경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Non League Premier - Northern
England · Regular Season - 12

Ilkeston TownHOME · 3.58
0 : 22026.10.07 · 종료
Guiseley AFCAWAY · 1.81

HOME · 현재 순위
21위
승점 7
· 12경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
3위
승점 22
· 11경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME3.7%
DRAW6.9%
AWAY89.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME25.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승20.2%표본 94경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승33.3%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.1%현재 이동 -0.6%
OPEN → NOW3.60 → 3.58배당 업데이트 2026-10-06 17:32:17
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Ilkeston TownL · 2-1L · 0-1L · 1-3L · 3-1L · 3-1
Guiseley AFCW · 1-0L · 1-0W · 4-2W · 1-4W · 4-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME58 SNAPSHOTS
+0.63%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW58 SNAPSHOTS
-1.17%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY58 SNAPSHOTS
-3.93%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-10-05 12:15:11 | 3.58 | 3.53 | 1.88 |
| 2026-10-05 12:15:12 | 3.60 | 3.40 | 1.93 |
| 2026-10-06 09:02:15 | 3.57 | 3.40 | 1.87 |
| 2026-10-06 09:12:14 | 3.54 | 3.38 | 1.86 |
| 2026-10-06 09:12:15 | 3.59 | 3.42 | 1.89 |
| 2026-10-06 09:22:14 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 09:32:18 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 09:42:15 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 09:52:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 10:02:15 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 10:12:15 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 10:22:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 10:32:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 10:42:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 10:52:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 11:02:15 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 11:12:14 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 11:22:15 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 11:32:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 11:42:15 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 11:52:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 12:02:18 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 12:12:14 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 12:22:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 12:32:14 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 12:42:14 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 12:52:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 13:02:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 13:12:14 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 13:22:13 | 3.61 | 3.53 | 1.81 |
| 2026-10-06 13:22:14 | 3.66 | 3.57 | 1.84 |
| 2026-10-06 13:32:13 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 13:42:14 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 13:52:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 14:02:15 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 14:12:14 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 14:22:17 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 14:32:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 14:42:15 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 14:52:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 15:02:16 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 15:12:14 | 3.63 | 3.54 | 1.82 |
| 2026-10-06 15:22:15 | 3.58 | 3.47 | 1.79 |
| 2026-10-06 15:22:16 | 3.70 | 3.60 | 1.85 |
| 2026-10-06 15:32:18 | 3.60 | 3.49 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-06 15:42:16 | 3.60 | 3.49 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-06 15:52:16 | 3.60 | 3.49 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-06 16:02:15 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.83 |
| 2026-10-06 16:02:16 | 3.61 | 3.50 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-06 16:12:15 | 3.60 | 3.49 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-06 16:22:17 | 3.60 | 3.49 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-06 16:32:14 | 3.60 | 3.49 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-06 16:42:14 | 3.60 | 3.49 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-06 16:52:18 | 3.60 | 3.49 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-06 17:02:17 | 3.60 | 3.49 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-06 17:12:15 | 3.60 | 3.49 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-06 17:22:17 | 3.60 | 3.49 | 1.80 |
| 2026-10-06 17:32:17 | 3.60 | 3.49 | 1.80 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.10.07 | Ilkeston Town | 0 : 2 | Guiseley AFC |