경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

National League - North England · National League North - 6

BuxtonHOME · 1.63

2 : 12026.08.31 · 종료

Merthyr TownAWAY · 4.19

HOME · 현재 순위 11위 승점 7 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 12위 승점 6 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.3%

DRAW24.8%

AWAY16.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM55 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 55/100

AI PICK HOME 44.8% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +2.5%

VALUE EDGE+2.5%

FAIR ODDS4.04

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 67/100 · HIGH RISK

STANDING_PPG EVEN +1.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +8.2%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +4.0%p

MARKET HOME +34.2%p

SEASON_STATS EVEN +1.5%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Buxton분석 지표Merthyr Town

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

1.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00

1.67 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.08

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 14.3%

2.8일 휴식일비교용 지표 2.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

55/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지11.0 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.9 / 15

예측 분리도14.4 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME56.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승57.8%표본 116경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승75.0%표본 4경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.7%현재 이동 -0.3%

OPEN → NOW1.64 → 1.63배당 업데이트 2026-08-31 23:42:59

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

58.3%

DRAW

24.8%

AWAY

16.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Buxton

W · 2-3L · 1-2L · 2-1D · 1-1W · 2-1

Merthyr Town

D · 1-1D · 2-2L · 2-1W · 2-0L · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.62

→

CURRENT1.65

+2.12%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.06

→

CURRENT4.13

+1.73%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.20

→

CURRENT4.22

+0.30%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-31 03:23:28	1.62	4.06	4.20
2026-08-31 03:23:29	1.66	4.15	4.20
2026-08-31 03:32:56	1.64	4.10	4.10
2026-08-31 03:32:57	1.62	4.08	4.21
2026-08-31 03:43:02	1.61	4.03	4.19
2026-08-31 03:43:03	1.64	4.15	4.23
2026-08-31 03:53:40	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 04:03:10	1.62	3.98	4.10
2026-08-31 04:03:11	1.63	4.15	4.28
2026-08-31 04:12:50	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 04:23:31	1.64	4.10	4.10
2026-08-31 04:23:32	1.62	4.08	4.21
2026-08-31 04:33:17	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 04:43:05	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 04:54:26	1.65	4.00	4.05
2026-08-31 04:54:27	1.62	4.09	4.23
2026-08-31 05:04:18	1.62	4.06	4.19
2026-08-31 05:04:19	1.64	4.11	4.24
2026-08-31 05:13:12	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 05:23:59	1.62	4.06	4.20
2026-08-31 05:24:00	1.66	4.15	4.20
2026-08-31 05:33:36	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 05:42:43	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 05:53:26	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 06:03:14	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 06:13:04	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 06:24:05	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 06:34:16	1.65	4.00	4.05
2026-08-31 06:34:17	1.62	4.09	4.23
2026-08-31 06:42:48	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 06:53:25	1.62	4.01	4.10
2026-08-31 06:53:26	1.63	4.11	4.26
2026-08-31 07:03:08	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 07:13:06	1.61	4.03	4.19
2026-08-31 07:13:07	1.64	4.15	4.23
2026-08-31 07:24:05	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 07:33:39	1.63	4.08	4.20
2026-08-31 07:42:25	1.62	4.06	4.20
2026-08-31 07:42:26	1.65	4.13	4.20
2026-08-31 08:03:02	1.62	4.06	4.19
2026-08-31 08:03:03	1.64	4.11	4.24
2026-08-31 08:24:07	1.62	4.06	4.20
2026-08-31 08:24:08	1.66	4.15	4.20
2026-08-31 08:43:04	1.62	4.07	4.19
2026-08-31 08:43:05	1.66	4.20	4.30
2026-08-31 09:03:20	1.63	4.00	4.03
2026-08-31 09:03:21	1.62	4.10	4.26
2026-08-31 17:24:11	1.62	3.98	4.10
2026-08-31 17:24:12	1.62	4.09	4.23
2026-08-31 17:33:24	1.63	4.00	4.03
2026-08-31 17:33:25	1.62	4.06	4.22
2026-08-31 17:43:11	1.62	4.04	4.17
2026-08-31 17:43:12	1.66	4.20	4.30
2026-08-31 17:54:07	1.62	4.05	4.18
2026-08-31 18:03:21	1.62	3.98	4.10
2026-08-31 18:03:22	1.62	4.09	4.23
2026-08-31 18:23:51	1.62	4.05	4.18
2026-08-31 18:43:13	1.62	4.05	4.18
2026-08-31 19:03:29	1.62	4.05	4.18
2026-08-31 19:24:34	1.61	4.02	4.17
2026-08-31 19:24:35	1.65	4.13	4.22
2026-08-31 19:43:14	1.62	4.05	4.18
2026-08-31 20:03:26	1.62	4.05	4.18
2026-08-31 20:24:02	1.61	4.03	4.18
2026-08-31 20:24:03	1.63	4.07	4.18
2026-08-31 20:43:33	1.62	4.03	4.17
2026-08-31 20:43:34	1.66	4.15	4.23
2026-08-31 21:03:28	1.62	4.05	4.18
2026-08-31 21:24:05	1.62	4.05	4.18
2026-08-31 21:43:13	1.62	4.05	4.18
2026-08-31 22:03:57	1.62	4.05	4.18
2026-08-31 22:24:09	1.61	4.02	4.14
2026-08-31 22:24:10	1.64	4.11	4.25
2026-08-31 22:43:15	1.62	4.05	4.18
2026-08-31 23:03:59	1.61	4.02	4.14
2026-08-31 23:04:00	1.64	4.11	4.25
2026-08-31 23:23:47	1.61	4.03	4.18
2026-08-31 23:23:48	1.63	4.07	4.18
2026-08-31 23:42:58	1.61	4.02	4.17
2026-08-31 23:42:59	1.65	4.13	4.22

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.31	Buxton	2 : 1	Merthyr Town