경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

3. Liga Germany · Regular Season - 6

MSV DuisburgHOME · 1.25

2 : 12026.09.16 · 종료

HavelseAWAY · 8.40

HOME · 현재 순위 1위 승점 12 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 17위 승점 4 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.0%

DRAW16.2%

AWAY10.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 51.9% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +1.0%

VALUE EDGE+1.0%

FAIR ODDS1.37

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +34.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +26.2%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +24.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +8.4%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

MSV Duisburg분석 지표Havelse

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

2.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.33

1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.08

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 12.5%

3.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.9 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.8 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME72.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승66.7%표본 15경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.2%현재 이동 -0.8%

OPEN → NOW1.26 → 1.25배당 업데이트 2026-09-15 23:52:10

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

73.0%

DRAW

16.2%

AWAY

10.8%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

MSV Duisburg

L · 2-1W · 1-2W · 3-0L · 1-3W · 2-4

Havelse

D · 2-2L · 2-1W · 3-2L · 1-0L · 2-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.29

→

CURRENT1.25

-2.68%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.93

→

CURRENT5.22

+5.90%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN7.49

→

CURRENT8.39

+11.99%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-15 12:12:11	1.29	4.93	7.49
2026-09-15 12:22:12	1.29	4.93	7.49
2026-09-15 12:32:11	1.29	4.93	7.49
2026-09-15 12:42:10	1.29	4.93	7.49
2026-09-15 12:52:10	1.29	4.93	7.49
2026-09-15 13:02:11	1.29	4.93	7.49
2026-09-15 13:12:11	1.29	4.93	7.49
2026-09-15 13:22:12	1.29	4.93	7.49
2026-09-15 13:32:11	1.30	4.75	8.00
2026-09-15 13:32:12	1.28	4.96	7.43
2026-09-15 13:42:11	1.29	4.93	7.49
2026-09-15 13:52:11	1.29	4.93	7.49
2026-09-15 14:02:10	1.29	4.93	7.49
2026-09-15 14:12:10	1.29	4.93	7.49
2026-09-15 14:22:12	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 14:32:12	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 14:42:11	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 14:52:12	1.28	4.84	7.50
2026-09-15 14:52:13	1.29	5.05	7.37
2026-09-15 15:02:11	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 15:12:11	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 15:22:12	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 15:32:11	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 15:42:11	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 15:52:12	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 16:02:10	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 16:12:10	1.28	4.85	7.38
2026-09-15 16:12:11	1.31	5.10	7.73
2026-09-15 16:22:12	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 16:32:12	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 16:42:11	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 16:52:12	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 17:02:12	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 17:12:11	1.29	4.91	7.45
2026-09-15 17:22:12	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 17:32:12	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 17:42:11	1.30	4.75	8.00
2026-09-15 17:42:12	1.29	4.94	7.40
2026-09-15 17:52:12	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 18:02:12	1.28	4.85	7.52
2026-09-15 18:02:13	1.29	5.05	7.37
2026-09-15 18:12:10	1.28	4.87	7.45
2026-09-15 18:12:11	1.33	5.30	7.60
2026-09-15 18:22:13	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 18:32:11	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 18:42:11	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 18:52:12	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 19:02:12	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 19:12:11	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 19:22:10	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 19:32:11	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 19:42:10	1.30	4.88	7.25
2026-09-15 19:42:11	1.28	4.93	7.53
2026-09-15 19:52:12	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 20:02:11	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 20:12:10	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 20:22:11	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 20:32:11	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 20:42:10	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 20:52:11	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 21:02:12	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 21:12:10	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 21:22:11	1.28	4.77	7.20
2026-09-15 21:22:12	1.31	5.09	7.82
2026-09-15 21:32:11	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 21:42:11	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 21:52:12	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 22:02:12	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 22:12:11	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 22:22:14	1.29	4.87	7.46
2026-09-15 22:22:15	1.33	5.30	7.60
2026-09-15 22:32:12	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 22:42:11	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 22:52:12	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 23:02:11	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 23:12:16	1.29	4.91	7.47
2026-09-15 23:22:11	1.25	5.22	8.39
2026-09-15 23:32:11	1.25	5.22	8.39
2026-09-15 23:42:12	1.25	5.22	8.39
2026-09-15 23:52:10	1.25	5.22	8.39

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.16	MSV Duisburg	2 : 1	Havelse