경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Cup Estonia · Round of 16

Nõmme UnitedHOME · 2.15

3 : 22026.09.02 · 종료

VaprusAWAY · 2.70

HOME · 현재 순위 -

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME28.4%

DRAW30.6%

AWAY41.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 36.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +7.7%

VALUE EDGE+7.7%

FAIR ODDS2.44

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 75/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -18.1%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -13.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -4.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

H2H HOME +100.0%p

REST EVEN +0.5%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Nõmme United분석 지표Vaprus

25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.75

2.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.92

16.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 28.6%

4.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.9 / 15

예측 분리도4.4 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보2.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME41.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승39.2%표본 153경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.4%현재 이동 -7.5%

OPEN → NOW2.33 → 2.15배당 업데이트 2026-09-02 23:42:40

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

28.4%

DRAW

30.6%

AWAY

41.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Nõmme United

L · 1-2L · 4-1W · 0-2L · 0-1L · 5-0

Vaprus

L · 1-2L · 3-1W · 0-5D · 1-1W · 1-4

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.30

→

CURRENT2.16

-6.14%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.62

→

CURRENT3.56

-1.68%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.51

→

CURRENT2.71

+7.83%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-02 11:02:37	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 11:12:30	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 11:22:41	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 11:32:35	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 11:42:35	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 11:52:36	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 12:02:55	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 12:12:36	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 12:22:39	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 12:32:50	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 12:42:48	2.28	3.59	2.49
2026-09-02 12:42:49	2.32	3.65	2.53
2026-09-02 12:52:35	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 13:02:32	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 13:12:40	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 13:22:47	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 13:33:13	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 13:42:41	2.30	3.62	2.51
2026-09-02 13:52:38	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 14:02:38	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 14:12:34	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 14:22:44	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 14:32:36	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 14:42:30	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 14:52:35	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 15:02:32	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 15:12:29	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 15:22:34	2.19	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 15:22:35	2.27	3.65	2.60
2026-09-02 15:32:30	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 15:42:31	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 15:52:36	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 16:02:33	2.19	3.61	2.64
2026-09-02 16:02:34	2.21	3.55	2.61
2026-09-02 16:12:30	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 16:22:35	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 16:32:31	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 16:42:32	2.20	3.58	2.63
2026-09-02 16:52:37	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 17:02:34	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 17:12:33	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 17:22:37	2.17	3.55	2.67
2026-09-02 17:22:38	2.20	3.61	2.64
2026-09-02 17:32:33	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 17:42:32	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 17:52:37	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 18:02:31	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 18:12:32	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 18:22:35	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 18:32:32	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 18:42:32	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 18:52:35	2.15	3.61	2.69
2026-09-02 18:52:36	2.24	3.56	2.58
2026-09-02 19:02:34	2.15	3.58	2.70
2026-09-02 19:02:35	2.20	3.60	2.63
2026-09-02 19:12:31	2.16	3.62	2.68
2026-09-02 19:12:32	2.21	3.56	2.61
2026-09-02 19:22:35	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 19:32:33	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 19:42:31	2.19	3.59	2.65
2026-09-02 19:52:41	2.18	3.58	2.67
2026-09-02 20:02:38	2.18	3.58	2.67
2026-09-02 20:12:37	2.17	3.57	2.67
2026-09-02 20:12:38	2.24	3.65	2.68
2026-09-02 20:22:44	2.18	3.58	2.67
2026-09-02 20:32:39	2.20	3.48	2.68
2026-09-02 20:32:40	2.18	3.60	2.67
2026-09-02 20:42:37	2.18	3.58	2.67
2026-09-02 21:02:39	2.18	3.58	2.67
2026-09-02 21:22:44	2.19	3.60	2.67
2026-09-02 21:22:45	2.17	3.55	2.68
2026-09-02 21:42:47	2.16	3.57	2.68
2026-09-02 21:42:48	2.24	3.62	2.66
2026-09-02 22:02:42	2.17	3.57	2.67
2026-09-02 22:02:43	2.24	3.65	2.68
2026-09-02 22:22:47	2.18	3.58	2.67
2026-09-02 22:42:46	2.18	3.58	2.67
2026-09-02 23:02:42	2.16	3.56	2.71
2026-09-02 23:22:48	2.16	3.56	2.71
2026-09-02 23:42:40	2.16	3.56	2.71

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	Vaprus	1 : 0	Nõmme United
2026.09.02	Nõmme United	3 : 2	Vaprus
2026.05.02	Vaprus	2 : 3	Nõmme United
2026.03.14	Nõmme United	7 : 1	Vaprus