경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

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Segunda División Uruguay · 2nd Phase - 17

Plaza ColoniaHOME · 1.85

1 : 02026.09.08 · 종료

Uruguay MontevideoAWAY · 4.02

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 24 · 16경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 14위 승점 16 · 16경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.6%

DRAW21.5%

AWAY10.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +18.8%

VALUE EDGE+18.8%

FAIR ODDS1.48

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +36.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +30.3%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +8.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +9.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Plaza Colonia분석 지표Uruguay Montevideo

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.92

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

20.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%

7.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 9.3일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.2 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME48.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승54.2%표본 131경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승39.9%현재 이동 +6.3%

OPEN → NOW1.74 → 1.85배당 업데이트 2026-09-07 23:52:29

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

67.6%

DRAW

21.5%

AWAY

10.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Plaza Colonia

L · 2-0W · 2-1D · 1-1W · 1-4D · 1-1

Uruguay Montevideo

D · 0-0L · 3-0L · 1-2W · 1-0W · 1-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.78

→

CURRENT1.89

+6.04%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.17

→

CURRENT3.16

-0.39%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.38

→

CURRENT4.10

-6.42%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-07 12:22:17	1.78	3.17	4.38
2026-09-07 12:22:18	1.77	3.16	4.55
2026-09-07 12:32:16	1.78	3.17	4.41
2026-09-07 12:42:15	1.78	3.17	4.41
2026-09-07 12:52:19	1.78	3.17	4.41
2026-09-07 13:02:18	1.78	3.17	4.41
2026-09-07 13:12:17	1.78	3.17	4.41
2026-09-07 13:22:18	1.78	3.17	4.41
2026-09-07 13:32:17	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 13:42:17	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 13:52:18	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 14:02:17	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 14:12:16	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 14:22:18	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 14:32:18	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 14:42:16	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 14:52:18	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 15:02:19	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 15:12:16	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 15:22:18	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 15:32:18	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 15:42:17	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 15:52:20	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 16:02:17	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 16:12:17	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 16:22:19	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 16:32:18	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 16:42:17	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 16:52:20	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 17:02:18	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 17:12:17	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 17:22:18	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 17:32:17	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 17:42:17	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 17:52:19	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 18:02:16	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 18:12:17	1.80	3.10	4.30
2026-09-07 18:12:18	1.79	3.18	4.43
2026-09-07 18:22:21	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 18:32:21	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 18:42:22	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 18:52:26	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 18:52:27	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 19:02:24	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 19:02:25	1.80	3.12	4.29
2026-09-07 19:02:26	1.83	3.17	4.34
2026-09-07 19:12:23	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 19:12:24	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 19:22:27	1.79	3.16	4.39
2026-09-07 19:22:28	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 19:32:25	1.82	3.14	4.29
2026-09-07 19:32:26	1.84	3.23	4.48
2026-09-07 19:42:25	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 19:52:26	1.82	3.10	4.23
2026-09-07 19:52:27	1.82	3.17	4.35
2026-09-07 20:02:24	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 20:12:25	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 20:22:26	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 20:32:24	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 20:42:25	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 20:52:27	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 21:02:26	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 21:12:26	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 21:22:29	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 21:32:27	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 21:42:27	1.82	3.15	4.32
2026-09-07 21:52:30	1.87	3.14	4.04
2026-09-07 22:02:25	1.87	3.14	4.04
2026-09-07 22:12:28	1.87	3.14	4.04
2026-09-07 22:22:30	1.87	3.14	4.04
2026-09-07 22:32:28	1.87	3.14	4.04
2026-09-07 22:42:28	1.87	3.14	4.04
2026-09-07 22:52:30	1.87	3.14	4.04
2026-09-07 23:02:26	1.87	3.14	4.04
2026-09-07 23:12:28	1.87	3.14	4.04
2026-09-07 23:22:29	1.87	3.14	4.04
2026-09-07 23:32:28	1.87	3.14	4.04
2026-09-07 23:42:27	1.87	3.14	4.04
2026-09-07 23:52:28	1.84	3.11	3.98
2026-09-07 23:52:29	1.89	3.16	4.10

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.08	Plaza Colonia	1 : 0	Uruguay Montevideo
2026.05.31	Uruguay Montevideo	2 : 0	Plaza Colonia