경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primera División Venezuela · Clausura - 8

Carabobo FCHOME · 1.52

1 : 02026.09.08 · 종료

Estudiantes de Merida FCAWAY · 5.55

HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 8 · 7경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 6위 승점 12 · 7경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.0%

DRAW22.7%

AWAY12.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH92 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +5.0%

VALUE EDGE+5.0%

FAIR ODDS1.54

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +37.3%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +36.1%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -4.9%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +7.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Carabobo FC분석 지표Estudiantes de Merida FC

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00

0.83 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.08

80.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

4.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

92/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.9 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME60.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승67.3%표본 98경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승47.2%현재 이동 -2.3%

OPEN → NOW1.55 → 1.52배당 업데이트 2026-09-07 23:52:29

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

65.0%

DRAW

22.7%

AWAY

12.3%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Carabobo FC

L · 4-3D · 0-0D · 1-1W · 1-0L · 1-0

Estudiantes de Merida FC

D · 1-1W · 1-2D · 1-1W · 1-0L · 3-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.58

→

CURRENT1.51

-4.53%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.67

→

CURRENT3.84

+4.56%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.10

→

CURRENT5.61

+9.96%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-07 11:42:17	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 11:52:21	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 12:02:19	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 12:12:17	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 12:22:18	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 12:32:16	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 12:42:15	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 12:52:19	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 13:02:18	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 13:12:17	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 13:22:18	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 13:32:17	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 13:42:17	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 13:52:19	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 14:02:17	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 14:12:17	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 14:22:18	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 14:32:19	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 14:42:16	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 14:52:18	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 15:02:19	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 15:12:16	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 15:22:19	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 15:32:18	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 15:42:17	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 15:52:20	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 16:02:17	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 16:12:17	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 16:22:19	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 16:32:18	1.58	3.65	5.00
2026-09-07 16:32:19	1.59	3.70	5.21
2026-09-07 16:42:18	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 16:52:21	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 17:02:19	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 17:12:18	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 17:22:19	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 17:32:18	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 17:42:18	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 17:52:20	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 18:02:17	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 18:12:18	1.59	3.66	5.06
2026-09-07 18:12:19	1.58	3.70	5.19
2026-09-07 18:22:22	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 18:32:22	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 18:42:23	1.58	3.67	5.10
2026-09-07 18:52:28	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 19:02:26	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 19:12:25	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 19:22:28	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 19:32:26	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 19:42:26	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 19:52:27	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 20:02:24	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 20:12:25	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 20:22:27	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 20:32:25	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 20:42:25	1.53	3.74	5.39
2026-09-07 20:42:26	1.56	3.78	5.32
2026-09-07 20:52:27	1.53	3.77	5.39
2026-09-07 20:52:28	1.59	3.73	5.23
2026-09-07 21:02:26	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 21:12:27	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 21:22:30	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 21:32:27	1.55	3.76	5.35
2026-09-07 21:42:27	1.56	3.70	5.18
2026-09-07 21:42:28	1.54	3.79	5.44
2026-09-07 21:52:30	1.53	3.85	5.40
2026-09-07 21:52:31	1.51	3.84	5.63
2026-09-07 22:02:26	1.51	3.84	5.61
2026-09-07 22:12:29	1.51	3.84	5.61
2026-09-07 22:22:30	1.51	3.84	5.61
2026-09-07 22:32:28	1.51	3.84	5.61
2026-09-07 22:42:28	1.51	3.84	5.61
2026-09-07 22:52:31	1.51	3.84	5.61
2026-09-07 23:02:26	1.51	3.84	5.61
2026-09-07 23:12:28	1.51	3.84	5.61
2026-09-07 23:22:29	1.51	3.84	5.61
2026-09-07 23:32:28	1.51	3.84	5.61
2026-09-07 23:42:27	1.51	3.84	5.61
2026-09-07 23:52:29	1.51	3.84	5.61

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.08	Carabobo FC	1 : 0	Estudiantes de Merida FC
2026.05.18	Estudiantes de Merida FC	0 : 2	Carabobo FC
2026.05.14	Carabobo FC	1 : 0	Estudiantes de Merida FC
2026.03.19	Estudiantes de Merida FC	3 : 2	Carabobo FC