경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
3. Liga
Germany · Regular Season - 6

FC Ingolstadt 04HOME · 2.05
1 : 22026.09.17 · 종료
Hoffenheim IIAWAY · 2.88

HOME · 현재 순위
8위
승점 8
· 5경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
11위
승점 7
· 5경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.8%
DRAW24.6%
AWAY26.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME43.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승50.0%표본 142경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승40.0%표본 5경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승37.5%현재 이동 +10.8%
OPEN → NOW1.85 → 2.05배당 업데이트 2026-09-16 23:52:13
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
FC Ingolstadt 04W · 0-1L · 0-3W · 0-2D · 1-1D · 2-2
Hoffenheim IID · 2-2L · 1-0W · 5-1W · 0-2L · 2-3
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
+12.38%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
-2.27%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
-15.76%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-16 01:32:08 | 1.82 | 3.67 | 3.42 |
| 2026-09-16 01:42:07 | 1.82 | 3.67 | 3.42 |
| 2026-09-16 01:52:07 | 1.82 | 3.67 | 3.42 |
| 2026-09-16 02:02:07 | 1.79 | 3.70 | 3.44 |
| 2026-09-16 02:02:08 | 1.88 | 3.62 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-16 02:12:07 | 1.82 | 3.67 | 3.42 |
| 2026-09-16 02:22:07 | 1.82 | 3.67 | 3.42 |
| 2026-09-16 02:32:07 | 1.82 | 3.67 | 3.42 |
| 2026-09-16 02:42:08 | 1.82 | 3.67 | 3.42 |
| 2026-09-16 02:52:08 | 1.82 | 3.67 | 3.42 |
| 2026-09-16 02:52:10 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 03:12:07 | 1.82 | 3.67 | 3.42 |
| 2026-09-16 03:12:09 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 03:32:10 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 03:52:10 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 04:12:10 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 04:32:11 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 04:52:11 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 05:12:10 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 05:32:11 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 05:52:11 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 06:12:11 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 06:32:11 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 06:52:12 | 1.81 | 3.59 | 3.48 |
| 2026-09-16 06:52:13 | 1.83 | 3.69 | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-16 07:12:11 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 07:32:13 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 07:52:12 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 08:12:10 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 08:32:10 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-16 08:52:11 | 1.88 | 3.64 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-16 09:12:10 | 1.87 | 3.62 | 3.24 |
| 2026-09-16 09:12:11 | 1.95 | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-16 09:32:11 | 1.88 | 3.64 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-16 09:52:13 | 1.88 | 3.64 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-16 10:12:11 | 1.88 | 3.64 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-16 10:32:10 | 1.88 | 3.64 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-16 10:52:11 | 1.88 | 3.64 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-16 11:12:11 | 1.88 | 3.64 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-16 11:32:10 | 1.88 | 3.64 | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-16 11:52:10 | 1.88 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 12:12:11 | 1.88 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 12:32:10 | 1.88 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 12:52:12 | 1.88 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 13:12:10 | 1.88 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 13:32:11 | 1.88 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 13:52:11 | 1.88 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 14:12:11 | 1.88 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 14:32:12 | 1.88 | 3.65 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 14:52:12 | 1.89 | 3.65 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 15:12:11 | 1.89 | 3.65 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 15:32:16 | 1.89 | 3.65 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 15:52:11 | 1.89 | 3.65 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 16:12:12 | 1.89 | 3.65 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 16:32:13 | 1.89 | 3.65 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 16:52:12 | 1.89 | 3.65 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 17:12:12 | 1.89 | 3.65 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 17:32:12 | 1.89 | 3.65 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 17:52:14 | 1.89 | 3.66 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 18:12:11 | 1.89 | 3.66 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 18:32:13 | 1.89 | 3.66 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 18:52:10 | 1.87 | 3.68 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 18:52:11 | 1.92 | 3.61 | 3.24 |
| 2026-09-16 19:12:09 | 1.89 | 3.66 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 19:32:12 | 1.89 | 3.66 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 19:52:11 | 1.89 | 3.66 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 20:12:10 | 1.89 | 3.66 | 3.22 |
| 2026-09-16 20:32:12 | 1.87 | 3.61 | 3.24 |
| 2026-09-16 20:32:13 | 1.90 | 3.68 | 3.21 |
| 2026-09-16 20:52:10 | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 21:12:10 | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 21:32:12 | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 21:52:13 | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 22:12:21 | 1.85 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-16 22:32:14 | 2.05 | 3.59 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-16 22:52:15 | 2.05 | 3.59 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-16 23:12:14 | 2.05 | 3.59 | 2.88 |
| 2026-09-16 23:32:13 | 2.03 | 3.56 | 2.87 |
| 2026-09-16 23:32:14 | 2.12 | 3.72 | 2.90 |
| 2026-09-16 23:52:13 | 2.05 | 3.59 | 2.88 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.17 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 1 : 2 | Hoffenheim II |