경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

National League England · Regular Season - 5

CarlisleHOME · 1.67

4 : 22026.08.31 · 종료

ScunthorpeAWAY · 4.33

HOME · 현재 순위 15위 승점 5 · 4경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 16위 승점 4 · 4경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME26.0%

DRAW16.3%

AWAY57.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW55 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 55/100

AI PICK AWAY 44.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +36.5%

VALUE EDGE+36.5%

FAIR ODDS1.73

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 94/100 · HIGH RISK

STANDING_PPG HOME +2.5%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -14.7%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST EVEN +0.0%p

MARKET HOME +33.8%p

SEASON_STATS HOME +11.2%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Carlisle분석 지표Scunthorpe

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.58 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.50

1.50 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.42

16.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

2.8일 휴식일비교용 지표 2.8일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

55/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지11.0 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도5.2 / 15

예측 분리도13.6 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME55.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승54.9%표본 182경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.0%현재 이동 -1.8%

OPEN → NOW1.70 → 1.67배당 업데이트 2026-08-31 23:42:54

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

26.0%

DRAW

16.3%

AWAY

57.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Carlisle

D · 1-1W · 4-1D · 1-1L · 2-3W · 0-3

Scunthorpe

W · 3-1L · 3-2W · 4-0L · 1-0D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.72

→

CURRENT1.66

-3.07%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.63

→

CURRENT3.85

+6.16%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.20

→

CURRENT4.34

+3.35%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-31 05:53:14	1.72	3.63	4.20
2026-08-31 05:53:15	1.68	3.80	4.23
2026-08-31 06:03:05	1.69	3.75	4.20
2026-08-31 06:03:06	1.70	3.93	4.40
2026-08-31 06:12:55	1.69	3.77	4.21
2026-08-31 06:12:56	1.68	3.78	4.27
2026-08-31 06:23:47	1.68	3.74	4.18
2026-08-31 06:23:48	1.69	3.81	4.28
2026-08-31 06:34:04	1.70	3.65	4.20
2026-08-31 06:34:05	1.69	3.77	4.21
2026-08-31 06:42:42	1.69	3.73	4.21
2026-08-31 06:42:43	1.70	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 06:53:14	1.69	3.76	4.21
2026-08-31 07:03:02	1.69	3.76	4.21
2026-08-31 07:12:59	1.68	3.74	4.18
2026-08-31 07:13:00	1.70	3.78	4.24
2026-08-31 07:23:50	1.72	3.63	4.20
2026-08-31 07:23:51	1.68	3.78	4.20
2026-08-31 07:23:52	1.73	3.85	4.28
2026-08-31 07:33:27	1.70	3.68	4.20
2026-08-31 07:33:28	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 07:42:23	1.69	3.76	4.21
2026-08-31 08:02:55	1.68	3.74	4.18
2026-08-31 08:02:56	1.72	3.81	4.27
2026-08-31 08:23:53	1.70	3.68	4.20
2026-08-31 08:23:54	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 08:42:58	1.69	3.73	4.21
2026-08-31 08:42:59	1.70	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 09:03:12	1.70	3.68	4.20
2026-08-31 09:03:13	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 09:23:28	1.69	3.73	4.21
2026-08-31 09:23:29	1.70	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 15:24:11	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 15:33:14	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 15:43:09	1.68	3.78	4.20
2026-08-31 15:43:10	1.73	3.85	4.28
2026-08-31 15:53:56	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 16:03:23	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 16:13:08	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 16:24:35	1.68	3.78	4.21
2026-08-31 16:24:36	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 16:34:11	1.69	3.78	4.20
2026-08-31 16:34:12	1.72	3.85	4.30
2026-08-31 16:42:50	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 16:53:45	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 17:03:18	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 17:13:18	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 17:24:00	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 17:33:16	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 17:43:05	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 17:53:53	1.68	3.78	4.18
2026-08-31 17:53:54	1.70	3.79	4.24
2026-08-31 18:03:14	1.69	3.79	4.21
2026-08-31 18:23:41	1.67	3.81	4.29
2026-08-31 18:23:42	1.72	3.85	4.30
2026-08-31 18:43:07	1.65	3.81	4.32
2026-08-31 18:43:08	1.69	3.81	4.28
2026-08-31 19:03:22	1.66	3.80	4.28
2026-08-31 19:03:23	1.72	3.85	4.32
2026-08-31 19:24:21	1.68	3.75	4.20
2026-08-31 19:24:22	1.68	3.82	4.30
2026-08-31 19:43:08	1.66	3.84	4.32
2026-08-31 19:43:09	1.70	3.77	4.24
2026-08-31 20:03:20	1.68	3.81	4.29
2026-08-31 20:23:48	1.67	3.80	4.27
2026-08-31 20:23:49	1.70	3.85	4.34
2026-08-31 20:43:27	1.68	3.81	4.29
2026-08-31 21:03:20	1.68	3.81	4.29
2026-08-31 21:23:53	1.65	3.85	4.35
2026-08-31 21:23:54	1.73	3.85	4.28
2026-08-31 21:43:07	1.64	3.88	4.42
2026-08-31 21:43:08	1.69	3.80	4.22
2026-08-31 22:03:47	1.65	3.83	4.35
2026-08-31 22:03:48	1.70	3.89	4.32
2026-08-31 22:23:57	1.64	3.84	4.40
2026-08-31 22:23:58	1.68	3.86	4.29
2026-08-31 22:43:10	1.66	3.85	4.34
2026-08-31 23:03:52	1.66	3.85	4.34
2026-08-31 23:23:37	1.66	3.85	4.34
2026-08-31 23:42:54	1.66	3.85	4.34

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.08.31	Carlisle	4 : 2	Scunthorpe