08 AWAY · 배당 4.24 · 변동 -1.47% · 2026-09-05 16:42:09 AWAY · 배당 4.18 · 변동 -2.82% · 2026-09-05 17:22:09 AWAY · 배당 4.18 · 변동 -2.82% · 2026-09-05 18:02:03 AWAY · 배당 4.18 · 변동 -2.82% · 2026-09-05 18:42:11 AWAY · 배당 4.18 · 변동 -2.82% · 2026-09-05 19:22:08 AWAY · 배당 4.12 · 변동 -4.34% · 2026-09-05 20:02:08 AWAY · 배당 4.28 · 변동 -0.54% · 2026-09-05 20:02:09 AWAY · 배당 4.18 · 변동 -2.82% · 2026-09-05 20:42:07 AWAY · 배당 4.18 · 변동 -2.82% · 2026-09-05 21:22:09 AWAY · 배당 4.18 · 변동 -2.82% · 2026-09-05 22:02:10 AWAY · 배당 4.18 · 변동 -2.82% · 2026-09-05 22:42:10 AWAY · 배당 4.18 · 변동 -2.82% · 2026-09-05 23:22:14
HOME40 SNAPSHOTS
+1.60%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW40 SNAPSHOTS
-1.02%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY40 SNAPSHOTS
-2.82%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기 수집시간 HOME DRAW AWAY 2026-09-05 00:32:15 1.75 3.34 4.30 2026-09-05 01:02:12 1.75 3.34 4.30 2026-09-05 01:32:12 1.75 3.34 4.30 2026-09-05 02:02:11 1.75 3.34 4.30 2026-09-05 02:32:12 1.75 3.34 4.30 2026-09-05 03:02:14 1.75 3.34 4.30 2026-09-05 05:12:25 1.78 3.26 4.22 2026-09-05 05:52:26 1.78 3.26 4.22 2026-09-05 06:32:27 1.78 3.26 4.22 2026-09-05 07:12:25 1.78 3.26 4.22 2026-09-05 07:52:28 1.78 3.21 4.13 2026-09-05 07:52:29 1.79 3.34 4.35 2026-09-05 08:32:25 1.78 3.26 4.22 2026-09-05 09:12:26 1.78 3.26 4.22 2026-09-05 09:52:26 1.78 3.26 4.22 2026-09-05 10:32:26 1.78 3.26 4.22 2026-09-05 11:13:10 1.75 3.30 4.34 2026-09-05 11:52:54 1.75 3.30 4.34 2026-09-05 12:32:58 1.75 3.30 4.34 2026-09-05 13:13:37 1.75 3.30 4.34 2026-09-05 13:53:13 1.75 3.30 4.34 2026-09-05 14:32:52 1.75 3.20 4.40 2026-09-05 14:32:53 1.75 3.33 4.33 2026-09-05 15:13:25 1.75 3.30 4.34 2026-09-05 15:53:06 1.75 3.26 4.27 2026-09-05 15:53:07 1.76 3.36 4.45 2026-09-05 16:33:33 1.75 3.30 4.34 2026-09-05 16:42:08 1.78 3.31 4.17 2026-09-05 16:42:09 1.78 3.30 4.24 2026-09-05 17:22:09 1.78 3.31 4.18 2026-09-05 18:02:03 1.78 3.31 4.18 2026-09-05 18:42:11 1.78 3.31 4.18 2026-09-05 19:22:08 1.78 3.31 4.18 2026-09-05 20:02:08 1.77 3.27 4.12 2026-09-05 20:02:09 1.79 3.37 4.28 2026-09-05 20:42:07 1.78 3.31 4.18 2026-09-05 21:22:09 1.78 3.31 4.18 2026-09-05 22:02:10 1.78 3.31 4.18 2026-09-05 22:42:10 1.78 3.31 4.18 2026-09-05 23:22:14 1.78 3.31 4.18
상대전적 H2H 날짜 홈 결과 원정 2026.09.06 Guimaraes B 0 : 0 Trofense