경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

National League - North England · National League North - 8

ChesterHOME · 1.61

0 : 12026.09.09 · 종료

Merthyr TownAWAY · 4.60

HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 14 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 14위 승점 9 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.9%

DRAW39.2%

AWAY10.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 39.0% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +15.8%

VALUE EDGE+15.8%

FAIR ODDS2.55

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 85/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +39.0%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +38.3%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +15.3%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +5.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Chester분석 지표Merthyr Town

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.25

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

3.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.6 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.4 / 15

예측 분리도4.6 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME56.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승63.0%표본 119경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승42.8%현재 이동 +3.9%

OPEN → NOW1.55 → 1.61배당 업데이트 2026-09-08 23:52:09

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

49.9%

DRAW

39.2%

AWAY

10.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Chester

D · 1-1L · 0-1W · 1-0W · 0-1W · 2-0

Merthyr Town

W · 2-1L · 2-1D · 1-1D · 2-2L · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.62

→

CURRENT1.60

-0.71%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.79

→

CURRENT3.89

+2.56%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.56

→

CURRENT4.57

+0.24%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-08 12:02:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 12:12:07	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 12:22:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 12:32:08	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 12:42:07	1.61	3.77	4.52
2026-09-08 12:42:08	1.65	3.85	4.67
2026-09-08 12:52:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 13:02:10	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 13:12:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 13:22:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 13:32:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 13:42:08	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 13:52:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 14:02:08	1.61	3.78	4.54
2026-09-08 14:02:09	1.65	3.95	4.80
2026-09-08 14:12:08	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 14:22:09	1.61	3.72	4.57
2026-09-08 14:22:10	1.62	3.81	4.55
2026-09-08 14:32:10	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 14:42:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 14:52:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 15:02:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 15:12:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 15:22:10	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 15:32:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 15:42:08	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 15:52:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 16:02:08	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 16:12:07	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 16:22:09	1.62	3.79	4.56
2026-09-08 16:32:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 16:42:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 16:52:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 17:02:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 17:12:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 17:22:11	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 17:32:10	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 17:42:08	1.61	3.77	4.53
2026-09-08 17:42:09	1.63	3.87	4.68
2026-09-08 17:52:11	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 18:02:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 18:12:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 18:22:10	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 18:32:09	1.61	3.72	4.57
2026-09-08 18:32:10	1.62	3.83	4.58
2026-09-08 18:42:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 18:52:10	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 19:02:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 19:12:09	1.61	3.79	4.54
2026-09-08 19:12:10	1.65	3.85	4.68
2026-09-08 19:22:10	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 19:32:10	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 19:42:08	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 19:52:10	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 20:02:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 20:12:08	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 20:22:11	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 20:32:10	1.61	3.79	4.54
2026-09-08 20:32:11	1.65	3.85	4.68
2026-09-08 20:42:08	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 20:52:10	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 21:02:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 21:12:08	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 21:22:10	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 21:32:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 21:42:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 21:52:10	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 22:02:10	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 22:12:09	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 22:22:12	1.62	3.80	4.58
2026-09-08 22:32:09	1.60	3.89	4.57
2026-09-08 22:42:09	1.60	3.89	4.57
2026-09-08 22:52:13	1.60	3.89	4.57
2026-09-08 23:02:10	1.60	3.89	4.57
2026-09-08 23:12:09	1.60	3.89	4.57
2026-09-08 23:22:10	1.60	3.89	4.54
2026-09-08 23:22:11	1.65	3.88	4.70
2026-09-08 23:32:10	1.60	3.89	4.57
2026-09-08 23:42:09	1.60	3.89	4.57
2026-09-08 23:52:09	1.60	3.89	4.57

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.09	Chester	0 : 1	Merthyr Town