경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
National League
England · Regular Season - 9
EastleighHOME · 4.00
1 : 02026.09.19 · 종료
CarlisleAWAY · 1.67
HOME · 현재 순위
14위
승점 11
· 8경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
15위
승점 10
· 8경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME10.8%
DRAW15.7%
AWAY73.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH79 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME22.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승23.2%표본 69경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승39.4%현재 이동 +6.7%
OPEN → NOW3.75 → 4.00배당 업데이트 2026-09-19 23:52:46
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
EastleighL · 2-1D · 1-1L · 2-1D · 1-1W · 0-1
CarlisleD · 1-1D · 2-2L · 2-1W · 4-2D · 1-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME68 SNAPSHOTS
+9.33%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW68 SNAPSHOTS
+8.21%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY68 SNAPSHOTS
-1.96%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-18 12:15:30 | 3.75 | 3.70 | 1.79 |
| 2026-09-18 12:15:31 | 3.79 | 3.75 | 1.79 |
| 2026-09-19 00:24:23 | 3.85 | 3.75 | 1.76 |
| 2026-09-19 00:54:00 | 3.82 | 3.71 | 1.74 |
| 2026-09-19 00:54:01 | 3.88 | 3.80 | 1.77 |
| 2026-09-19 01:24:53 | 3.87 | 3.77 | 1.75 |
| 2026-09-19 01:24:54 | 3.84 | 3.78 | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-19 01:53:53 | 3.87 | 3.76 | 1.75 |
| 2026-09-19 01:53:54 | 3.80 | 3.85 | 1.82 |
| 2026-09-19 02:24:42 | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| 2026-09-19 02:24:43 | 3.86 | 3.79 | 1.75 |
| 2026-09-19 02:53:35 | 3.83 | 3.71 | 1.74 |
| 2026-09-19 02:53:36 | 3.90 | 3.82 | 1.77 |
| 2026-09-19 03:23:58 | 3.87 | 3.76 | 1.75 |
| 2026-09-19 03:23:59 | 3.80 | 3.85 | 1.82 |
| 2026-09-19 03:53:13 | 3.86 | 3.77 | 1.76 |
| 2026-09-19 04:32:07 | 3.87 | 3.76 | 1.75 |
| 2026-09-19 04:32:08 | 3.80 | 3.85 | 1.82 |
| 2026-09-19 05:12:08 | 3.86 | 3.77 | 1.76 |
| 2026-09-19 05:52:12 | 3.86 | 3.77 | 1.76 |
| 2026-09-19 06:32:18 | 3.87 | 3.77 | 1.75 |
| 2026-09-19 06:32:19 | 3.84 | 3.78 | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-19 07:12:11 | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| 2026-09-19 07:12:12 | 3.86 | 3.79 | 1.75 |
| 2026-09-19 07:52:05 | 3.86 | 3.77 | 1.76 |
| 2026-09-19 08:32:25 | 3.80 | 3.68 | 1.78 |
| 2026-09-19 08:32:26 | 3.89 | 3.80 | 1.75 |
| 2026-09-19 09:12:11 | 3.86 | 3.77 | 1.76 |
| 2026-09-19 09:52:08 | 3.86 | 3.77 | 1.76 |
| 2026-09-19 10:32:24 | 3.96 | 3.83 | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-19 11:12:18 | 3.96 | 3.83 | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-19 11:52:14 | 3.96 | 3.83 | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-19 12:32:42 | 3.95 | 3.82 | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-19 12:32:43 | 4.02 | 3.85 | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-19 13:12:25 | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
| 2026-09-19 13:12:26 | 3.96 | 3.84 | 1.72 |
| 2026-09-19 13:52:30 | 3.95 | 3.82 | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-19 13:52:31 | 4.02 | 3.85 | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-19 14:32:18 | 3.96 | 3.83 | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-19 15:12:38 | 3.88 | 3.77 | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-19 15:12:39 | 4.01 | 3.87 | 1.73 |
| 2026-09-19 15:52:31 | 3.88 | 3.78 | 1.75 |
| 2026-09-19 15:52:32 | 3.99 | 3.85 | 1.72 |
| 2026-09-19 16:33:06 | 3.97 | 3.99 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 16:33:07 | 4.00 | 3.94 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 17:12:54 | 3.95 | 4.00 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 17:12:55 | 4.03 | 3.98 | 1.65 |
| 2026-09-19 17:12:56 | 3.98 | 3.93 | 1.71 |
| 2026-09-19 17:52:52 | 3.97 | 3.99 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 17:52:53 | 4.00 | 3.94 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 18:33:11 | 4.00 | 3.90 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 18:33:12 | 4.05 | 4.07 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 18:33:13 | 3.88 | 3.81 | 1.72 |
| 2026-09-19 19:12:56 | 3.95 | 4.00 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 19:12:57 | 3.98 | 3.94 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-19 19:12:58 | 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.75 |
| 2026-09-19 19:53:32 | 4.00 | 3.99 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 19:53:33 | 3.98 | 3.93 | 1.71 |
| 2026-09-19 20:32:48 | 3.96 | 3.98 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-19 20:32:49 | 4.00 | 3.95 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 21:13:01 | 3.96 | 3.98 | 1.67 |
| 2026-09-19 21:13:02 | 4.00 | 3.95 | 1.70 |
| 2026-09-19 21:53:11 | 4.00 | 3.99 | 1.66 |
| 2026-09-19 21:53:12 | 3.98 | 3.93 | 1.71 |
| 2026-09-19 22:32:43 | 3.99 | 3.96 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 23:12:58 | 3.99 | 3.96 | 1.69 |
| 2026-09-19 23:52:45 | 3.98 | 3.96 | 1.68 |
| 2026-09-19 23:52:46 | 4.10 | 4.00 | 1.75 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.19 | Eastleigh | 1 : 0 | Carlisle |