경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

NB III - Southeast Hungary · Southeast - 7

ESMTKHOME · 1.80

2 : 02026.09.06 · 종료

Vasas IIAWAY · 3.40

HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 21 · 10경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 5위 승점 17 · 10경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.5%

DRAW28.7%

AWAY19.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH77 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 77/100

AI PICK HOME 40.1% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +4.1%

VALUE EDGE+4.1%

FAIR ODDS3.49

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 74/100 · MEDIUM RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +45.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +41.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -0.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +3.8%p

MARKET HOME +23.2%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE

ESMTK분석 지표Vasas II

66.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 54.5%

3.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.36

0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.91

80.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

8.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

77/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지15.3 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본4.5 / 10

모델 일치도13.3 / 15

예측 분리도9.8 / 15

데이터 신선도8.5 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME49.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승55.8%표본 86경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승38.1%현재 이동 +9.8%

OPEN → NOW1.64 → 1.80배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:32:15

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

51.5%

DRAW

28.7%

AWAY

19.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

ESMTK

D · 3-3W · 3-0W · 0-3W · 0-3L · 2-1

Vasas II

W · 3-0L · 1-0W · 3-0L · 3-5D · 2-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME61 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.65

→

CURRENT1.81

+9.73%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW61 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.03

→

CURRENT3.62

-10.00%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY61 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.93

→

CURRENT3.55

-9.49%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-06 00:13:01	1.65	4.03	3.93
2026-09-06 00:13:02	1.64	4.05	4.12
2026-09-06 00:43:49	1.64	4.03	3.99
2026-09-06 01:12:40	1.64	4.03	3.99
2026-09-06 01:12:46	1.64	4.03	3.99
2026-09-06 01:42:28	1.64	4.03	3.99
2026-09-06 01:42:31	1.64	4.03	3.99
2026-09-06 02:12:20	1.64	4.03	3.99
2026-09-06 02:42:29	1.64	4.03	3.99
2026-09-06 02:52:05	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 03:12:20	1.64	4.03	3.99
2026-09-06 03:22:07	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 03:42:31	1.64	4.03	3.99
2026-09-06 03:52:07	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 04:22:06	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 04:52:05	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 05:22:05	1.63	4.08	4.00
2026-09-06 05:22:06	1.60	4.15	4.26
2026-09-06 05:52:09	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 06:22:06	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 06:52:08	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 07:22:11	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 07:52:07	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 08:22:09	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 08:52:09	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 09:22:08	1.63	4.08	4.00
2026-09-06 09:22:09	1.60	4.15	4.26
2026-09-06 09:52:07	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 10:22:09	1.67	4.00	3.80
2026-09-06 10:22:10	1.59	4.15	4.23
2026-09-06 10:52:08	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 11:22:09	1.62	4.10	4.09
2026-09-06 11:52:07	1.63	3.88	4.25
2026-09-06 12:22:09	1.63	3.88	4.25
2026-09-06 12:52:10	1.65	3.86	4.15
2026-09-06 12:52:11	1.61	3.92	4.46
2026-09-06 13:22:08	1.63	3.88	4.25
2026-09-06 13:52:09	1.63	3.88	4.25
2026-09-06 14:22:08	1.63	3.88	4.25
2026-09-06 14:52:10	1.65	3.86	4.15
2026-09-06 14:52:11	1.61	3.92	4.46
2026-09-06 15:22:08	1.63	3.88	4.25
2026-09-06 15:52:09	1.63	3.88	4.25
2026-09-06 16:22:13	1.63	3.88	4.25
2026-09-06 16:52:10	1.63	3.88	4.25
2026-09-06 16:52:14	1.63	3.85	4.29
2026-09-06 17:22:14	1.70	3.80	3.90
2026-09-06 17:22:15	1.60	3.92	4.43
2026-09-06 17:22:20	1.63	3.85	4.29
2026-09-06 17:52:14	1.63	3.85	4.29
2026-09-06 18:22:16	1.63	3.85	4.29
2026-09-06 18:52:19	1.63	3.85	4.29
2026-09-06 19:32:15	1.63	3.85	4.29
2026-09-06 20:12:20	1.63	3.85	4.29
2026-09-06 20:52:21	1.63	3.85	4.29
2026-09-06 21:32:14	1.63	3.85	4.29
2026-09-06 22:02:22	1.63	3.85	4.29
2026-09-06 22:32:15	1.63	3.85	4.29
2026-09-06 23:02:21	1.80	3.62	3.50
2026-09-06 23:32:14	1.80	3.60	3.30
2026-09-06 23:32:15	1.81	3.62	3.55

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	ESMTK	2 : 0	Vasas II