경기 상세 분석 종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Ligue 3
France · Regular Season - 7
La Roche VF HOME · 2.17
3 : 2 2026.09.19 · 종료
Valenciennes AWAY · 3.06
HOME · 현재 순위
3위
승점 15
· 7경기
LEAGUE
AWAY · 현재 순위
15위
승점 5
· 7경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME 48.1%
DRAW 22.6%
AWAY 29.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW 42 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME 41.4% 현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승 45.3% 표본 265경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승 50.0% 표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승 46.9% 현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW 2.17 → 2.17 배당 업데이트 2026-09-19 23:43:47
확률 구성 배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력 현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
La Roche VF D · 0-0 D · 1-1 D · 1-1 W · 0-1 W · 3-2
Valenciennes L · 1-2 D · 1-1 L · 2-1 W · 2-0 L · 4-0
배당 변화 히스토리 OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
+10.0% +5.0% 0.0% -5.0% -10.0% 09/18 12:15 09/19 03:52 09/19 12:24 09/19 17:44 09/19 23:43 HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-18 12:15:22 HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 00:23:48 HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +1.18% · 2026-09-19 00:53:33 HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-09-19 00:53:34 HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 +0.19% · 2026-09-19 01:24:05 HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-09-19 01:24:06 HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 01:53:26 HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-09-19 02:24:00 HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-09-19 02:24:01 HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 02:53:13 HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-09-19 03:23:26 HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 +0.45% · 2026-09-19 03:23:27 HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +1.18% · 2026-09-19 03:52:51 HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-09-19 03:52:52 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.53% · 2026-09-19 04:23:26 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.53% · 2026-09-19 05:03:08 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.53% · 2026-09-19 05:42:58 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.53% · 2026-09-19 06:23:28 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.53% · 2026-09-19 07:02:29 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.53% · 2026-09-19 07:43:40 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.53% · 2026-09-19 08:23:50 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.53% · 2026-09-19 09:02:28 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.53% · 2026-09-19 09:43:26 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.59% · 2026-09-19 10:23:38 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.59% · 2026-09-19 11:02:46 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.59% · 2026-09-19 11:43:24 HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 -0.43% · 2026-09-19 12:24:06 HOME · 배당 2.22 · 변동 +1.95% · 2026-09-19 12:24:07 HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -0.96% · 2026-09-19 13:04:16 HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 +1.76% · 2026-09-19 13:04:17 HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 +0.34% · 2026-09-19 13:43:30 HOME · 배당 2.22 · 변동 +2.10% · 2026-09-19 13:43:31 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.59% · 2026-09-19 14:23:17 HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +1.18% · 2026-09-19 15:04:24 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.49% · 2026-09-19 15:04:25 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.59% · 2026-09-19 15:43:15 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-09-19 16:24:40 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-09-19 17:04:26 HOME · 배당 2.20 · 변동 +1.18% · 2026-09-19 17:44:23 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.65% · 2026-09-19 17:44:24 HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-09-19 18:25:35 HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 +1.46% · 2026-09-19 18:25:36 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-09-19 19:04:58 HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-09-19 19:45:20 HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 +1.46% · 2026-09-19 19:45:21 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-09-19 20:24:28 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.72% · 2026-09-19 21:04:11 HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 +0.49% · 2026-09-19 21:44:11 HOME · 배당 2.22 · 변동 +2.10% · 2026-09-19 21:44:12 HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-19 22:24:54 HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-19 23:04:39 HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-09-19 23:43:47 DRAW · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-18 12:15:22 DRAW · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 00:23:48 DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -7.52% · 2026-09-19 00:53:33 DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +1.25% · 2026-09-19 00:53:34 DRAW · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.61% · 2026-09-19 01:24:05 DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 +3.64% · 2026-09-19 01:24:06 DRAW · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 01:53:26 DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -2.73% · 2026-09-19 02:24:00 DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +1.09% · 2026-09-19 02:24:01 DRAW · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 02:53:13 DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -2.73% · 2026-09-19 03:23:26 DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +1.09% · 2026-09-19 03:23:27 DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -7.52% · 2026-09-19 03:52:51 DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +1.25% · 2026-09-19 03:52:52 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-19 04:23:26 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-19 05:03:08 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-19 05:42:58 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-19 06:23:28 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-19 07:02:29 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-19 07:43:40 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-19 08:23:50 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-19 09:02:28 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-19 09:43:26 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-19 10:23:38 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-19 11:02:46 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-19 11:43:24 DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-09-19 12:24:06 DRAW · 배당 3.16 · 변동 +0.88% · 2026-09-19 12:24:07 DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -2.63% · 2026-09-19 13:04:16 DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +1.57% · 2026-09-19 13:04:17 DRAW · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.61% · 2026-09-19 13:43:30 DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +2.05% · 2026-09-19 13:43:31 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-19 14:23:17 DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -7.52% · 2026-09-19 15:04:24 DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.99% · 2026-09-19 15:04:25 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-19 15:43:15 DRAW · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 16:24:40 DRAW · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 17:04:26 DRAW · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -7.52% · 2026-09-19 17:44:23 DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +1.25% · 2026-09-19 17:44:24 DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -2.73% · 2026-09-19 18:25:35 DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +1.09% · 2026-09-19 18:25:36 DRAW · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 19:04:58 DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -2.73% · 2026-09-19 19:45:20 DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +1.09% · 2026-09-19 19:45:21 DRAW · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 20:24:28 DRAW · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 21:04:11 DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.34% · 2026-09-19 21:44:11 DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +2.05% · 2026-09-19 21:44:12 DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.14% · 2026-09-19 22:24:54 DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.14% · 2026-09-19 23:04:39 DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.14% · 2026-09-19 23:43:47 AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-18 12:15:22 AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 00:23:48 AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -2.10% · 2026-09-19 00:53:33 AWAY · 배당 3.08 · 변동 +0.35% · 2026-09-19 00:53:34 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.47% · 2026-09-19 01:24:05 AWAY · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +2.80% · 2026-09-19 01:24:06 AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 01:53:26 AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -2.10% · 2026-09-19 02:24:00 AWAY · 배당 3.09 · 변동 +0.84% · 2026-09-19 02:24:01 AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-19 02:53:13 AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -2.10% · 2026-09-19 03:23:26 AWAY · 배당 3.09 · 변동 +0.84% · 2026-09-19 03:23:27 AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -2.10% · 2026-09-19 03:52:51 AWAY · 배당 3.08 · 변동 +0.35% · 2026-09-19 03:52:52 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-19 04:23:26 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-19 05:03:08 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-19 05:42:58 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-19 06:23:28 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-19 07:02:29 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-19 07:43:40 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-19 08:23:50 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-19 09:02:28 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-09-19 09:43:26 AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.65% · 2026-09-19 10:23:38 AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.65% · 2026-09-19 11:02:46 AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.65% · 2026-09-19 11:43:24 AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -2.59% · 2026-09-19 12:24:06 AWAY · 배당 3.12 · 변동 +1.93% · 2026-09-19 12:24:07 AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 -1.66% · 2026-09-19 13:04:16 AWAY · 배당 3.07 · 변동 +0.10% · 2026-09-19 13:04:17 AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.68% · 2026-09-19 13:43:30 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.47% · 2026-09-19 13:43:31 AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.65% · 2026-09-19 14:23:17 AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -2.10% · 2026-09-19 15:04:24 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.41% · 2026-09-19 15:04:25 AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.65% · 2026-09-19 15:43:15 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-09-19 16:24:40 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-09-19 17:04:26 AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -2.10% · 2026-09-19 17:44:23 AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 -0.03% · 2026-09-19 17:44:24 AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -2.10% · 2026-09-19 18:25:35 AWAY · 배당 3.08 · 변동 +0.38% · 2026-09-19 18:25:36 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-09-19 19:04:58 AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -2.10% · 2026-09-19 19:45:20 AWAY · 배당 3.08 · 변동 +0.38% · 2026-09-19 19:45:21 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-09-19 20:24:28 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-09-19 21:04:11 AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 -0.30% · 2026-09-19 21:44:11 AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.47% · 2026-09-19 21:44:12 AWAY · 배당 3.09 · 변동 +0.84% · 2026-09-19 22:24:54 AWAY · 배당 3.09 · 변동 +0.84% · 2026-09-19 23:04:39 AWAY · 배당 3.09 · 변동 +0.84% · 2026-09-19 23:43:47 52 SNAPSHOTS
+0.26%ODDS DRIFTED
52 SNAPSHOTS
-1.14%ODDS SHORTENED
52 SNAPSHOTS
+0.84%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기 수집시간 HOME DRAW AWAY 2026-09-18 12:15:22 2.17 3.14 3.06 2026-09-19 00:23:48 2.17 3.14 3.06 2026-09-19 00:53:33 2.20 2.90 3.00 2026-09-19 00:53:34 2.17 3.18 3.08 2026-09-19 01:24:05 2.18 3.12 3.05 2026-09-19 01:24:06 2.15 3.25 3.15 2026-09-19 01:53:26 2.17 3.14 3.06 2026-09-19 02:24:00 2.15 3.05 3.00 2026-09-19 02:24:01 2.18 3.17 3.09 2026-09-19 02:53:13 2.17 3.14 3.06 2026-09-19 03:23:26 2.15 3.05 3.00 2026-09-19 03:23:27 2.18 3.17 3.09 2026-09-19 03:52:51 2.20 2.90 3.00 2026-09-19 03:52:52 2.17 3.18 3.08 2026-09-19 04:23:26 2.19 3.13 3.05 2026-09-19 05:03:08 2.19 3.13 3.05 2026-09-19 05:42:58 2.19 3.13 3.05 2026-09-19 06:23:28 2.19 3.13 3.05 2026-09-19 07:02:29 2.19 3.13 3.05 2026-09-19 07:43:40 2.19 3.13 3.05 2026-09-19 08:23:50 2.19 3.13 3.05 2026-09-19 09:02:28 2.19 3.13 3.05 2026-09-19 09:43:26 2.19 3.13 3.05 2026-09-19 10:23:38 2.19 3.13 3.04 2026-09-19 11:02:46 2.19 3.13 3.04 2026-09-19 11:43:24 2.19 3.13 3.04 2026-09-19 12:24:06 2.17 3.10 2.99 2026-09-19 12:24:07 2.22 3.16 3.12 2026-09-19 13:04:16 2.15 3.05 3.01 2026-09-19 13:04:17 2.21 3.19 3.07 2026-09-19 13:43:30 2.18 3.12 3.04 2026-09-19 13:43:31 2.22 3.20 3.05 2026-09-19 14:23:17 2.19 3.13 3.04 2026-09-19 15:04:24 2.20 2.90 3.00 2026-09-19 15:04:25 2.19 3.17 3.05 2026-09-19 15:43:15 2.19 3.13 3.04 2026-09-19 16:24:40 2.19 3.14 3.05 2026-09-19 17:04:26 2.19 3.14 3.05 2026-09-19 17:44:23 2.20 2.90 3.00 2026-09-19 17:44:24 2.19 3.18 3.06 2026-09-19 18:25:35 2.15 3.05 3.00 2026-09-19 18:25:36 2.21 3.17 3.08 2026-09-19 19:04:58 2.19 3.14 3.05 2026-09-19 19:45:20 2.15 3.05 3.00 2026-09-19 19:45:21 2.21 3.17 3.08 2026-09-19 20:24:28 2.19 3.14 3.05 2026-09-19 21:04:11 2.19 3.14 3.05 2026-09-19 21:44:11 2.19 3.13 3.06 2026-09-19 21:44:12 2.22 3.20 3.05 2026-09-19 22:24:54 2.18 3.10 3.09 2026-09-19 23:04:39 2.18 3.10 3.09 2026-09-19 23:43:47 2.18 3.10 3.09
상대전적 H2H 날짜 홈 결과 원정 2026.09.19 La Roche VF 3 : 2 Valenciennes
