경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Liga de Expansión MX Mexico · Apertura - 7

TapatíoHOME · 2.08

1 : 32026.09.07 · 종료

Leones Negros UDGAWAY · 3.19

HOME · 현재 순위 6위 승점 11 · 6경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 3위 승점 13 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME25.7%

DRAW27.8%

AWAY46.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM55 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 55/100

AI PICK AWAY 39.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +17.8%

VALUE EDGE+17.8%

FAIR ODDS2.15

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 68/100 · HIGH RISK

STANDING_PPG AWAY -7.0%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -17.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

REST HOME +13.5%p

MARKET HOME +15.3%p

SEASON_STATS AWAY -15.0%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Tapatío분석 지표Leones Negros UDG

36.4% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

1.82 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.08

1.82 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

9.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

55/100 MEDIUM

데이터 커버리지11.0 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.0 / 15

예측 분리도8.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보3.3 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME44.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승47.3%표본 207경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승25.0%표본 4경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승48.5%현재 이동 -5.5%

OPEN → NOW2.20 → 2.08배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:53:08

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

25.7%

DRAW

27.8%

AWAY

46.5%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Tapatío

D · 1-1W · 4-2W · 2-3L · 3-2W · 1-0

Leones Negros UDG

D · 1-1W · 1-2W · 4-0L · 1-3W · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME75 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.20

→

CURRENT2.09

-5.00%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW75 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.40

→

CURRENT3.41

+0.25%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY75 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.20

→

CURRENT3.17

-0.83%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 06:15:06	2.20	3.40	3.20
2026-09-05 06:15:07	2.20	3.40	3.20
2026-09-05 18:15:37	2.24	3.33	2.91
2026-09-05 18:15:40	2.24	3.33	2.91
2026-09-06 00:12:45	2.24	3.33	2.90
2026-09-06 00:43:21	2.25	3.25	2.75
2026-09-06 00:43:22	2.24	3.36	2.94
2026-09-06 01:42:30	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 02:12:20	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 02:42:28	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 03:12:19	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 03:42:30	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 04:12:23	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 04:12:24	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 04:42:22	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 05:12:31	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 05:43:24	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 05:43:25	2.22	3.30	2.90
2026-09-06 06:12:22	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 06:43:22	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 07:13:11	2.25	3.25	2.75
2026-09-06 07:13:12	2.23	3.36	2.94
2026-09-06 07:43:22	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 08:12:52	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 08:43:17	2.23	3.34	2.90
2026-09-06 08:43:18	2.26	3.36	2.93
2026-09-06 09:12:31	2.24	3.35	2.91
2026-09-06 09:43:11	2.23	3.34	2.90
2026-09-06 09:43:12	2.26	3.36	2.93
2026-09-06 10:12:40	2.24	3.35	2.92
2026-09-06 10:43:21	2.22	3.34	2.90
2026-09-06 10:43:22	2.27	3.38	2.95
2026-09-06 11:13:12	2.24	3.35	2.92
2026-09-06 11:43:22	2.25	3.25	2.75
2026-09-06 11:43:23	2.23	3.37	2.95
2026-09-06 12:12:21	2.24	3.35	2.92
2026-09-06 12:43:41	2.24	3.36	2.92
2026-09-06 12:43:42	2.21	3.30	2.91
2026-09-06 13:12:28	2.24	3.35	2.92
2026-09-06 13:42:44	2.24	3.36	2.92
2026-09-06 13:42:45	2.21	3.30	2.91
2026-09-06 14:13:10	2.24	3.35	2.92
2026-09-06 14:43:23	2.25	3.33	2.93
2026-09-06 14:43:24	2.23	3.37	2.91
2026-09-06 15:13:24	2.24	3.35	2.92
2026-09-06 15:42:31	2.24	3.35	2.92
2026-09-06 16:13:16	2.25	3.35	2.90
2026-09-06 16:43:36	2.25	3.35	2.90
2026-09-06 17:13:36	2.25	3.35	2.90
2026-09-06 17:43:21	2.25	3.34	2.88
2026-09-06 17:43:22	2.27	3.38	2.95
2026-09-06 18:13:26	2.26	3.36	2.90
2026-09-06 18:13:27	2.21	3.30	2.91
2026-09-06 18:44:13	2.25	3.25	2.75
2026-09-06 18:44:14	2.27	3.39	2.93
2026-09-06 18:44:15	2.21	3.30	2.91
2026-09-06 19:24:19	2.25	3.35	2.90
2026-09-06 19:24:20	2.09	3.39	3.13
2026-09-06 19:24:21	2.11	3.45	3.21
2026-09-06 20:04:25	2.25	3.32	2.87
2026-09-06 20:04:26	2.26	3.39	2.93
2026-09-06 20:04:27	2.10	3.41	3.16
2026-09-06 20:43:33	2.25	3.35	2.90
2026-09-06 20:43:35	2.10	3.41	3.16
2026-09-06 21:23:13	2.25	3.35	2.90
2026-09-06 21:23:14	2.09	3.38	3.11
2026-09-06 21:23:15	2.10	3.43	3.20
2026-09-06 21:53:21	2.10	3.40	3.13
2026-09-06 21:53:22	2.09	3.41	3.17
2026-09-06 22:23:56	2.09	3.39	3.14
2026-09-06 22:23:57	2.10	3.46	3.24
2026-09-06 22:52:55	2.09	3.41	3.17
2026-09-06 23:23:15	2.08	3.38	3.12
2026-09-06 23:23:16	2.10	3.44	3.22
2026-09-06 23:53:08	2.09	3.41	3.17

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.07	Tapatío	1 : 3	Leones Negros UDG