경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Ligue 3
France · Regular Season - 5

Bourg-en-bresse 01HOME · 3.49
0 : 22026.09.05 · 종료
CaenAWAY · 1.91

HOME · 현재 순위
16위
승점 3
· 4경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
10위
승점 6
· 4경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME20.5%
DRAW20.9%
AWAY58.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW40 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME25.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승17.3%표본 110경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승41.7%현재 이동 +4.5%
OPEN → NOW3.34 → 3.49배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:52:32
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Bourg-en-bresse 01L · 0-2L · 2-0W · 3-2L · 1-2D · 0-0
CaenL · 0-1W · 1-0L · 4-3W · 4-0D · 1-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME46 SNAPSHOTS
+6.32%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW46 SNAPSHOTS
+2.22%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY46 SNAPSHOTS
-3.65%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-04 06:15:24 | 3.30 | 3.32 | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-04 18:15:29 | 3.30 | 3.32 | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-05 00:52:39 | 3.30 | 3.32 | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-05 01:22:37 | 3.30 | 3.32 | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-05 01:52:37 | 3.27 | 3.30 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 01:52:38 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.04 |
| 2026-09-05 02:22:38 | 3.30 | 3.32 | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-05 02:52:39 | 3.30 | 3.32 | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-05 03:22:32 | 3.30 | 3.32 | 1.99 |
| 2026-09-05 03:32:06 | 3.33 | 3.35 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-05 04:02:04 | 3.33 | 3.35 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-05 04:32:05 | 3.33 | 3.35 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-05 05:12:05 | 3.33 | 3.35 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-05 05:52:05 | 3.33 | 3.35 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-05 06:32:06 | 3.32 | 3.35 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-05 07:12:05 | 3.32 | 3.35 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-05 07:52:06 | 3.20 | 3.10 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-05 07:52:07 | 3.34 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-05 08:32:06 | 3.32 | 3.35 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-05 09:12:06 | 3.32 | 3.35 | 2.00 |
| 2026-09-05 09:52:07 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 10:32:07 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 11:12:18 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 11:52:14 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 12:32:15 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.95 |
| 2026-09-05 12:32:16 | 3.42 | 3.36 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 13:12:21 | 3.35 | 3.32 | 1.93 |
| 2026-09-05 13:12:22 | 3.47 | 3.43 | 1.98 |
| 2026-09-05 13:52:17 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 14:32:12 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 15:12:20 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 15:52:21 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 16:32:33 | 3.33 | 3.30 | 1.93 |
| 2026-09-05 16:32:34 | 3.45 | 3.42 | 1.97 |
| 2026-09-05 17:12:20 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 17:52:18 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 18:32:47 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 19:12:17 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 19:52:25 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 20:32:12 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 21:12:35 | 3.41 | 3.38 | 1.96 |
| 2026-09-05 21:52:19 | 3.51 | 3.40 | 1.92 |
| 2026-09-05 22:32:34 | 3.51 | 3.40 | 1.92 |
| 2026-09-05 23:12:25 | 3.50 | 3.40 | 1.92 |
| 2026-09-05 23:12:26 | 3.54 | 3.40 | 1.91 |
| 2026-09-05 23:52:32 | 3.51 | 3.40 | 1.92 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.05 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 0 : 2 | Caen |