경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
1. Lig
Turkey · Regular Season - 6

Manisa F.K.HOME · 4.20
1 : 22026.09.08 · 종료
BursasporAWAY · 1.70

HOME · 현재 순위
10위
승점 8
· 5경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
2위
승점 12
· 5경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME17.8%
DRAW22.0%
AWAY60.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW42 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME21.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승23.0%표본 61경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승43.1%현재 이동 +3.1%
OPEN → NOW4.08 → 4.20배당 업데이트 2026-09-07 23:52:19
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Manisa F.K.L · 4-2D · 0-0D · 2-2W · 4-1W · 1-2
BursasporW · 4-0W · 1-2L · 2-1W · 1-0W · 0-2
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
-1.54%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
-0.27%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
+1.67%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-07 12:12:10 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 12:22:11 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 12:32:10 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 12:42:09 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 12:52:12 | 4.27 | 3.68 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 12:52:13 | 4.26 | 3.81 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 13:02:12 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 13:12:11 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 13:22:12 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 13:32:11 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 13:42:11 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 13:52:12 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 14:02:11 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 14:12:10 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 14:22:11 | 4.20 | 3.75 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 14:22:12 | 4.27 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 14:32:12 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 14:42:10 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 14:52:11 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 15:02:11 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 15:12:10 | 4.26 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 15:12:11 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 15:22:13 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 15:32:13 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 15:42:12 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 15:52:14 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 16:02:12 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 16:12:12 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 16:22:13 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 16:32:12 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 16:42:11 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 16:52:14 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 17:02:13 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 17:12:11 | 4.20 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 17:12:12 | 4.30 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 17:22:12 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 17:32:12 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 17:42:12 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 17:52:14 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 18:02:11 | 4.28 | 3.77 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 18:12:11 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 18:22:14 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 18:32:15 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 18:42:16 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 18:52:18 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 19:02:18 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 19:12:17 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 19:22:19 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 19:22:20 | 4.30 | 3.80 | 1.74 |
| 2026-09-07 19:32:17 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 19:42:17 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 19:52:18 | 4.20 | 3.71 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 19:52:19 | 4.23 | 3.78 | 1.74 |
| 2026-09-07 20:02:16 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 20:12:16 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 20:22:18 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 20:32:17 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 20:42:16 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 20:52:18 | 4.20 | 3.72 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 21:02:16 | 4.20 | 3.71 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 21:02:17 | 4.23 | 3.78 | 1.74 |
| 2026-09-07 21:12:16 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 21:22:19 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 21:32:17 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 21:42:17 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 21:52:19 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 22:02:16 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 22:12:18 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 22:22:20 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 22:32:18 | 4.17 | 3.70 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-07 22:32:19 | 4.24 | 3.76 | 1.72 |
| 2026-09-07 22:42:18 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 22:52:20 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 23:02:16 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 23:12:17 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 23:22:19 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 23:32:19 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 23:42:16 | 4.19 | 3.72 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-07 23:52:18 | 4.18 | 3.68 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-07 23:52:19 | 4.19 | 3.75 | 1.71 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.08 | Manisa F.K. | 1 : 2 | Bursaspor |