LIVE 204 오늘 1,650경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Ligue 3 France · Regular Season - 6
Thionville LusitanosHOME · 3.14
0 : 42026.09.12 · 종료
RouenAWAY · 2.09
HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 12 · 7경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 1위 승점 17 · 8경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.6%
DRAW24.0%
AWAY40.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW42 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 42/100
AI PICK AWAY 36.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +6.6%
VALUE EDGE+6.6%
FAIR ODDS2.81
GRADED
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 31/100 · HIGH RISK
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +4.8%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
REST AWAY -8.8%p
MARKET AWAY -14.5%p
• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Thionville Lusitanos분석 지표Rouen
50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%
2.40 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25
1.10 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.75
33.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.8일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

42/100 LOW
데이터 커버리지8.3 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력0.0 / 10
과거 표본4.5 / 10
모델 일치도11.6 / 15
예측 분리도2.1 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.8 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME29.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승30.1%표본 113경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.8%현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW3.14 → 3.14배당 업데이트 2026-09-12 23:52:08

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
35.6%
DRAW
24.0%
AWAY
40.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Thionville Lusitanos
D · 2-2W · 0-2W · 4-3W · 0-3D · 2-2
Rouen
D · 1-1W · 3-0W · 1-2D · 0-0W · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+6.0%+3.0%0.0%-3.0%-6.0%09/11 12:1509/12 07:4209/12 14:2409/12 19:5209/12 23:52HOME · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-11 12:15:19HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-09-12 00:22:27HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-09-12 00:52:27HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-09-12 01:22:25HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-09-12 01:52:28HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-09-12 02:22:26HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-09-12 03:02:23HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-09-12 03:42:24HOME · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.16% · 2026-09-12 04:22:28HOME · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.16% · 2026-09-12 05:02:27HOME · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.16% · 2026-09-12 05:42:25HOME · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.16% · 2026-09-12 06:22:29HOME · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.16% · 2026-09-12 07:02:24HOME · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.16% · 2026-09-12 07:42:29HOME · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.16% · 2026-09-12 08:22:30HOME · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.16% · 2026-09-12 09:02:30HOME · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.16% · 2026-09-12 09:42:29HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.75% · 2026-09-12 10:23:05HOME · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -4.40% · 2026-09-12 11:03:46HOME · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.29% · 2026-09-12 11:03:47HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.75% · 2026-09-12 11:43:13HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.75% · 2026-09-12 12:23:31HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.75% · 2026-09-12 13:04:14HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.75% · 2026-09-12 13:43:53HOME · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -4.40% · 2026-09-12 14:23:59HOME · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.29% · 2026-09-12 14:24:00HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-12 15:03:14HOME · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.41% · 2026-09-12 15:03:15HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.75% · 2026-09-12 15:43:45HOME · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -4.40% · 2026-09-12 17:12:07HOME · 배당 3.16 · 변동 +0.61% · 2026-09-12 17:12:08HOME · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -4.40% · 2026-09-12 17:52:06HOME · 배당 3.14 · 변동 -0.02% · 2026-09-12 17:52:07HOME · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -4.40% · 2026-09-12 18:32:16HOME · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.86% · 2026-09-12 18:32:17HOME · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +1.98% · 2026-09-12 18:32:18HOME · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.14% · 2026-09-12 18:32:19HOME · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.50% · 2026-09-12 19:12:10HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-12 19:52:09HOME · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.14% · 2026-09-12 19:52:10HOME · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.50% · 2026-09-12 20:32:10HOME · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.47% · 2026-09-12 21:12:08HOME · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.57% · 2026-09-12 21:12:09HOME · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -1.02% · 2026-09-12 21:52:07HOME · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.14% · 2026-09-12 21:52:08HOME · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.47% · 2026-09-12 22:32:12HOME · 배당 3.12 · 변동 -0.57% · 2026-09-12 22:32:13HOME · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -4.40% · 2026-09-12 23:12:08HOME · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -0.22% · 2026-09-12 23:12:09HOME · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -4.40% · 2026-09-12 23:52:07HOME · 배당 3.15 · 변동 +0.38% · 2026-09-12 23:52:08DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-11 12:15:19DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-12 00:22:27DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-12 00:52:27DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-12 01:22:25DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-12 01:52:28DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-12 02:22:26DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-12 03:02:23DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-09-12 03:42:24DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-12 04:22:28DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-12 05:02:27DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-12 05:42:25DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-12 06:22:29DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-12 07:02:24DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-12 07:42:29DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-12 08:22:30DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-12 09:02:30DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-12 09:42:29DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 10:23:05DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -4.13% · 2026-09-12 11:03:46DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.65% · 2026-09-12 11:03:47DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 11:43:13DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 12:23:31DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 13:04:14DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 13:43:53DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -4.13% · 2026-09-12 14:23:59DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.65% · 2026-09-12 14:24:00DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 -2.04% · 2026-09-12 15:03:14DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 +0.21% · 2026-09-12 15:03:15DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 15:43:45DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.64% · 2026-09-12 17:12:07DRAW · 배당 3.33 · 변동 -0.28% · 2026-09-12 17:12:08DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -4.13% · 2026-09-12 17:52:06DRAW · 배당 3.33 · 변동 -0.39% · 2026-09-12 17:52:07DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.64% · 2026-09-12 18:32:16DRAW · 배당 3.30 · 변동 -1.14% · 2026-09-12 18:32:17DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.64% · 2026-09-12 18:32:18DRAW · 배당 3.36 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-12 18:32:19DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -0.81% · 2026-09-12 19:12:10DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 -2.04% · 2026-09-12 19:52:09DRAW · 배당 3.36 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-12 19:52:10DRAW · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -0.81% · 2026-09-12 20:32:10DRAW · 배당 3.33 · 변동 -0.34% · 2026-09-12 21:12:08DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.74% · 2026-09-12 21:12:09DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 -2.04% · 2026-09-12 21:52:07DRAW · 배당 3.36 · 변동 +0.73% · 2026-09-12 21:52:08DRAW · 배당 3.33 · 변동 -0.34% · 2026-09-12 22:32:12DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.74% · 2026-09-12 22:32:13DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 -4.13% · 2026-09-12 23:12:08DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.58% · 2026-09-12 23:12:09DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.64% · 2026-09-12 23:52:07DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.50% · 2026-09-12 23:52:08AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-11 12:15:19AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +1.23% · 2026-09-12 00:22:27AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +1.23% · 2026-09-12 00:52:27AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +1.23% · 2026-09-12 01:22:25AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +1.23% · 2026-09-12 01:52:28AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +1.23% · 2026-09-12 02:22:26AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +1.23% · 2026-09-12 03:02:23AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +1.23% · 2026-09-12 03:42:24AWAY · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +1.80% · 2026-09-12 04:22:28AWAY · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +1.80% · 2026-09-12 05:02:27AWAY · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +1.80% · 2026-09-12 05:42:25AWAY · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +1.80% · 2026-09-12 06:22:29AWAY · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +1.80% · 2026-09-12 07:02:24AWAY · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +1.80% · 2026-09-12 07:42:29AWAY · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +1.80% · 2026-09-12 08:22:30AWAY · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +1.80% · 2026-09-12 09:02:30AWAY · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +1.80% · 2026-09-12 09:42:29AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-09-12 10:23:05AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -0.39% · 2026-09-12 11:03:46AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-12 11:03:47AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-09-12 11:43:13AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-09-12 12:23:31AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-09-12 13:04:14AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-09-12 13:43:53AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -0.39% · 2026-09-12 14:23:59AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.52% · 2026-09-12 14:24:00AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-09-12 15:03:14AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.58% · 2026-09-12 15:03:15AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.42% · 2026-09-12 15:43:45AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.83% · 2026-09-12 17:12:07AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.65% · 2026-09-12 17:12:08AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -0.39% · 2026-09-12 17:52:06AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.83% · 2026-09-12 17:52:07AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.83% · 2026-09-12 18:32:16AWAY · 배당 2.04 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-09-12 18:32:17AWAY · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +2.04% · 2026-09-12 18:32:18AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +1.19% · 2026-09-12 18:32:19AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.69% · 2026-09-12 19:12:10AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-09-12 19:52:09AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +1.19% · 2026-09-12 19:52:10AWAY · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +0.69% · 2026-09-12 20:32:10AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-09-12 21:12:08AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-12 21:12:09AWAY · 배당 2.06 · 변동 +0.29% · 2026-09-12 21:52:07AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +1.19% · 2026-09-12 21:52:08AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +1.15% · 2026-09-12 22:32:12AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-12 22:32:13AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -0.39% · 2026-09-12 23:12:08AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +1.01% · 2026-09-12 23:12:09AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.83% · 2026-09-12 23:52:07AWAY · 배당 2.08 · 변동 +0.86% · 2026-09-12 23:52:08
HOME51 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.14
→
CURRENT3.15
+0.38%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW51 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.34
→
CURRENT3.32
-0.50%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY51 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.06
→
CURRENT2.08
+0.86%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-11 12:15:193.143.342.06
2026-09-12 00:22:273.113.322.08
2026-09-12 00:52:273.113.322.08
2026-09-12 01:22:253.113.322.08
2026-09-12 01:52:283.113.322.08
2026-09-12 02:22:263.113.322.08
2026-09-12 03:02:233.113.322.08
2026-09-12 03:42:243.113.322.08
2026-09-12 04:22:283.103.322.10
2026-09-12 05:02:273.103.322.10
2026-09-12 05:42:253.103.322.10
2026-09-12 06:22:293.103.322.10
2026-09-12 07:02:243.103.322.10
2026-09-12 07:42:293.103.322.10
2026-09-12 08:22:303.103.322.10
2026-09-12 09:02:303.103.322.10
2026-09-12 09:42:293.103.322.10
2026-09-12 10:23:053.113.302.07
2026-09-12 11:03:463.003.202.05
2026-09-12 11:03:473.133.322.07
2026-09-12 11:43:133.113.302.07
2026-09-12 12:23:313.113.302.07
2026-09-12 13:04:143.113.302.07
2026-09-12 13:43:533.113.302.07
2026-09-12 14:23:593.003.202.05
2026-09-12 14:24:003.133.322.07
2026-09-12 15:03:143.113.272.06
2026-09-12 15:03:153.133.352.07
2026-09-12 15:43:453.113.302.07
2026-09-12 17:12:073.003.252.08
2026-09-12 17:12:083.163.332.07
2026-09-12 17:52:063.003.202.05
2026-09-12 17:52:073.143.332.08
2026-09-12 18:32:163.003.252.08
2026-09-12 18:32:173.173.302.04
2026-09-12 18:32:183.203.252.10
2026-09-12 18:32:193.143.362.08
2026-09-12 19:12:103.123.312.07
2026-09-12 19:52:093.113.272.06
2026-09-12 19:52:103.143.362.08
2026-09-12 20:32:103.123.312.07
2026-09-12 21:12:083.123.332.08
2026-09-12 21:12:093.123.282.05
2026-09-12 21:52:073.113.272.06
2026-09-12 21:52:083.143.362.08
2026-09-12 22:32:123.123.332.08
2026-09-12 22:32:133.123.282.05
2026-09-12 23:12:083.003.202.05
2026-09-12 23:12:093.133.322.08
2026-09-12 23:52:073.003.252.08
2026-09-12 23:52:083.153.322.08

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.12Thionville Lusitanos0 : 4Rouen