경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

National League - North England · National League North - 6

ChesterHOME · 1.68

0 : 12026.08.31 · 종료

MorecambeAWAY · 4.20

HOME · 현재 순위 2위 승점 13 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 18위 승점 4 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME43.7%

DRAW42.5%

AWAY13.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM55 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 55/100

AI PICK HOME 36.8% CAL

VALUE PICK DRAW +18.3%

VALUE EDGE+18.3%

FAIR ODDS2.35

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 57/100 · HIGH RISK

STANDING_PPG HOME +23.4%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -2.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -4.0%p

MARKET HOME +32.5%p

SEASON_STATS HOME +53.5%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Chester분석 지표Morecambe

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.58

1.00 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.92

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

2.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 2.8일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

55/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지11.0 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.3 / 15

예측 분리도0.5 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME54.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승53.2%표본 156경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승75.0%표본 4경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.0%현재 이동 -1.2%

OPEN → NOW1.70 → 1.68배당 업데이트 2026-08-31 23:42:59

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

43.7%

DRAW

42.5%

AWAY

13.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Chester

W · 1-0W · 0-1W · 2-0W · 1-2D · 0-0

Morecambe

W · 2-1L · 2-1L · 0-1L · 1-0D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME74 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.70

→

CURRENT1.68

-0.66%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW74 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.76

→

CURRENT3.74

-0.61%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY74 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.12

→

CURRENT4.14

+0.48%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-31 03:23:29	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 03:32:57	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 03:43:03	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 03:53:41	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 04:03:11	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 04:12:50	1.68	3.71	4.06
2026-08-31 04:12:51	1.70	3.79	4.15
2026-08-31 04:23:32	1.69	3.72	4.11
2026-08-31 04:23:33	1.71	3.84	4.14
2026-08-31 04:33:18	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 04:43:05	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 04:54:27	1.69	3.70	4.10
2026-08-31 04:54:28	1.71	3.85	4.15
2026-08-31 05:04:19	1.69	3.72	4.13
2026-08-31 05:04:20	1.72	3.87	4.08
2026-08-31 05:13:12	1.69	3.70	4.10
2026-08-31 05:13:13	1.71	3.85	4.15
2026-08-31 05:24:00	1.69	3.70	4.10
2026-08-31 05:24:01	1.71	3.85	4.15
2026-08-31 05:33:37	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 05:42:43	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 05:53:27	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 06:03:14	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 06:13:04	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 06:24:06	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 06:34:17	1.68	3.71	4.06
2026-08-31 06:34:18	1.70	3.79	4.15
2026-08-31 06:42:48	1.69	3.70	4.10
2026-08-31 06:42:49	1.71	3.85	4.15
2026-08-31 06:53:26	1.69	3.74	4.11
2026-08-31 06:53:27	1.73	3.95	4.20
2026-08-31 07:03:08	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 07:13:07	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 07:24:05	1.70	3.65	4.05
2026-08-31 07:24:06	1.70	3.78	4.14
2026-08-31 07:33:39	1.70	3.70	4.10
2026-08-31 07:33:40	1.70	3.77	4.12
2026-08-31 07:42:26	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 08:03:03	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 08:24:08	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 08:43:05	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 09:03:21	1.70	3.76	4.12
2026-08-31 17:24:12	1.69	3.67	4.05
2026-08-31 17:24:13	1.68	3.79	4.19
2026-08-31 17:33:25	1.68	3.74	4.14
2026-08-31 17:43:12	1.68	3.74	4.14
2026-08-31 17:54:08	1.68	3.74	4.14
2026-08-31 18:03:22	1.68	3.74	4.14
2026-08-31 18:23:52	1.68	3.74	4.14
2026-08-31 18:43:13	1.69	3.68	4.10
2026-08-31 18:43:14	1.68	3.75	4.14
2026-08-31 19:03:29	1.68	3.72	4.12
2026-08-31 19:03:30	1.71	3.95	4.30
2026-08-31 19:24:35	1.69	3.73	4.11
2026-08-31 19:24:36	1.67	3.76	4.19
2026-08-31 19:43:14	1.68	3.74	4.14
2026-08-31 20:03:26	1.69	3.69	4.08
2026-08-31 20:03:27	1.68	3.78	4.19
2026-08-31 20:24:03	1.68	3.70	4.10
2026-08-31 20:24:04	1.70	3.82	4.23
2026-08-31 20:43:34	1.68	3.74	4.14
2026-08-31 21:03:28	1.68	3.72	4.03
2026-08-31 21:03:29	1.68	3.75	4.17
2026-08-31 21:24:05	1.68	3.72	4.09
2026-08-31 21:24:06	1.69	3.75	4.16
2026-08-31 21:43:13	1.69	3.68	4.10
2026-08-31 21:43:14	1.68	3.75	4.14
2026-08-31 22:03:58	1.68	3.74	4.14
2026-08-31 22:24:10	1.68	3.71	4.12
2026-08-31 22:24:11	1.71	3.85	4.20
2026-08-31 22:43:16	1.68	3.74	4.14
2026-08-31 23:04:00	1.68	3.74	4.14
2026-08-31 23:23:48	1.68	3.74	4.14
2026-08-31 23:42:59	1.68	3.74	4.14

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.31	Chester	0 : 1	Morecambe