경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
1. Lig
Turkey · Regular Season - 8

Esenler EroksporHOME · 1.96
0 : 22026.09.20 · 종료
Fatih KaragümrükAWAY · 3.39

HOME · 현재 순위
18위
승점 5
· 7경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
11위
승점 9
· 7경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME13.5%
DRAW19.1%
AWAY67.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM59 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME46.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승46.4%표본 179경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승44.6%현재 이동 +2.6%
OPEN → NOW1.91 → 1.96배당 업데이트 2026-09-19 23:52:51
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Esenler EroksporD · 2-2L · 0-3D · 0-0L · 0-1D · 1-1
Fatih KaragümrükD · 1-1L · 4-3D · 1-1D · 1-1W · 2-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME54 SNAPSHOTS
+3.98%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW54 SNAPSHOTS
-0.39%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY54 SNAPSHOTS
-3.54%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-18 12:15:31 | 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.55 |
| 2026-09-19 00:24:26 | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-19 00:24:27 | 1.94 | 3.37 | 3.44 |
| 2026-09-19 00:54:04 | 1.95 | 3.36 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-19 01:32:06 | 1.94 | 3.39 | 3.48 |
| 2026-09-19 01:32:07 | 1.97 | 3.31 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-19 02:02:04 | 1.95 | 3.36 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-19 02:32:07 | 1.94 | 3.37 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-19 02:32:08 | 1.96 | 3.35 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-19 03:02:06 | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-19 03:02:07 | 1.98 | 3.40 | 3.55 |
| 2026-09-19 03:32:04 | 1.96 | 3.28 | 3.60 |
| 2026-09-19 03:32:05 | 1.95 | 3.38 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-19 04:02:04 | 1.95 | 3.36 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-19 04:32:10 | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-19 05:12:11 | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-19 05:52:17 | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-19 06:32:29 | 1.93 | 3.37 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-19 06:32:30 | 1.96 | 3.34 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-19 07:52:07 | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-19 08:32:34 | 1.93 | 3.37 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-19 08:32:35 | 1.96 | 3.34 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-19 09:12:13 | 1.96 | 3.28 | 3.60 |
| 2026-09-19 09:12:14 | 1.95 | 3.37 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-19 09:52:10 | 1.95 | 3.35 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-19 10:32:28 | 1.96 | 3.29 | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-19 10:32:29 | 1.97 | 3.38 | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-19 11:12:21 | 1.96 | 3.35 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-19 11:52:17 | 1.96 | 3.35 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-19 12:32:50 | 1.98 | 3.28 | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-19 12:32:51 | 1.96 | 3.37 | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-19 13:12:30 | 1.96 | 3.34 | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-19 13:12:31 | 1.98 | 3.40 | 3.55 |
| 2026-09-19 13:52:35 | 1.95 | 3.37 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-19 13:52:36 | 1.98 | 3.32 | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-19 14:32:21 | 1.96 | 3.35 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-19 15:12:46 | 1.96 | 3.35 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-19 15:52:36 | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-19 15:52:37 | 1.95 | 3.36 | 3.42 |
| 2026-09-19 16:33:22 | 1.97 | 3.36 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-19 16:33:23 | 1.99 | 3.35 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-19 17:13:08 | 1.98 | 3.36 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-19 17:53:03 | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-19 17:53:04 | 1.97 | 3.37 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-19 18:33:24 | 1.96 | 3.39 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-19 18:33:25 | 2.00 | 3.32 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-19 19:13:07 | 2.00 | 3.28 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-19 19:13:08 | 1.97 | 3.38 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-19 22:32:50 | 1.98 | 3.28 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-19 22:32:51 | 2.00 | 3.45 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-19 23:13:06 | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-19 23:13:07 | 1.98 | 3.39 | 3.42 |
| 2026-09-19 23:52:50 | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-19 23:52:51 | 1.98 | 3.39 | 3.42 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Esenler Erokspor | 0 : 2 | Fatih Karagümrük |